Coronavirus Thread: Worldwide Pandemic

KillbertArenas

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Their "optimistic" scenario they listed would be the worst case scenario. If all of the cases peaked in the next 30 or so days then the US health care system would collapse as everyone would be sick all at once.
Their "pessimistic" scenario would actually be the best because it would spread out the ill and give everyone time to treat everyone who really needs it and give the world more time to try and learn how to treat it.
I don't know if this is true but if so then it implies that our dear leader is still looking at the election vs the country.

Your logic is flawed..
 

KillbertArenas

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I think we disagree. I read "peak" to mean the maximum amount of people who will get the disease. When you see the curve it is either flat - and extended (long peak) or short and very steep (30 day).
you can read both totals as the same number of people just over different time periods.
Peak does not mean no one else gets it because of a cure - it means no one else left to get it because most people are immune from exposure (already getting it)
Someone correct me if I am wrong but we definitely don't want this to peak early because that means more people die from the system collapsing.

Youre failing to factor in "trajectory" - the ignorance, lack of tests, poor health and density of the US will push our trajectory upward greater than the other nations.

So if it peaks in 30 days thats far better than 90
 

F K

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Youre failing to factor in "trajectory" - the ignorance, lack of tests, poor health and density of the US will push our trajectory upward greater than the other nations.

So if it peaks in 30 days thats far better than 90
you got some citations to back this up? a background in epidemiology?
 
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