Coronavirus Thread: Worldwide Pandemic

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what do you mean

optimistic - the worst of it will be in 1 month
pessimistic - the worst of it will be in 3 months

Their "optimistic" scenario they listed would be the worst case scenario. If all of the cases peaked in the next 30 or so days then the US health care system would collapse as everyone would be sick all at once.
Their "pessimistic" scenario would actually be the best because it would spread out the ill and give everyone time to treat everyone who really needs it and give the world more time to try and learn how to treat it.
I don't know if this is true but if so then it implies that our dear leader is still looking at the election vs the country.
 

the cac mamba

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Their "optimistic" scenario they listed would be the worst case scenario. If all of the cases peaked in the next 30 or so days then the US health care system would collapse as everyone would be sick all at once.
Their "pessimistic" scenario would actually be the best because it would spread out the ill and give everyone time to treat everyone who really needs it and give the world more time to try and learn how to treat it.
I don't know if this is true but if so then it implies that our dear leader is still looking at the election vs the country.
it's better for the health care system if the worse of it is in 3 months. more time to prepare, means there isn't a surge of cases too soon
not to argue semantics, but the peak = it goes down after that. so hitting the peak in 1 month is better than hitting it in 3 months

is what i took away :yeshrug: if the fukkin country is shut down for 5 months, its gonna look like mad max out here
 

intra vires

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The warmer temperatures we'll start seeing this and mext month will probably help somewhat; however, it won't make the problem disappear the way Trump thinks it will.
After further review, I'm even less sure it'll go away with warm weather. Iran is dealing with a terrible outbreak and it’s warm there. MERS was a coronavirus and if the Middle Eastern climate couldn’t kill that, then I don't know if it can assumed American summers would make a dent.
 

dora_da_destroyer

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Went straight to urgent care for the refill, their door is locked and they have a security guard who screens people before you can enter. Got my refill tho

BART is empty...never seen the lot open like this. Went to talk to my guy who owns the lot I used to park at, feel bad for him, of course parking lots are cash cows but dude has no cars, I know he’s going to be hurting if this carries on for two months


Lastly, they shutting us down in the Bay (to an extent) As coronavirus spreads, 6 Bay Area counties will be ordered to 'shelter in place'
 
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not to argue semantics, but the peak = it goes down after that. so hitting the peak in 1 month is better than hitting it in 3 months

I think we disagree. I read "peak" to mean the maximum amount of people who will get the disease. When you see the curve it is either flat - and extended (long peak) or short and very steep (30 day).
you can read both totals as the same number of people just over different time periods.
Peak does not mean no one else gets it because of a cure - it means no one else left to get it because most people are immune from exposure (already getting it)
Someone correct me if I am wrong but we definitely don't want this to peak early because that means more people die from the system collapsing.
 

F K

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not to argue semantics, but the peak = it goes down after that. so hitting the peak in 1 month is better than hitting it in 3 months

is what i took away :yeshrug: if the fukkin country is shut down for 5 months, its gonna look like mad max out here
you're right if the peaks are the same. The idea behind flattening the curve is that you have a lower peak, later, saving more lives and keeping the outbreak at manageable levels
NPR Choice page
it's not semantics creh, it's epidemiology

iu
 
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