Burkina Faso,Mali & Guinea express solidarity w/ Niger🇳🇪 and warn that ANY military intervention against Niger is a DECLARATION OF WAR | Algeria joins

Nkrumah Was Right

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a whole lot to process here - I wanted to make a thread on this when I first started seeing the coverage but haven't had the time, here are my quick thoughts:

  1. France is cutting off aid to Burkina Faso explicitly because their neocolonial control of the nation is in crisis (Burkina Faso has had three coups in the last three years)
  2. While this is not a socialist or communist revolution by any means, it is what Fanon and Rodney refer to as a nationalist revolution (bourgeois, depending on who the beneficiaries are to be);
  3. This is one of the most pronounced statements of solidarity between African nations that I've seen in decades, and has captured at least some of the world's attention;
  4. This places the West and their African allies in a very bad place - either you follow through with military action and face humiliation through a drawn out guerilla war, or you negotiate away some power;
  5. Nigeria is in no state to go to war;
  6. The attempt to point to Russia as a key component of this is pretty absurd, while the Wagner Group has a presence in a few places (namely Mali), AFRICOM is a vastly more influential powerbroker and outstrips any private mercenary groups both in influence, strength, manpower, direction, and ability.
  7. A lot more thoughts I'll try to put down once I read through this thread

I agree with all your points!
 

Nkrumah Was Right

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I really don't see a protracted guerilla war happening Yes if they back down they look weak but if they get to Niamey the war is over. I mean the army didn't fight for the elected president.

This reveals to me how little you know about Niger/the Sahel

Are you American?
 

loyola llothta

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Update:

Italy calls on ECOWAS to extend Niger ultimatum "The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) should prolong their deadline for the reinstatement of Niger's ousted president", Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani said in an interview published on Monday

Nigeria appeals to ECOWAS to resolve the crisis in Niger peacefully The Nigerian Senate called on ECOWAS to seek diplomatic solutions for a military coup in Nigeria, said Senate President Godsville Akpabio.

The National Council of Niger (CNPS) called on its citizens to be ready to "defend the homeland and the independence of the country" The CNPS also said that any country that facilitates military intervention in Niger will be considered hostile to it.

Western intelligence services did not discover Russia's involvement in the destabilization of the situation in Niger , writes the Spanish newspaper "Pais".

The French General Staff is considering the possibility of evacuating its armed forces from Niger to neighboring Chad, and a complete withdrawal to France is in play. The well-informed Russian and Turkish media reported yesterday that a contingent of PMC Wagner entered the capital of Niger. According to those statements, these forces will be deployed at key locations in and around the city, where they will secure a perimeter around all important facilities.

ECOWAS has called an emergency meeting in Abuja for August 10 regarding the situation in Niger

French MFA puts Niger, Mali and Burkina Faso capital cities under "DO NOT TRAVEL" warning
 
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papa pimp

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  1. This places the West and their African allies in a very bad place - either you follow through with military action and face humiliation through a drawn out guerilla war, or you negotiate away some power;

Too much focus on what happens at the ground level and not what happens next. "The West" doesn't need to engage in war to make a point.
 

Samori Toure

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I really don't see a protracted guerilla war happening Yes if they back down they look weak but if they get to Niamey the war is over. I mean the army didn't fight for the elected president.
You sound like the American Generals talking about Vietnam. The French was involved in that one too. Total arrogance and completely underestimating your opponent. The French are not just going to be fighting the Army of Niger.
 

Bonk

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a whole lot to process here - I wanted to make a thread on this when I first started seeing the coverage but haven't had the time, here are my quick thoughts:

  1. France is cutting off aid to Burkina Faso explicitly because their neocolonial control of the nation is in crisis (Burkina Faso has had three coups in the last three years)
  2. While this is not a socialist or communist revolution by any means, it is what Fanon and Rodney refer to as a nationalist revolution (bourgeois, depending on who the beneficiaries are to be);
  3. This is one of the most pronounced statements of solidarity between African nations that I've seen in decades, and has captured at least some of the world's attention;
  4. This places the West and their African allies in a very bad place - either you follow through with military action and face humiliation through a drawn out guerilla war, or you negotiate away some power;
  5. Nigeria is in no state to go to war;
  6. The attempt to point to Russia as a key component of this is pretty absurd, while the Wagner Group has a presence in a few places (namely Mali), AFRICOM is a vastly more influential powerbroker and outstrips any private mercenary groups both in influence, strength, manpower, direction, and ability.
  7. A lot more thoughts I'll try to put down once I read through this thread

Great post.

On your 6th point: I was listening to a Geopolitics space on Twitter yesterday & a Nigerian (presumably from Northern Nigeria due to his name & accent) claimed that what happened in Niger was actually a coup within a coup (I don’t know how true it’s). He claimed France sponsored the initial coup cos the deposed president made a statement about revising the uranium deal & also cited a BBC interview he did last year or so. And as the initial coup (French sponsored one) started, the armed forces refused to join unless it’s a coup that will serve their national interests & not the French one. Subsequently, an agreement was reached to go for national interests hence the deposed president wasn’t killed & why the country’s armed forces didn’t show any resistance. (Disclaimer: I don’t know how true this is).

Also, there are reports (from French sources) that French Special Forces were meant to intervene (presumably when the initial coup failed or protect the deposed president as alleged by French for sources) but Marcon told them to stand down cos it would look colonial. I’ve also seen reports about Niger’s armed forces not being too happy with the deposed president & France in their fight against Jihadists with claims that every time they locate jihadist hideouts - the deposed president would ask them to seek approval from the French before attacking. And by the time the approval arrives, all the jihadists would’ve escaped.

Yes, Russia isn’t involved any of the coups in WA. Russia became a player with the putschist as a ‘protection umbrella’ against western countries. Coups aren’t cheap & they cost a lot of money. You need to spend a lot of money, know the terrain & have a good network with important players in these places to sponsor a coup. And Russia doesn’t have an expansive presence in the region, apart from the Wagnerites in Mali (I think Burkina Faso as well).

It’s also not coincidental that all the putschists, from Mali, to Burkina Faso, to Guinea (Conakry) & now Niger were all trained by AFRICOM. And this is basically why I don’t want to jump out of the window yet & label them full nationalists fighting for their people (albeit I lean more towards that right now). Were they all coups within coups for national interests or just psyops for something bigger? - still observing.
 

Bonk

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Update:

Italy calls on ECOWAS to extend Niger ultimatum "The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) should prolong their deadline for the reinstatement of Niger's ousted president", Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani said in an interview published on Monday

Nigeria appeals to ECOWAS to resolve the crisis in Niger peacefully The Nigerian Senate called on ECOWAS to seek diplomatic solutions for a military coup in Nigeria, said Senate President Godsville Akpabio.

The National Council of Niger (CNPS) called on its citizens to be ready to "defend the homeland and the independence of the country" The CNPS also said that any country that facilitates military intervention in Niger will be considered hostile to it.

Western intelligence services did not discover Russia's involvement in the destabilization of the situation in Niger , writes the Spanish newspaper "Pais".

The French General Staff is considering the possibility of evacuating its armed forces from Niger to neighboring Chad, and a complete withdrawal to France is in play. The well-informed Russian and Turkish media reported yesterday that a contingent of PMC Wagner entered the capital of Niger. According to those statements, these forces will be deployed at key locations in and around the city, where they will secure a perimeter around all important facilities.

ECOWAS has called an emergency meeting in Abuja for August 10 regarding the situation in Niger

French MFA puts Niger, Mali and Burkina Faso capital cities under "DO NOT TRAVEL" warning

I’m seeing a lot of Northern Nigeria (Hausa, Fulani & Kanuri) vs Nigeria Tweets on Twitter right now over Niger. :russ:

I don’t blame them - they have blood/family ties with Niger & the connection is deeper than whatever connection they have with Nigeria. And it’s not shocking tbh.

You can’t wash away thousands of years of blood ties over a country created a few decades ago by cacs with strange fellas. It’s common sense.

Military intervention by Nigeria should be off the table at this point to give Nigeria a few more years to exist.
 

dtownreppin214

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  1. France is cutting off aid to Burkina Faso explicitly because their neocolonial control of the nation is in crisis (Burkina Faso has had three coups in the last three years)
We need to get off of their fukking aid biscuits. You have to ask yourself why does a supposed aid agency (USAID/Samantha Powers) have a seat on the National Security Council? Nothing altruistic about their aid, it's all a means to control their own interests.

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