I actually think Ryback winning is more likely than Punk winning.
Sheamus did beat Cena for the WWE title within six months of his RAW debut.
I feel like this could be a case where people miss the forest for the trees with the fantasy booking. It could just involve either man pinning the other or a no contest.
However, if Ryback wins then what? He just beat the #2 /WWE Champion. He has little promo time and after that it's just having regular/squash matches with better talent. The undefeated streak is also restricting where they can go with this match. If he can beat the champ then kayfabe he can beat anyone currently on the roster save Cena. There's no where to go but down from here IMO, word to Tensai.
If anything, this exposed WWE as overly reliant on Cena since now it's Ryback vs Punk all the promos with Foley/Ross don't mean anything since Cena's out. They could have just did an Armageddon-style HIAC w/ qualifying matches on Raw. Have certain wrestlers want to go after the title (you know the most valuable prize in the company) while humbled by the HIAC structure. My suggestions:
Kofi (currently not doing anything, "spot" guy, has history w/ Punk since former tag team champs and his friend)
Ziggler (has done double duty on PPVs before, not officially booked for HIAC, at HIAC he may be WHC already so following Y2J's footsteps)
Orton (Sheamus is tied up so go with the biggest face on SD since Cena's out)
Barrett (also not booked for HIAC, complained to AJ about not doing anything, puts him back in ME scene)
CM Punk
Santino/Kidd/Ryder (underdog face, dark horse, other "spot" guy) OR
Ryback/Mark Henry (tears shyt up, doesn't get pinned) OR
John Cena (automatic ME status, gets his chance against Punk, doesn't do much in the match obviously HIAC could highlight the other guys since we've seen Punk/Cena)
Here Punk can win w/o any controversy, they use the extra time to promote the 6-Man HIAC instead of Foley/Ross/legend getting Punk to fight Cena again, and it covers Cena's absence, and Ryback being pinned.
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However, if Ryback wins then what? He just beat the #2 /WWE Champion. He has little promo time and after that it's just having regular/squash matches with better talent. The undefeated streak is also restricting where they can go with this match. If he can beat the champ then kayfabe he can beat anyone currently on the roster save Cena. There's no where to go but down from here IMO, word to Tensai.
If anything, this exposed WWE as overly reliant on Cena since now it's Ryback vs Punk all the promos with Foley/Ross don't mean anything since Cena's out. They could have just did an Armageddon-style HIAC w/ qualifying matches on Raw. Have certain wrestlers want to go after the title (you know the most valuable prize in the company) while humbled by the HIAC structure. My suggestions:
Kofi (currently not doing anything, "spot" guy, has history w/ Punk since former tag team champs and his friend)
Ziggler (has done double duty on PPVs before, not officially booked for HIAC, at HIAC he may be WHC already so following Y2J's footsteps)
Orton (Sheamus is tied up so go with the biggest face on SD since Cena's out)
Barrett (also not booked for HIAC, complained to AJ about not doing anything, puts him back in ME scene)
CM Punk
Santino/Kidd/Ryder (underdog face, dark horse, other "spot" guy) OR
Ryback/Mark Henry (tears shyt up, doesn't get pinned) OR
John Cena (automatic ME status, gets his chance against Punk, doesn't do much in the match obviously HIAC could highlight the other guys since we've seen Punk/Cena)
Here Punk can win w/o any controversy, they use the extra time to promote the 6-Man HIAC instead of Foley/Ross/legend getting Punk to fight Cena again, and it covers Cena's absence, and Ryback being pinned.
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