Here is the transcript from the TikTok user @ilestnaser2, formatted as is:
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Democrats continue to prove that they do not know how to read polls, they do not believe in data, and they have never studied history ever in their lives. For the last 24 hours, I have watched the most brain-dead takes of people who have never looked at a poll once in their life. And while Democrats continue to talk out of their ass and learn entirely wrong lessons about the election that they just lost in a landslide, I will tell you the actual polling that allowed me to predict that they would lose way before anybody else did. But first, I need to debunk a bunch of idiotic arguments.
As everybody has already analyzed, third-party voters did not cost you the election. Third-party voters, if they were all given to Kamala Harris, that includes Jill Stein voters, RFK voters, the Libertarian voters, all of them, Claudia de la Cruz, Cornel West, every single one of them, if you gave them Kamala Harris, you would flip zero states. The only state you would flip, potentially, is Wisconsin. Maybe. That's only 10 electoral votes. You lost by 30. Sit your ass down.
Ultimately, what you guys need to understand is that 15 million voters who would normally vote for the Democrats did not show up. And you should really ask yourself why that is. If you're arguing that it's because of the, you know, liberal leftist protest vote, we're 15 million people. We leftists are 15 million people. You morons were saying for months that Kamala Harris does not need leftists to win. And now you're saying she lost 15 million of us? You guys are morons. You guys should never talk about politics again then. You should sit the fukk down. Because you're saying that she didn't need 15 million voters and she lost by 4 million. If 15 million voters were on the table and you guys failed to mobilize them because you guys supported Gaza and a genocide, then you need to sit out of politics forever.
And look, I will tell you, it was directly because she supported the genocide. Why the fukk in Michigan did Rashida Tlaib do twice as well as Kamala Harris? Twice as well. Two times as many voters. Polling in Pennsylvania said that 34% of respondents would be more likely to vote for the Democratic nominee if that nominee vowed to withhold weapons from Israel. This is compared to only 7% of voters who said they would be less likely. This idiotic notion that actually if she said anything against Israel, she would have lost more votes. No, she would have gained more votes. You morons.
In Arizona, 35% said they would be more likely, while 5% said they would be less likely. That's a net 30% gain. In Georgia, 39% said they'd be more likely compared to 5% where they'd be less likely. That's a 35% gain. And if you looked at undecided voters, the gap was even bigger, was even bigger. Fifty seven percent of undecided voters who voted for Biden in 2020. Those are the voters you lost. Those are the voters you fukking needed to win, said they would have been more likely to vote for the Democrats if they just said that they would stop sending weapons to Israel. That is why you lost. That is why you lost. That is why you lost.
Read the damn polls. All of the idiotic arguments I keep hearing are not backed in reality whatsoever. It was not because she was too far left. It was not because black men didn't come out and vote for her. It was not because of whatever minority demographic you want to blame. 85% of black people voted for Harris. 13% voted for Trump. That's in 2024. In 2020, 87% of black people voted for Biden. 12% of black people voted for Trump. The same percentage. When you break it down by gender, 77% of black men voted for Harris and 79% of black men voted for Biden. These are not different.
And now once and for all, I never want to hear a single moron ever say that the reason you lost is because actually we needed to court more moderates, that courting more moderates is what would have won us the election. We just needed to run farther to the right. No, the overwhelming majority of the polls will tell you that the American people support leftist policies, advocate for leftist policies, and when you run to the right, you win zero, zero Republican votes. Zero, none, none, ever. In 2024, 94% of registered Republicans voted for Trump. In 2020, 94% of registered Republicans voted for Trump. You won zero Republican votes. None.
Your strategy, the strategy that was supposed to win you Pennsylvania, did it win Pennsylvania? No, it did not. Your strategy where you said we're going to appeal to moderates, did it pick up any moderates? No, it did not. In fact, as I showed you guys earlier, for every supposed moderate you picked up, you lost three progressives. You lost every single person who was undecided but voted for Biden in 2020. You lost all of them. They all stayed home because you decided to be Republicans.
And finally, this notion that the American public actually does not believe in leftist policies and they're actually overwhelmingly conservative. No, you're wrong. You're wrong. You've never looked at data. You know nothing about the data. This is Nebraska. Trump won 60% of the votes in Nebraska. And yet 70% of the voters voted for legalizing weed. That's the top vote up there. They voted 66% for a legal medical cannabis commission. And they voted 74% for paid sick leave. I'm sorry that it's cut off at the bottom. 74% of voters who overwhelmingly voted for the Republicans want paid sick leave, a thing we don't even have in many blue states.
This is Missouri. This is a state that voted, again, 60% for Donald Trump. Missouri voters also voted a majority to protect abortion. You know what's fascinating? You can go through all of the polls. You can go through all of them. The vast majority of Americans do not support mass deportation. They do not support Republican policy on that issue. Seven in 10 U.S. likely voters support raising taxes on the wealthy in order to fund housing programs, in order to house the homeless. They want to raise taxes on the wealthy. That's a leftist position.
Where was Kamala Harris' messaging that I'm going to raise taxes on the wealthy and then we're going to end homelessness? That was not her messaging. I know you all have to zoom in here, but here's a bunch of policies that overwhelmingly people support that are leftist policies. You see these on the columns here, the net plus 80 plus 70 plus 66 plus 67 plus 59. What are those things? Tax corporations whose CEOs make 50x more than the median employee. That's a leftist thing. That's a Bernie Sanders idea.
Invest in care for seniors and people with disabilities. Require stronger safety protections for workers. Require corporations to pay the same tax on profits earned abroad as profits in the United States. That's increasing corporate taxes. Provide free pre-K to all three and four-year-olds. Invest in child care. Establish a national clean energy standard board, which is a thing that got cut from the Green New Deal. Repeal Trump's tax cuts for those making more than $400,000 a year. They want to raise the taxes on the wealthy.
These are leftist policies and they win a majority of the voters. She did not lose because she was too far left. If she was actually left, all of these people would be voting for her. Voters overwhelmingly think that the federal minimum wage is not enough for a decent quality of life. This is a huge majority of Republicans. You know what they actually support? They support raising it to $17 an hour. This is the only wage at which Republicans dip below the majority. For 15, for 12, and for 9, I've seen polling on all of those. Republicans support it at a majority.
And you think, well, maybe that's true, but it's not in the swing states. Wrong, wrong again. You're wrong. You're wrong. You're a moron. In terms of youth voters, again, overwhelmingly, overwhelmingly left-leaning. They're overwhelmingly left-leaning, all right? They want to teach sex education in schools. They want a guaranteed right to abortion nationwide. They want more DEI. They want to confront climate change. They want to increase efforts at teaching systemic racism. They want to have more acceptance of transgender and non-binary individuals. They want to boost the rate of legal immigration.
Ignore the misleading headline here because a lot of these are not actually Harris's policies. They want to cap the cost of insulin at $35 a month. That was a Harris policy. Require employees to provide 12 weeks of guaranteed paid medical leave. Overwhelmingly supported by youth voters. Raise the minimum wage to $17 an hour. Overwhelmingly supported. Increase government spending on child care. Overwhelmingly supported. Medicare for all. Overwhelmingly supported. Plus 47. Remember the Biden-Harris administration saying they would veto Medicare for all? Plus 47 by the youth voters.
Implement a Green New Deal. Remember how the Democrats failed to push that through? Plus 41. And as I already showed, young voters support the U.S. imposing an arms embargo. That is overwhelmingly positive in all three kinds of leanings. Democrats, independents, and Republicans, all youth voters, overwhelmingly support putting in an arms embargo, the thing that she refused to say she would do.
She lost the election because of her support for Israel. And it's not just youths. This was overwhelmingly true in the national polling, overwhelmingly true, that they all oppose Israel and wanted a ceasefire. The only way you get a ceasefire is by doing an arms embargo, by conditioning aid to Israel. And here you go again, all of these voters saying that they want to condition aid to Israel until they stop slaughtering Palestinians.
The reality is that the public is far more in favor of stopping arms sales to Israel than opposed. 61% of all Americans said that the U.S. should not send any weapons to Israel, including 77% of Democrats. And then the US should not send any weapons to Israel Including 77% of Democrats And then as time went on, that continued to increase 68% 77% And this was true in the swing states 61% in Wisconsin 56% in Michigan 51% in Pennsylvania Hey, remember when you guys lost Pennsylvania? It's over, Democrats It's over Read fukking polls Your candidate supported a genocide And then, lo and over, Democrats. It's over. Read fukking polls. Your candidate supported a genocide and then lo and behold, she lost because people don't support genocide.
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