Stein's appeal is not large enough to impact any state. Harris is up in Michigan, her numbers have been surging there for awhile. There aren't enough Muslim voters in Michigan to alter that race, which is clearly going Harris' way. This is about pure math and the margins she will pull in Detroit alone will secure that state.
If Biden was still on the ballot I could at least entertain this argument, because overall turnout might have been low enough for a third party to hurt democrats. But when you look at the numbers Kamala is putting up among democrats, overall enthusiasm, early voting access in battleground states...I have zero worries about Stein.
If Jill Stein had run in the 2020 U.S. presidential election and received the same percentage of the vote she received in 2016 (1.07%), here is the estimated number of votes she would have received in key battleground states:- Georgia: 53,489 votes
- Arizona: 36,198 votes
- Pennsylvania: 74,065 votes
- Wisconsin: 35,289 votes
- Michigan: 59,760 votes
2020 Election Battleground states margins
- Georgia: Biden won by 11,779 votes.
- Arizona: Biden won by 10,457 votes.
- Pennsylvania: Biden won by 80,555 votes.
- Wisconsin: Biden won by 20,682 votes.
- Michigan: Biden won by 154,188 votes.
In the 2020 U.S. presidential election, Muslim American voter turnout saw significant increases, particularly in key battleground states. While exact numbers of Muslim American voters in each state are not always readily available, here are some estimates based on reports and studies from organizations such as Emgage, which actively mobilized Muslim voters:
- Georgia: Approximately 61,000 Muslim voters.
- Arizona: Exact numbers are not available, but it's estimated that several tens of thousands of Muslim voters participated.
- Pennsylvania: Around 125,000 Muslim voters.
- Wisconsin: No precise figure is available, but like Arizona, it's estimated that tens of thousands of Muslim voters turned out.
- Michigan: Michigan has one of the largest Muslim American populations in the U.S., with an estimated 270,000 Muslim voters.