According to Polls, Kamala is behind In Virtually Every Single Swing State

[gho3st]

I've been tracking the polls and I'm not even exaggerating a bit. Yes, most are within the margin of error, but it's not a positive trend imo. She was polling way better just a month ago after she crushed him in the debate - which is why he refused a second. Now, the swing states for some reason seem to be tilted towards the right. I can only hope data is being scrawled from right-wing echo chambers like X, because this is not trending in Kamala's favor.

Arizona: Arizona : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Trump +2.4)

North Carolina: North Carolina : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Trump +1.4)

Georgia: Georgia : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Trump +1.8)

Pennsylvania: Pennsylvania : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Trump +0.7)

Nevada: Nevada : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Trump +0.3)

Wisconsin: Wisconsin : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Harris +0.6)

Michigan: Michigan : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Harris +0.8)

Based on polling, I'd call NV, PA, WI, MI genuine toss-ups. I'm actually surprised by GA. She is not leading a single GA poll. But the good thing about GA is absentee balloting a and strong early voter turnout are usually positive signs for Democrats. That said, if she loses both PA and GA it is going to be hard to see a path to victory for her - even if she wins NV, MI and WI. In a situation where she ends up losing GA and PA, she would need to win the aforementioned three and secure NC - which would have her winning a very narrow race. I'm going to predict that whoever wins this election is going to win at least 2 of GA, PA and NC. Those are the three key states and where all political energy should be focused if I were in her camp. In fact, I might even go as far as saying whoever wins PA wins the election.

Kamala can lose GA and NC and still get to 270 if she wins PA as long as she holds WI and MI. Dems better hope for a good turnout. If I were to predict, I'd say a heavy landslide 281-257 to the Republicans, or 276-262 to Dems in a very close race. If Dems can win any combination of GA, PA, NC, then they win a landslide; only that that polls are suggesting this is unlikely. Again, watch PA as an early indicator of who should win the election.

Don't shoot the messenger, I'm just following the data.

People love disinformation. And republicans are kings of that sht

 

[Texkmot2446]

You're very wrong about Michelle. Winning presidency is all about charisma and Michelle is probably one of the top democrats. Plus she's a true ADOS. Trust me those southern conservative black folks don't really relate to a mixed race immigrant like Kamala even if she might look like them.

Michelle is a superstar candidate for the democrats. I just don't think the Obamas and their family want the media and fame that comes with serving another potential 8 years. Plus they wouldn't do her justice to leave her with only 3 months of campaigning during a last minute swap out.

If kamala loses, dems need to get Michelle into some kind of senate position (like Hillary did ) and have Michelle run in 2028.

 

[Georgiamuscle]

Kemp is a Piece of shyt but alot of folks are not sophisticated enough to understand why.

He just cut summer school lunch funding.

I'm tired of Dumb negros that can't spot their enemy.

You’re not from GA. You’re just a fakkit shill

 

[Voice of Reason]

You’re not from GA. You’re just a fakkit shill

In here capping for a cracka that does not want to help build more affordable housing, refuses to fund MARTA, and is cutting summer school lunches.

Dumbass clown.

 

[Georgiamuscle]

In here capping for a cracka that does not want to help build more affordable housing, refuses to fund MARTA, and is cutting summer school lunches.

Dumbass clown.

Nobody’s capping for a cac, cac. You’re just mad I’m not sucking Abrams off. She lost twice for a reason. I said the cac didn’t do enough for people to question him. Summer school lunches , and MARTA is still running fine. Now get out my mentions, fakkit.

 

[Voice of Reason]

Nobody’s capping for a cac. You’re just mad I’m not sucking Abrams off. She lost twice for a reason. I said the cac didn’t do enough for people to question him. School lunches, and MARTA is still running fine. Now get out my mentions, fakkit.

You are stupid ass fukk the cracka has done plenty.

And I'm no where near a tether bytch.

And I did not like Abrams on the "sanctuary city" shyt but she would be better than that cracka.

 

[desjardins]

Its within the margin of error, but she is also polling significantly lower than Biden did and that was a close election. But as another commenter said its about the poll in 5 days. She's not doing good.

Too bad they didn't run Michelle out there, she would win hands down. If they would have had a primary, then the Dems would probably win easily as well. Kamala is just not popular at all. She didn't make it to the last primary, she didn't accomplish anything as VP and now she is the best thing ever without really ever accomplishing anything on her own. But to be fair, its really hard for a VP to accomplish anything.

The biggest problem I see is the parties have seen that they can now run out their hand chosen candidate and the voters will just accept it. That's scary. No more need for primaries anymore.

Its going to be interesting to say the least.

yea I don't think you can discount charisma and likability, especially not in a world that elected Trump
Every time Michelle gives a DNC speech it's the headline story. I bet fundraising and other metrics go up as well
In a country where the majority of voters can't articulate candidate platforms anyway

 

[King Poetic]

Im just going to wait till election day and the 5 days after because you know if trump on the losing end mike Johnson and the rest of republicans will be doing they lap dog work

 

[CrimsonTider]

I can’t believe yall about to get fooled by white women again.

nikkas never learn not to trust white women.

Who is yall?

 

[Samori Toure]

Trump and the Republican Party have been putting out fake polls for the last 3 months. Yet when you review the real polls like IPSOS, and other reputable State polls they show her leading nationally and leading in 4 of the 6 contested swing States.

 

[egsteel]

Them polls don't mean shyt. Especially when we have a pretty good amount of early voting data. Obviously we don't know who people are voting for yet, but it looks like she will be fine imo.

Exactly, whenever people talk about polls I flash back to 2016. So many polls had Hillary in the lead and she still lost.

 

[NerdNash]

Yall are hilarious

 

[TheJet]

We don't use or recognise any poll that's favourable to kamala around here

get with the programm

 

[NOSaintsFan02]

Dave (The "I've seen enough" guy) is one of the few I trust. He called the last two and currently says this one is close. I think both sides are (unsurprisingly) acting confident and that their candidate has it in the bag but truthfully it's probably really close. My gut says the anti Trump votes pushes Kamala over the edge but we'll see.




From 2020:



From 2016

 

[iceberg_is_on_fire]

If we just keep pushing, it's over. We are going to have our first female president. North Carolina hasn't been blue since 2008. This means Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin have fallen according to the GOP because North Carolina shouldn't be up for grabs based on recent history. This is the 'break glass in case of emergency' scenario for Republicans.