According to Polls, Kamala is behind In Virtually Every Single Swing State

[sportscribe]

abram is a nice lady but being a lesbian basically kills any chance of her ever winning georgia

I ain't outright heard someone use the word 'lesbian' in a minute.

 

[IIVI]

According to actual early vote numbers, she's most likely bodying the election.

Remember, in 2020 states like North Carolina the early votes accounted for the most votes.

2020 General Election Turnout | NCSBE

Data and charts of North Carolina turnout for the November 2020 general election.

www.ncsbe.gov

 

[FaTaL]

According to actual early votes she's bodying the election.

theres so much mis information i dont know what to think except about dropping off my ballot tomorrow.

 

[Traveler]

Its within the margin of error, but she is also polling significantly lower than Biden did and that was a close election. But as another commenter said its about the poll in 5 days. She's not doing good.

Too bad they didn't run Michelle out there, she would win hands down. If they would have had a primary, then the Dems would probably win easily as well. Kamala is just not popular at all. She didn't make it to the last primary, she didn't accomplish anything as VP and now she is the best thing ever without really ever accomplishing anything on her own. But to be fair, its really hard for a VP to accomplish anything.

The biggest problem I see is the parties have seen that they can now run out their hand chosen candidate and the voters will just accept it. That's scary. No more need for primaries anymore.

Its going to be interesting to say the least.

 

[#BOTHSIDES]

I've been tracking the polls and I'm not even exaggerating a bit. Yes, most are within the margin of error, but it's not a positive trend imo. She was polling way better just a month ago after she crushed him in the debate - which is why he refused a second. Now, the swing states for some reason seem to be tilted towards the right. I can only hope data is being scrawled from right-wing echo chambers like X, because this is not trending in Kamala's favor.

Arizona: Arizona : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Trump +2.4)

North Carolina: North Carolina : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Trump +1.4)

Georgia: Georgia : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Trump +1.8)

Pennsylvania: Pennsylvania : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Trump +0.7)

Nevada: Nevada : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Trump +0.3)

Wisconsin: Wisconsin : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Harris +0.6)

Michigan: Michigan : President: general election : 2024 Polls (Harris +0.8)

Based on polling, I'd call NV, PA, WI, MI genuine toss-ups. I'm actually surprised by GA. She is not leading a single GA poll. But the good thing about GA is absentee balloting a and strong early voter turnout are usually positive signs for Democrats. That said, if she loses both PA and GA it is going to be hard to see a path to victory for her - even if she wins NV, MI and WI. In a situation where she ends up losing GA and PA, she would need to win the aforementioned three and secure NC - which would have her winning a very narrow race. I'm going to predict that whoever wins this election is going to win at least 2 of GA, PA and NC. Those are the three key states and where all political energy should be focused if I were in her camp. In fact, I might even go as far as saying whoever wins PA wins the election.

Kamala can lose GA and NC and still get to 270 if she wins PA as long as she holds WI and MI. Dems better hope for a good turnout. If I were to predict, I'd say a heavy landslide 281-257 to the Republicans, or 276-262 to Dems in a very close race. If Dems can win any combination of GA, PA, NC, then they win a landslide; only that that polls are suggesting this is unlikely. Again, watch PA as an early indicator of who should win the election.

Don't shoot the messenger, I'm just following the data.

coli doesn't believe in anything that goes against our queen kamala

 

[Wild self]

TLR is a major liability that could get sued by Dominion.

 

[LV Koopa]

Its within the margin of error, but she is also polling significantly lower than Biden did and that was a close election. But as another commenter said its about the poll in 5 days. She's not doing good.

Too bad they didn't run Michelle out there, she would win hands down. If they would have had a primary, then the Dems would probably win easily as well. Kamala is just not popular at all. She didn't make it to the last primary, she didn't accomplish anything as VP and now she is the best thing ever without really ever accomplishing anything on her own. But to be fair, its really hard for a VP to accomplish anything.

The biggest problem I see is the parties have seen that they can now run out their hand chosen candidate and the voters will just accept it. That's scary. No more need for primaries anymore.

Its going to be interesting to say the least.

Michelle would have gotten crushed. Y'all need to stop spouting this nonsense. She's never run a notable business or held office. If you believe the country hates women and won't vote for Kamala, then Michelle running on being an ex-President's wife is fukking stupid and a waste of the Democratic Party's time.

 

[Oldschooler]

Michelle would have gotten crushed. Y'all need to stop spouting this nonsense. She's never run a notable business or held office. If you believe the country hates women and won't vote for Kamala, then Michelle running on being an ex-President's wife is fukking stupid and a waste of the Democratic Party's time.

You're very wrong about Michelle. Winning presidency is all about charisma and Michelle is probably one of the top democrats. Plus she's a true ADOS. Trust me those southern conservative black folks don't really relate to a mixed race immigrant like Kamala even if she might look like them.

Michelle is a superstar candidate for the democrats. I just don't think the Obamas and their family want the media and fame that comes with serving another potential 8 years. Plus they wouldn't do her justice to leave her with only 3 months of campaigning during a last minute swap out.

 

[sportscribe]

You're very wrong about Michelle. Winning presidency is all about charisma and Michelle is probably one of the top democrats. Plus she's a true ADOS. Trust me those southern conservative black folks don't really relate to a mixed race immigrant like Kamala even if she might look like them.

Michelle is a superstar candidate for the democrats. I just don't think the Obamas and their family want the media and fame that comes with serving another potential 8 years. Plus they wouldn't do her justice to leave her with only 3 months of campaigning during a last minute swap out.

Honest question; do you think Michelle Obama would have stood a better chance than Hillary did in 2016?

 

[LV Koopa]

You're very wrong about Michelle. Winning presidency is all about charisma and Michelle is probably one of the top democrats. Plus she's a true ADOS. Trust me those southern conservative black folks don't really relate to a mixed race immigrant like Kamala even if she might look like them.

Michelle is a superstar candidate for the democrats. I just don't think the Obamas and their family want the media and fame that comes with serving another potential 8 years. Plus they wouldn't do her justice to leave her with only 3 months of campaigning during a last minute swap out.

ok breh everyone has dreams. Good for you.

 

[Elim Garak]

Marist poll that just dropped since we are going by polling.


Michigan: Home of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and More

Wisconsin: Home of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and More

Pennsylvania: Home of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and More

 

[DaStangMan]

Polls are kind of everywhere this cycle. Using Nate Silver and Real Clear politics seems like a toss up

But any polling error to the left or right by maybe 2-3 percent could mean an electoral landslide either way

 

[Pirius Black]

Right leaning pollsters skewing the average plus polls oversampling Trump voters to make up for the misreads in '16 and '20. They flooded the zone during midterms and the Red Wave that was supposed to swamp Congress crashed out.

 

[Georgiamuscle]

i think GA is an anomaly, but AZ might be pretty blue going forward. tons of californians moved there during covid

GA, you still have Kemp winning governor's races, so i can't help but look at the Kemp vs Abrams/Trump vs Harris parallel

I was thinking the same along the Kemp/Abrams parallel.

People shouldn't forget that outside of Metro Atlanta and parts of Macon, Savannah etc, GA is a deep red state lol.

Biden won by barely 10,000 votes.

Yall do know Gov Kemp distanced himself from Trump years ago, right?

Kemp praises Biden’s Hurricane Helene response amid Trump criticism

He was one of the first to certify the 2020 results. He hasn’t been a horrible Governor and nobody was going for Stacey like that (fat, dyke, anti-man). To say he is a Trump adjacent politician is dishonest. He’s more like Romney or someone reasonable in the Rethug party than anything and that’s enough to keep you in office here. In the same election cycle, Warnock and Ossoff won their senate seats. GA just wasn’t fukking with Abrams like that

 

[B86]

She comes out in front of crowds or in interviews and pretty much says nothing of value every single time. It's damn near election day and most people don't even know what her potential policies are. Nobody should have to go to her campaign website to read about her policies when she has every opportunity to voice them; but she doesn't.