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Superstar
As someone who actually voted for Warnock, I can tell you for a fact he was up by a percentage point according to most polls, so to read Walker was up by 7% in any poll is wild.
According to Polls, Kamala is behind In Virtually Every Single Swing State
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As someone who actually voted for Warnock, I can tell you for a fact he was up by a percentage point according to most polls, so to read Walker was up by 7% in any poll is wild.
Bonier: We’ve heard from Republicans for four years now how they supposedly invested in voter registration. They say they’re winning the registration battle in places like Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada, and Arizona. Well, if that were true, we’d expect to see them doing better with these new registrants in the early vote, given their emphasis on it. What we’re actually seeing in terms of partisanship is that the partisanship of these first-time voters—and there’s almost a million of them in the Battleground States who have already cast a ballot—favors Democrats. It’s double the partisan advantage Democrats have across the entire universe of early voters. So, again, it’s an early sign, just one sign, but if we’re testing the theory of the case that Donald Trump himself tells us they’re going to win, we’re not seeing it.
the cac mamba
Veteran
frankly, i'm on your side. or these polls, or whatever. this is an uphill battleAs someone who actually voted for Warnock, I can tell you for a fact he was up by a percentage point according to most polls, so to read Walker was up by 7% in any poll is wild.
i think kamala will win, but just barely. i voted for her in Nevada. dudes in HL think she's gonna win this landslide election, and i just don't see it
i hope i'm wrong
iceberg_is_on_fire
Honolulu Blue Ski Mask Way
Those polls are bullshyt. They are herding. So many bullshyt polls. They don't want to run the risk of underestimating Trump for a third time but next to none of them know what they are doing.
Scustin Bieburr
Baby baybee baybee UUUGH
Polls don't mean anything
And I think at this point a lot of people have cast their early ballots and moved on from thinking about this.
The way I see it is this:
Either Harris wins and not much changes from the status quo or she loses, America falls off HARD, and then we get an opportunity to start over again and better this time. No more slave owners on our money, a new constitution, no more electoral college, closing the anti democratic elements in our government, legalizing actual checks and balances instead of relying on custom. Etc.
Throughout history a calamity needs to occur until reason and peace can come. WWI and II bankrupted the colonial powers and cut their populations of soldiers and weapons so drastically that they couldn't afford to keep stamping out the uprisings and rebellions.
The great depression gave us social security, infrastructure that we still use today thanks to a federal jobs guarantee and lifted millions out of poverty.
The civil war brought an end to a multi century practice of chattel slavery.
America's progress is always triggered by massive suffering. The freedom and rights for the oppressed always come when their oppressor loses the strength--no matter how briefly-- to continue to oppress them.
For the kind of change that we need, it's not going to happen peacefully. It would take a miracle like a Democrat dominated congress, multiple red states flipped blue, and a democrat president all working together and staying on code. No Joe mancin or Kirsten cinema types, only people who are on the Democrat agenda of jobs, infrastructure, and law enforcement(against the rich who continue to get away with financial crimes).
And I think at this point a lot of people have cast their early ballots and moved on from thinking about this.
The way I see it is this:
Either Harris wins and not much changes from the status quo or she loses, America falls off HARD, and then we get an opportunity to start over again and better this time. No more slave owners on our money, a new constitution, no more electoral college, closing the anti democratic elements in our government, legalizing actual checks and balances instead of relying on custom. Etc.
Throughout history a calamity needs to occur until reason and peace can come. WWI and II bankrupted the colonial powers and cut their populations of soldiers and weapons so drastically that they couldn't afford to keep stamping out the uprisings and rebellions.
The great depression gave us social security, infrastructure that we still use today thanks to a federal jobs guarantee and lifted millions out of poverty.
The civil war brought an end to a multi century practice of chattel slavery.
America's progress is always triggered by massive suffering. The freedom and rights for the oppressed always come when their oppressor loses the strength--no matter how briefly-- to continue to oppress them.
For the kind of change that we need, it's not going to happen peacefully. It would take a miracle like a Democrat dominated congress, multiple red states flipped blue, and a democrat president all working together and staying on code. No Joe mancin or Kirsten cinema types, only people who are on the Democrat agenda of jobs, infrastructure, and law enforcement(against the rich who continue to get away with financial crimes).
Elim Garak
Veteran
I think this is part of it. People forget no matter how many times it's been pointed out that they've underestimated democrats by 10% for the last two years as well on average.
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'20 Arizona and Georgia were anomalies. Those shouldn't be a surprise. NC is "competitive" but has been blue twice in the last 60 years post-LBJ.
You can also find polls that show her ahead. They mean nothing.
I Really Mean It
Veteran
we’ve been presented with multiple polls in the past 48hrs that show her ahead in michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsin, north carolina and arizona.
that’s not to mention how well she is doing in terms of early voting, onto which you can add gallup’s recent measurement of voter enthusiasm, both of which placing her squarely in the driver’s seat.
that’s not to mention how well she is doing in terms of early voting, onto which you can add gallup’s recent measurement of voter enthusiasm, both of which placing her squarely in the driver’s seat.
the cac mamba
Veteran
i think GA is an anomaly, but AZ might be pretty blue going forward. tons of californians moved there during covid
GA, you still have Kemp winning governor's races, so i can't help but look at the Kemp vs Abrams/Trump vs Harris parallel
sportscribe
Superstar
frankly, i'm on your side. or these polls, or whatever. this is an uphill battle
i think kamala will win, but just barely. i voted for her in Nevada. dudes in HL think she's gonna win this landslide election, and i just don't see it
i hope i'm wrong
Early voter here as well.
Most reasonable, well-intentioned US citizens will vote Democrat. Majority of Republicans vote against their own interests in order to further white supremacy and maintain some sort of racialist status quo. Either way, I am going to predict as well that if Trump doesn't win, he is going to incite WS thugs to go to the streets and protest (or possibly even riot).
This election is almost a referendum on the US as a democratic society. America is dangerously close to making fascist ideologies commonplace in the country. Then you have literal beneficiaries of apartheid and eugenecists trying to control the minds of impressionable white people to convince them that there is some hidden war or agenda against them, also fueling this pseudo fascist culture that seems to be springing up.
sportscribe
Superstar
we’ve been presented with multiple polls in the past 48hrs that show her ahead in michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsin, north carolina and arizona.
that’s not to mention how well she is doing in terms of early voting, onto which you can add gallup’s recent measurement of voter enthusiasm, both of which placing her squarely in the driver’s seat.
What I presented was polling averages by the way - not just a poll from one source.
sportscribe
Superstar
I was thinking the same along the Kemp/Abrams parallel.
People shouldn't forget that outside of Metro Atlanta and parts of Macon, Savannah etc, GA is a deep red state lol.
Biden won by barely 10,000 votes.
abram is a nice lady but being a lesbian basically kills any chance of her ever winning georgia
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