I don't know how Crawford can realistically best Spence, Crawford hits very clean and his defense is somewhat floys like but Spence throws such a high volume Crawford might have issues fighting at such a high pace also with Crawford suspect chin and he rarely gets hit clean I don't know if he can do it. People dislike Errol but in this matchup I think his volume and power will win unless bud can catch his mistakes and punish him often but I don't think buds porblem is there think bud just can't maintain that level of high pace boxing Spence was looking like pac in there with that crazy Mexican pace he was fighting at.
I think if bud prepaces for a stronger porter with longer reach and more stamina he could win but I kinda doubt it.
I really want to see Charlo vs David fight, dislike them Charlo cats big time they talk to crazy.
As much I like Spence he comes off like a mad man at times and ducks his head way too often, he can get touched by a skilled fighter.
You've beautifully articulated what I've been saying in this thread since the tko--Spence is an awful matchup for Crawford, especially at this point in Crawford's career where he might be slowing down.
People are getting caught up in Terrences mystique as being a switch hitting, adjustment making offensive savant, really subconsciously comparing him to Floyd, and attributing his dominance in the same manner. But the difference is Floyd hardly if ever struggled, and especially not in big fights when fighting people at the top level.
The fact remains that Crawford often DOES struggle with fighters at the elite level and throughout his career has had to rely on making adjustments in the later stages of the fight to pull it off. Great examples of this is against the following fighters: Gamboa, Benavidez, Kavalauskas, and Porter.
With fighting Spence, the question becomes can he for 12 rounds handle the constant pressure, workrate, power, strength and skill of Errol Spence. Can he make the adjustments with that kind of fighter who will in fact be turning it on around the stage of the fight Crawford usually adjusts? How will he react when he has zero time to think and have to fight the fight in the trenches? The answer to both questions is dubious at best.
The fight comes down to whether Crawford can hurt Spence enough to hold him off, if he has the endurance and stamina to fight in the trenches, and if his chin can hold up. Like you said when Crawford gets hit flush he gets shaky--and now he will be fighting the most accurate puncher in the division, statistically.
Crawford is 35, fighting a bigger/stronger fighter who is arguably as skilled as he is, never consistently fought the level of comp that would have prepared him for this showdown (#blamebob), doesn't have the best defense and doesn't typically fight on the inside. Objectively speaking, everything on paper points to a Spence win. There are too many ifs with Crawford, and not enough with Spence. Spence either stops him or wins a unanimous decision, in my opinion.