4/16 PBC on SHO PPV: Errol Spence vs Yordenis Ugas (WBC, WBA, IBF Welterweight Titles unification)

Who wins?


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Dallas' 4 Eva

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You've beautifully articulated what I've been saying in this thread since the tko--Spence is an awful matchup for Crawford, especially at this point in Crawford's career where he might be slowing down.

People are getting caught up in Terrences mystique as being a switch hitting, adjustment making offensive savant, really subconsciously comparing him to Floyd, and attributing his dominance in the same manner. But the difference is Floyd hardly if ever struggled, and especially not in big fights when fighting people at the top level.

The fact remains that Crawford often DOES struggle with fighters at the elite level and throughout his career has had to rely on making adjustments in the later stages of the fight to pull it off. Great examples of this is against the following fighters: Gamboa, Benavidez, Kavalauskas, and Porter.

With fighting Spence, the question becomes can he for 12 rounds handle the constant pressure, workrate, power, strength and skill of Errol Spence. Can he make the adjustments with that kind of fighter who will in fact be turning it on around the stage of the fight Crawford usually adjusts? How will he react when he has zero time to think and have to fight the fight in the trenches? The answer to both questions is dubious at best.

The fight comes down to whether Crawford can hurt Spence enough to hold him off, if he has the endurance and stamina to fight in the trenches, and if his chin can hold up. Like you said when Crawford gets hit flush he gets shaky--and now he will be fighting the most accurate puncher in the division, statistically.

Crawford is 35, fighting a bigger/stronger fighter who is arguably as skilled as he is, never consistently fought the level of comp that would have prepared him for this showdown (#blamebob), doesn't have the best defense and doesn't typically fight on the inside. Objectively speaking, everything on paper points to a Spence win. There are too many ifs with Crawford, and not enough with Spence. Spence either stops him or wins a unanimous decision, in my opinion.

Just off workrate alone Crawford can't win a decision on Spence, unless he scores several knockdowns. I been saying for a while Spence is all wrong for Crawford and is gonna stop him.
 

((ReFleXioN)) EteRNaL

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You've beautifully articulated what I've been saying in this thread since the tko--Spence is an awful matchup for Crawford, especially at this point in Crawford's career where he might be slowing down.

People are getting caught up in Terrences mystique as being a switch hitting, adjustment making offensive savant, really subconsciously comparing him to Floyd, and attributing his dominance in the same manner. But the difference is Floyd hardly if ever struggled, and especially not in big fights when fighting people at the top level.

The fact remains that Crawford often DOES struggle with fighters at the elite level and throughout his career has had to rely on making adjustments in the later stages of the fight to pull it off. Great examples of this is against the following fighters: Gamboa, Benavidez, Kavalauskas, and Porter.

With fighting Spence, the question becomes can he for 12 rounds handle the constant pressure, workrate, power, strength and skill of Errol Spence. Can he make the adjustments with that kind of fighter who will in fact be turning it on around the stage of the fight Crawford usually adjusts? How will he react when he has zero time to think and have to fight the fight in the trenches? The answer to both questions is dubious at best.

The fight comes down to whether Crawford can hurt Spence enough to hold him off, if he has the endurance and stamina to fight in the trenches, and if his chin can hold up. Like you said when Crawford gets hit flush he gets shaky--and now he will be fighting the most accurate puncher in the division, statistically.

Crawford is 35, fighting a bigger/stronger fighter who is arguably as skilled as he is, never consistently fought the level of comp that would have prepared him for this showdown (#blamebob), doesn't have the best defense and doesn't typically fight on the inside. Objectively speaking, everything on paper points to a Spence win. There are too many ifs with Crawford, and not enough with Spence. Spence either stops him or wins a unanimous decision, in my opinion.
This all sounds well and good. But you’re talking as if we haven’t already seen Spence in extremely close fights with brook and porter. Brook and Spence were pretty much trading rounds until spence broke him down. We’ve also seen porter go blow for blow with spence and even buzz him. So I’m not understanding this idea that he’s gonna completely overwhelm Crawford.

You ask how is bud gonna respond when he doesn’t have time to think. Bud has always shown that he’s one of the quickest thinkers in the sport. Which is why the majority of his knockouts come when guys try to rush him. That’s where bud thrives. If anything Spence is the one who’s gonna have to make adjustments. Errol Spence’s whole style plays right into Bud’s hands. A non stop pressure fighter with a leaky defense. Come on now. That’s why bud been chasing this fight for years. How is Errol Spence gonna respond when he’s facing a guy who’s making him pay for all that wild lunging he does?

This is gonna be the first fight in Spence’s career where he’s gonna be facing somebody with more athleticism. Faster hands. Faster feet. Just as strong. Just as smart. And even smarter.

You ever wonder why porter felt so comfortable standing toe to toe with Spence but Crawford had him gunshy?....Porter landed 179 punches on Spence in 12 rounds while only landing 79 on bud in 10. Porter threw 350 punches vs bud but threw 750 against Spence. Porter is usually around 700 punches thrown in all of his biggest fights. That’s his MO. matter of fact Shawn Porter and Errol Spence have very similar work rates. And bud essentially cut Shawn’s punch output by 50%.

Why do you think that is?…..why do you think Shawn knew he could press spence in a way he never dared to do with bud?…..maybe because bud is a better puncher?….has faster hands?….better ring iq?….this is what bud does to pressure fighters. He makes them timid. Errol Spence doesn’t know how to be timid. Which means he’s gonna be doing the same head first lunging shyt with bud and he’s gonna end up walking into something. You guys still don’t understand just how special bud really is. Spence hasn’t seen anything remotely close to his skill set.

And that’s not to say spence can’t win. Cause he’s special too. But the way some of y’all are acting like bud is gonna be a deer in headlights is hilarious. Dude has been ready for this moment. There’s a reason Spence said out of his own he wanted to collect all the pbc belts first then go after Crawford last. Cause him Derrick James both know bud is a whole different breed than the rest of them dudes.
 
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