Finding this hard to call, prolly just due to allegiance. Followed Spence since the Olympics, but have followed Ugas since the Jamal James fight where he was cast off and expected to lose. Ugas hasn't truly lost in 6 years. But away from that, stylistically this fight favors Ugas. He wants to sit back and counter, he wants you to generate offense for him. Spence can box a bit on his back foot but he's not super elusive doing that. He's going to do what he always does, pump the great jab, go to the body, high workrate. I think truly the onus is on Ugas, because the rounds will be close and Spence will throw his 60-70 punches per round and Ugas will sit at his 40 and the rounds will be close, most likely going Spence's way. Ugas has to make a splash, and opening up more might give Spence the opportunities that he wants. Feels like a MD kind of fight. Spence hasn't stopped a top opponent since 2017(Lamont was a blown up Welter). Excited.
But also, the Stanionis-Butaev fight is interesting. Can't call it. Haven't really watched too much of Butaev so I'm more familiar with Stanionis ,but that performance against Jamal James was impressive.
? You be bringing up people and circumstances that HAVE nothing to do with the current discussion. That’s how women often approach dialogue 
. Ugas is not a popular fighter… period. Nobody cares he beat Crawford in the amateurs. That’s not going to be a boon for his professional popularity. That’s a whole different fight game. EJ is my fav fighter, but he’s a sizable favorite over dude for a reason. He should beat him. Hopefully, after this fight we can get the fight everyone is clamoring for.
