2024 United States Presidential Election Megathread

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Spoiler: full text & large images

1/11
@Acyn
Kamala Harris to Gen Z: You know that it is not right that you could have fewer rights than your mother or your grandmother. You know it is not theoretical and it is not political. It is your lived experience and I see you. And I see your power.



https://video.twimg.com/amplify_video/1850007620591239168/vid/avc1/1280x720/lNmib66g3yx_dnWt.mp4

2/11
@whereami345
People don’t realize how quickly things can go backwards! VOTE BLUE!



3/11
@DenisonBarbs
GenZ better look up the term internment camp. Because that’s what people are headed for if Donald Trump gets elected.

4/11
@ChrisJustice01
/search?q=#HarrisWalz /search?q=#ForThePeople /search?q=#VoteBlue /search?q=#BlueWave



5/11
@jensanti1890
She is so cringe at this



6/11
@AbbasiAteeq20
Kamala's words resonate deeply; we must fight for our rights and empower future generations.



7/11
@gatesisthedevil
This, how can we be okay as a country by have less freedom than we were born with?

/search?q=#WeAreNotGoingBack



8/11
@Hot_Dog_In_Car
The party that called young men incels is appealing to gynocentrism to get their vote. Brilliant.



9/11
@RashidKhan1515
Kamala Harris's message to Generation Z underscores a key narrative in contemporary American politics, focusing on the preservation and expansion of rights. Here's how her statement could be unpacked based on current sentiments and political strategies:



10/11
@paxchristi1961
/search?q=#HarrisWalz2024 /search?q=#VoteBlueToSaveAmerica /search?q=#BlueTsunami /search?q=#GOTV



11/11
@BlueSedition
I can't believe we're even having this conversation in 2024. I can't believe we have to talk about these people not banning porn in our own homes, but literal women's rights. What the hell is going on here?




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[bnew]

Spoiler: full text

1/1
Kamala Harris: Men across America do not want to see their daughters, their wives and sisters and mothers put at risk because of their rights have been taken. I see the men here. I thank you, the men of America do not want this.




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[bnew]

Spoiler: full text & large images

1/11
@lakeshow73
They lie so effortlessly.

[Quoted tweet]
Eric Trump on Fox Business claims that Trump drew 35,000 people for his speech Wednesday in Georgia. The arena he spoke at has a capacity of 13,000 so, no.


https://video-t-1.twimg.com/amplify_video/1849839795570143232/vid/avc1/1280x720/Cy3dnSrFIBV9VaOv.mp4

2/11
@OffsetBreak
Maybe he was counting all of the pre-fertilized unborn babies carried by the female vessels in attendance



3/11
@gmg825
The Trumps only know to do one thing with totals for numbers- inflate or deflate them based on their goal. But they never just present them in their true state. It’s always a con.



4/11
@Siraj7956696573
You said it very well, I agree with you



5/11
@fulminarey


[Quoted tweet]
Soft comfortable shirt. I've gotten so many high-fives wearing this shirt and people asking where to get it.
I got it from here
teezily.com/stores/miamili

6/11
@ClarissaLValdez




7/11
@Montpellier21
A family of liars



8/11
@clare_engl70390
The whole family lies. Must be in their DNA.



9/11
@deeks37




10/11
@NagleKara
With zero pushback



11/11
@niery1963
Putz!





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[bnew]

Spoiler: thread continued

Spoiler: full text & large images

1/17
@LizMair
OK, I read the leaked Trump emails. A few thoughts, in no particular order.

1) They sure make it look like RFK Jr's endorsement was bought. And for CHEAP! I think *I* would have charged more than $100k to endorse Trump! Maybe the brain worm did more damage than we realized...



2/17
@LizMair
2) I'm pretty sure *some* law will look like it was violated here, so I hope whoever signed the engagement letter plus RFK Jr himself are getting ready for some calls from the FBI and/or state level law enforcement authorities and/or FEC people.



3/17
@LizMair
3) I wonder a little about all the information sharing that looks like it was happening between Trump campaign pollsters and NumbersUSA and Heartland. If NumbersUSA was doing anything not in line with their tax designation, that could be really financially bad for them.



4/17
@LizMair
4) I never believed that anyone other than Marco Rubio and Elise Stefanik, respectively, believed that Marco Rubio and Elise Stefanik were being considered for VP. Looks like I was right!



5/17
@LizMair
5) Clearly with VP nominee selection, Trump went with his gut, not the data. Too bad for Ron DeSantis, because if Trump went with the data DeSantis would probably become President very shortly and without having to win, like, a presidential primary!



6/17
@LizMair
(Side note: This is also a sad thing for my kid, who read the leaked info side by side with me; he likes DeSantis; I have a mutual-experience-driven affinity for Vance. Oh well)



7/17
@LizMair
6) Chris Ruddy is a MUCH savvier guy than a lot of people give him credit for. It's interesting that he didn't seem to be buying Trump polling at least at the exact time of the emails leaked. That polling also significantly diverged from public polling at the time.



8/17
@LizMair
7) The divergence between Trump internal polling and public polling and the campaign's stress about it maybe tells us something. A) The Trump people have been supremely confident heading towards Election Day. Maybe they shouldn't be! Their model seems way different to, say, Marquette!



9/17
@LizMair
That said, and I say this having done some political work in WI, accurately polling WI is notoriously hard for whatever reason. B) Trump's model could ABSOLUTELY be right and everyone else's could be wrong. He might have this seriously locked up and other pollsters missed it.



10/17
@LizMair
B) In general, though, I find campaigns somehow always manage to overstate their candidate's strength in internals. The exception is Walker's campaign against recall in 2012-- that one, our internals were right on the money.



11/17
@LizMair
C) We're really not going to know how good or bad Trump's polling was until all the votes are counted, and if I were the Harris team, I would not assume he overstated his support at all. Go turn out every single vote you can and you might still win. But maybe be extra vigilant because you could be further behind than you think.



12/17
@LizMair
8) Does this leak do anything to affect the race? Well, probably Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita and Steven Cheung's inboxes look like a nuclear bomb went off, and you really DON'T want that in the closing days of a tight race. Someone throwing any kind of wrench in the gears really can fukk a campaign that otherwise would be in OK shape.



13/17
@LizMair
But does what is revealed actually move any votes? I think the RFK Jr stuff *maybe* moves like 25 voters in each swing county. There are some people who *have* migrated to Trump because of him and because they believed the endorsement was sincere.



14/17
@LizMair
If the race is really tight (like Rob Simmons 2006 re-elect tight), those 25 voters in critical counties might matter. But it is a very small number. So no, I don't think this really moves the needle except insofar as any wrench in the gears at this stage is no bueno.



15/17
@LizMair
Also, for those asking, while both the leaking org and I did work to take down Madison Cawthorn, no, they were not our firm's client. Nor to my knowledge was there a common donor. I didn't find out about any of this until about 2:30PM today, so it's as much news to me as you guys.



16/17
@LizMair
Also, I'd just like to note that I'm very happy to work in obscurity and not claim credit for specific results of specific work. But this is a good reminder that Cawthorn and others continue to attribute his loss to people who maybe didn't actually do that much to procure it



17/17
@LizMair
OH, final thought. I love that a presidential campaign staffed by serious people was doing polling based on a Catturd post. That's amazing in so many ways.




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[Cladyclad]

Elon dangerous

80% of my timeline is negative Kamala tweets. I barely look at politics on my twitter. This shyt crazy

 

[Crude Abolitionist]

I voted Monday for Kamala Harris in red Texas.

I believe she will win the election at this point.

 

[KingofthePenguins]

Well, it is over. I knew that she was going to lose, but this is looking like a blowout. If Democrats are about to get usurped in early voting, which they normally dominate, then election day is going to be a Democrat's nightmare. If Trump wins the popular vote, though, then Democrats about to rebrand so fast

Early Voting and Mail-In Ballots by State 2024 Results

 

[BeeCityRoller]

Which Republican are we going to tout this weekend who endorsed her

 

[Samori Toure]

Well, it is over. I knew that she was going to lose, but this is looking like a blowout. If Democrats are about to get usurped in early voting, which they normally dominate, then election day is going to be a Democrat's nightmare. If Trump wins the popular vote, though, then Democrats about to rebrand so fast

Early Voting and Mail-In Ballots by State 2024 Results

Ummm there are more Democratic voters than there are Republican voters and Democrats have the early vote lead and they are going to win the popular vote. What you Trumpians never seem to acknowledge is that he has never won the popular vote nor has he ever gotten over 47% of the vote total.

 

[Sauce Mane]

Well, it is over. I knew that she was going to lose, but this is looking like a blowout. If Democrats are about to get usurped in early voting, which they normally dominate, then election day is going to be a Democrat's nightmare. If Trump wins the popular vote, though, then Democrats about to rebrand so fast

Early Voting and Mail-In Ballots by State 2024 Results

There's no way Trump will win the popular vote. Republicans always struggle with the popular vote but can only win with electoral college

 

[KingofthePenguins]

Ummm there are more Democratic voters than there are Republican voters and Democrats have the early vote lead and they are going to win the popular vote. What you Trumpians never seem to acknowledge is that he has never won the popular vote nor has he ever gotten over 47% of the vote total.

That is has recently become untrue: 2024 Election Environment Favorable to GOP. More people are registered as Republican than they are registered as Democrat. If they are able to surpass Democrats in early voting, then Trump has the popular vote. Democrats are going to toss Black women by the wayside if Trump wins the popular vote

 

[Samori Toure]

That is has recently become untrue: 2024 Election Environment Favorable to GOP. More people are registered as Republican than they are registered as Democrat. If they are able to surpass Democrats in early voting, then Trump has the popular vote. Democrats are going to toss Black women by the wayside if Trump wins the popular vote

Colibro's political knowledge is fugging hilarious. This is why you retards end up attacking the Nation's Capitol after you lose elections, because y'all can't count. The Democrats have gigantic edge over Republicans in registered voters. The Republicans rely upon Independent voters to win elections.

Republican Voters​

The number of registered voters in each party will vary from year to year. Fortunately for everyone, the numbers for each of the parties remain fairly unchanged from one year to the next. That includes the number of voters for the Republican Party.

The number of registered voters for the Republican Party is approximately 38.8 million. And much like its opposing parties, these numbers are competitive when compared against the Independent and Democratic parties. Republican voters can also lay claim to having seven red states as of the last Presidential election.

Democratic Voters​

The Democratic voters have historically held an edge over Republican voters, and recent data shows that this data is still holding true. The number of Democratic voters is reported to be around 49 million. The Dems also carried the lion's share of registered voters in States that asked voters to declare affiliation, with 36 percent of voters declaring Democratic affiliation. What might be most surprising about those figures is that the second-largest reporting party affiliation was the Independents, not the Republicans. That leads us to the next question regarding the number of registered voters by party.

Independent Voters​

The number of people who identify with and declare themselves as Independent voters is second next to Democrats. What might be surprising to many people is that the overall number of people who claim affiliation with the Independent party is usually more than those who declare themselves as either Democrat or Republican.

The other impressive figure for those who declare as Independent voters is that 31 percent turn out for those states that asked for party affiliation declarations. This, of course, doesn't mean there will be an Independent uprising, but it does reveal the balance among the parties.

Registered Voters by Party 2024

worldpopulationreview.com

Additionally, no Republican has won the popular vote President in over 20 years. George W. Bush was the last Republican President to do that.

https://www.reuters.com/article/fact-check/the-last-republican-us-president-who-also-won-the-popular-vote-was-george-w-b-idUSL1N34I24F/

 

[BrothaZay]

If she gets blown out this is dems fault.

I keep telling you clowns Republicans played on the ignorance of the average America citizen and you niccas swore up and down “those ppl don’t vote anyway “

You literally got ppl in democrat cities repeating Republican narratives like “democrat shytholes “ and you dumbasses really thought this was going to be a landslide victory for Kamala

As someone who leans left, dems deserved to lose this election just for having their heads up their ass and ignoring the average every day US citizen

 

[KingofthePenguins]

Colibro's political knowledge is fugging hilarious. This is why you retards end up attacking the Nation's Capitol after you lose elections, because y'all can't count. The Democrats have gigantic edge over Republicans in registered voters. The Republicans rely upon Independent voters to win elections.

Republican Voters​

The number of registered voters in each party will vary from year to year. Fortunately for everyone, the numbers for each of the parties remain fairly unchanged from one year to the next. That includes the number of voters for the Republican Party.

The number of registered voters for the Republican Party is approximately 38.8 million. And much like its opposing parties, these numbers are competitive when compared against the Independent and Democratic parties. Republican voters can also lay claim to having seven red states as of the last Presidential election.

Democratic Voters​

The Democratic voters have historically held an edge over Republican voters, and recent data shows that this data is still holding true. The number of Democratic voters is reported to be around 49 million. The Dems also carried the lion's share of registered voters in States that asked voters to declare affiliation, with 36 percent of voters declaring Democratic affiliation. What might be most surprising about those figures is that the second-largest reporting party affiliation was the Independents, not the Republicans. That leads us to the next question regarding the number of registered voters by party.

Independent Voters​

The number of people who identify with and declare themselves as Independent voters is second next to Democrats. What might be surprising to many people is that the overall number of people who claim affiliation with the Independent party is usually more than those who declare themselves as either Democrat or Republican.

The other impressive figure for those who declare as Independent voters is that 31 percent turn out for those states that asked for party affiliation declarations. This, of course, doesn't mean there will be an Independent uprising, but it does reveal the balance among the parties.

Registered Voters by Party 2024

worldpopulationreview.com

Additionally, no Republican has won the popular vote President in over 20 years. George W. Bush was the last Republican President to do that.

https://www.reuters.com/article/fact-check/the-last-republican-us-president-who-also-won-the-popular-vote-was-george-w-b-idUSL1N34I24F/

I believe that Gallup has more credibility than "World Population Review," but do whatever allows you to wallow in delusion before the election. You can type as many harangues with poor punctuation as you want, but the early voting numbers are still the early voting numbers. Democrats are getting surpassed in their specialty, but you believe that it is not suggesting an ass whooping on election day—even though Democrats have not once had greater election day turnout than Republicans this century. He is winning the electoral college; the question is about the popular vote, which appears pretty favorable. If he does, though, then that is a referendum on Democrats, and a huge overhaul of the party is going to happen. The wannabe boule set is going to be in the unemployment line, and that is why this election is so existential to you charlatans

 

[Samori Toure]

I believe that Gallup has more credibility than "World Population Review," but do whatever allows you to wallow in delusion before the election. You can type as many harangues with poor punctuation as you want, but the early voting numbers are still the early voting numbers. Democrats are getting surpassed in their specialty, but you believe that it is not suggesting an ass whooping on election day—even though Democrats have not once had greater election day turnout than Republicans this century. He is winning the electoral college; the question is about the popular vote, which appears pretty favorable. If he does, though, then that is a referendum on Democrats, and a huge overhaul of the party is going to happen. The wannabe boule set is going to be in the unemployment line, and that is why this election is so existential to you charlatans

I believe you might be slow. The numbers are from registered voting rolls you dope.