2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread

[greenvale]

Do yall got a realtime dashboard or something

 

[TEKBEATZ]

Yoooo..wow

 

[Malcolmxxx_23]

When does PA get announced ?
9pm?

 

[acri1]

Am I wrong to think that higher turnout automatically favors dem? like Kamala has much higher "turnout upside" than trump?

is there any scenario where high turnout is better for Repubs?

I mean, it depends on who's turning out, but yes, high turnout usually favors democrats.

 

[Ozymandeas]

Trump's sentencing is at the end of November so odds are he'll be in jail on January 6th, 2025 if he hasn't fled the country.

https://www.axios.com/2024/11/04/trump-prison-sentencing-criminal-cases

yep. only in ghetto ass America can someone run for President so they can avoid going to prison.

 

[Elim Garak]

Dems are having a great day if what I'm reading is true. I believe Harris has this.

 

[MAKAVELI25]

Am I wrong to think that higher turnout automatically favors dem? like Kamala has much higher "turnout upside" than trump?

is there any scenario where high turnout is better for Repubs?

4 years can have impact for the next 50

Assuming high turnout automatically favors Democrats overlooks how the coalitions are forming.

• College (and plus) educated voters used to be a reliable Republican voting base. That is no longer the case, in fact, these individuals are now becoming reliable Democratic voters.

Race is becoming a less accurate predictor of how someone will vote and the more accurate predictors are becoming:

• Such voter's level of education
• How close such voter lives to the center of a city.

Part of why Dems did so well in 2022 is because the Party is now absorbing higher educated voters, who are also higher propensity voters and tend to vote in midterms. The plus side is, if the coalitions continue changing as they have been, Dems should do better in midterms (and similar low turnout elections) than they have been doing because they have the more high propensity voters.

However, the downside is that higher turnout elections will not necessarily be in the Dem's favor. We can no longer assume that high turnout elections tend to benefit Democrats because that may include lower propensity voters, who are being absorbed in to the Republican base, and are voting and casting votes for Republicans.

 

[acri1]

When does PA get announced ?
9pm?

Polls close at 8pm. After that it just depends on how long it takes to count and how close it is.

 

[Outlaw]

How’s Utah and SC looking?

 

[dtownreppin214]

 

[br82186]

 

[Bleed The Freak]

I hope Democrats go with the "we have a mandate" shyt the GOP always likes to say

 

[the cac mamba]

When does PA get announced ?
9pm?

*tomorrow

 

[the cac mamba]

I hope Democrats go with the "we have a mandate" shyt the GOP always likes to say

dems keeping the senate, with THAT map, would absolutely be a mandate

 

[Poetical Poltergeist]