2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread

[MeachTheMonster]

For context, Ohio allows only one early voting location per county. I live in North Carolina and the county where I voted at (Mecklenburg) had 33 early voting locations.

This is true, but the lines are still long compared to other years.

 

[The region 219]

Selzer on Morning Joe:

• She is/was as surprised as anyone
• The change in likely voters drove the spike in Harris’ numbers
• She doesn’t lean on past data and trends from previous decades elections
• Confident in what they saw and published
• Pushed back on Trump not liking the poll when the methodology was the same as 2016
• Neither candidate is over 50% and there is 7% that responded they were voting for RFK, still undecided or voted and didn’t want to say who they voted for.

My takeaway is there is something there but unlikely Harris wins. Enough of that 7% and other factors could give him the win in IA.

Who cares about Iowa. It's the implications that the national polls are underestimating Kamala and we are going to see a blue wave in these swing states.

 

[mastermind]

If she has the House and the Senate, Puerto Rico & DC will become states and that is ball game for the GOP.

Dems had the house and senate Under Biden. Not only did they not become states, Biden stepped on DC autonomy when he shut down the nee DC criminal code. Basically, don’t hold your breath.

 

[The_Unchosen_One]

Dems had the house and senate Under Biden. Not only did they not become states, Biden stepped on DC autonomy when he shut down the nee DC criminal code. Basically, don’t hold your breath.

House was GOP


That's why McCarthy was the Speaker after 27 votes

 

[mastermind]

House was GOP


That's why McCarthy was the Speaker after 27 votes

It wasn’t when Biden was elected.

When decided to try and score right wing points for stepping on the new DC criminal code, it was a newly GOP house of rep.

 

[The ADD]

Who cares about Iowa. It's the implications that the national polls are underestimating Kamala and we are going to see a blue wave in these swing states.

Yeah that was established a few post ago……

I gave the thread an update based on the content on the show. Do with it what you will.

 

[the next guy]

Good Morning, happy election eve!

 

[the next guy]

Go and vote!

 

[Smoking With Cigarettes]

I knew one of you would quote me. No i didn't forget and I stand by everything I said.

Trump will also slightly win the popular vote as well for the first time. You can pay an extra $100 for that when I'm proven right about that also


I'm assuming your random bump was due to news of Kamala "supposedly" pushing ahead of Trump. You can't be dense enough to believe that Iowa poll. Iowa is super conservative. More conservative than Ohio so why would she lead in Iowa and not Ohio. Logically explain that.

Trump even said in a clip on Rogan how expect to see them push her numbers up days before election which is happening now.

Republicans lead in North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia with early voting numbers. Trump will win all three. He will slightly win Georgia after him and the Governor made up. Will make a late push in Virginia but Kamala will still win that State


In 2020, before election day Democrats led Republicans in early voting by 1 million plus votes in Pennsylvania . Then on election day Biden only won by 80,000 votes because of Republicans infamously always having high election day turnout.

Now it's 4 years later where Trump is more popular and it's lower Democratic turnout. Only certain states like Georgia have higher black turnout. Georgia is an outlier. Other states like Pennsylvania have seen a big drop. Going back to my 2020 example, Democrats lead by much less this time and we have yet to see the major Election Day vote. When this happens you will see Trump win Pennsylvania by 1 to 3 points.


He will sweep the battleground states. Cardi B's appearance in Wisconsin will hurt Kamala there and he will win that state as well. If I'm not mistaken MC Lyte and Glorilla performed there as well. White women in Wisconsin probably saw all that on the local news and got even more convinced to vote for Trump. He has high turnout in the rural counties there and there will be lower turnout of other groups.

Michigan he will also win because he was endorsed by the Mayor of Dearborn and that will have him surprisingly get more Arab/Muslim votes.

Similarly to alot of Hispanics supporting Trump over the migrant crisis I bet many of the Arab population of Dearborn will say that they may not agree with his pro Israel policies but they also don't like the migrant crisis that has occurred under Biden and Kamala

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cn...olitics/muslim-leaders-michigan-trump-endorse

The Election isn't going to be very close at all. Trump will get around 312 electoral votes and race will be called early.

MSNBC even got exposed by someone who showed their mock up election night coverage

x.com

Other outliers

Trump promising no taxes on tips, social security, no income tax etc...probably the typical politician BS and unlikely to happen. But things like this will be in people's heads when they vote.

Like with his pro crypto/Bitcoin statements

When I'm proven right about all this and after you pay me I will reveal my other predictions of what will happen in his presidency

Your analysis reads like someone who only exists online and has never been part of a GOTV drive

 

[Apollo Kid]

I work out in eastern Long Island. Wild to see numerous "Republicans for Harris" signs posted everywhere.

 

[Bleed The Freak]

Springfield Ohio Sheriff’s Lieutenant Says He Won’t Protect Dems


Brehs!!!!!

According to WHIO, who obtained an “investigative file” and communications within the office, Rodgers said he was prescribed sleep aids and that his ‘out of character’ actions were a “documented side effect.”

 

[The_Unchosen_One]

According to WHIO, who obtained an “investigative file” and communications within the office, Rodgers said he was prescribed sleep aids and that his ‘out of character’ actions were a “documented side effect.”

Gave him a written reprimand and letting him stay on the job....

Anything to protect these motherfukkers

 

[Bleed The Freak]

Gave him a written reprimand and letting him stay on the job....

Anything to protect these motherfukkers

And the worst part about it is there are doctors, firefighters, paramedics lawyers and judges who think exactly like him.

 

[Pressure]

Correct, thus my point that there is something there.

There are a lot of republican and former Trump voters who are off the reservation.

Trump loses, the third party vote resembles Perot and will be the biggest talking point for a while.

 

[CrimsonTider]

Dems had the house and senate Under Biden. Not only did they not become states, Biden stepped on DC autonomy when he shut down the nee DC criminal code. Basically, don’t hold your breath.

Any criminal code that’s trying to lesson the penalties for carjacking should be shut down

Biden