WHO WINS?


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PoorAndDangerous

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The early woman vote is crazy. Men could catch during Election Day but woman always vote more.
That was the ultimate misstep by maga, going after women and their rights. None of these polls take into account the motivation of women to vote against that. I know women who have fertility issues and a higher chance of ectopic pregnancies are literally considering leaving the state they live in because if they decide to get pregnant and have an ectopic birth they can die like that woman in Texas.
 

voiture

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well look at that


She will win 90% of the black vote. Check the poster below. He predicted a once in a generational demographic shift to Trump unseen since the Civil right act of the 1960s. The problem is, he is scared to take a ban bet after making this outrageous prediction. Pulled them numbers straight out of his ass.

Speech last night was very good. She has run an impressive disciplined campaign. (@FAH1223 who is the mastermind?)

But...

I have Trump winning a higher percentage of young white voters, latinos, asians, and black men than he did in 2020. There will also be a drawdown of overall young voters and an uptick in rural voters. It will be enough for him to win.
 

Frump

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Their reputation is the on the line which is why he is hedging. He may not recover if he picks Trump or Harris and ir goes the other way.
They are all frauds

Yeah I was saying the whole time that when he was going in the direction of continuing to give Trump higher chances to win everyday for a few weeks he was doing it for clickbait and just to draw in doom and gloom Dems and by election week he was gonna have the race 50/50 to cover his tracks no matter what happens which is what everyone is doing now so what’s the point of polls?
 
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Going to be interesting to see if these narratives about Trump getting a lot of black/latino men, and Kamala getting a lot of Republicans actually end up right.
The other thing I want to see is if the narrative about white women is true. T+4 doesn't match up with what we're hearing about the women's vote, even accounting for, say, black women over 65 crushing the early vote in PA or other places around the country.

Harris should at worst tie Trump in that vote and at best beat him by two or three points. Either that, or the media needs to stop it with trying to redeem that voter demo for what they did in 2016.
 
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