They said that red wave coming
2022 Midterm Elections: NO RED WAVE! - GOP Takes U.S. House; Dems Keep U.S. Senate
- Thread starter FAH1223
- Start date
Outlaw
New Hope For the HaveNotz
I think pollsters are over sampling magats.
Plus how are they being called? If it's some unknown number, then most likely no one is picking up. So is this landlines?
Outlaw
New Hope For the HaveNotz
Exactly. If there was going to be a red wave Democrats wouldn’t be smashing early voting records. As history shows if both parties show out then Democrats win. Are MAGATs more enthusiastic and numerous than they were in 2018 and 2020? I don’t think so
Well I believe the Enthusiasm is misleading. There is less MAGA, as the MAGA now is more extreme; so it's more of a core audience. So yeah if your sampling 1,000 people and it's all MAGA, naturally the numbers will be Higher, since they see this election as a make or break moment. If your mixing former MAGA/Republicans with MAGA, the numbers would be lower, as they don't want to vote for the MAGA Candidates.
Outlaw
New Hope For the HaveNotz
Good point. Does MAGA/Republican voters have the numbers to overwhelm the Democrats when they’re smashing early voting records?
This clearly will be interesting. The Twitter polls have told us one thing but tangible reality is telling us another. We can comfortably say dems are out performing recent past performances. Now one will assume the GQP will show up on Election Day but with the pandemic and GQPs insistence on not taking Fauci’s chip implant, one has to wonder if those tweets about the big numbers of fallen GQP voters will rear its head on Tuesday.
We will find out soon…
Outlaw
New Hope For the HaveNotz
Can you imagine the MAGAT tears and cries of voter fraud if the Dems clean sweep?
If we go 50/50 down the line, sure. However that's when so many factors come into play... if they are not early voting... then I raise these questions.
- How many of these MAGA's died from COVID-19; Texas and Florida cooked the Numbers; What if instead of 1M MAGAs, it was 1.75 MAGAs because of 'Car Accident', 'Heart Attack', 'Stroke'. Sure deaths are deaths, but to know the precise numbers of people who died of a disease which a vaccine has been around for 1.5 years now would be helpful.
- How many of these MAGA distrust voting, and expect their numbers to overwhelm Liberals? Look at Twitter, Conservatives needs Liberals to create for them and they take over. What if they feel their elections are corrupt, and hope others can do the work for them?
- How many MAGA are there from 2020, who just left the movement. It's not alot, but some.
- How is polling done? How are these polling list created? How fresh are these lists?
- Lastly, if we go back to 50/50, then... and I am not talking about you, "Ok, if Republicans are not voting in Early Voting. Are you saying that ALL of those will vote on Election Night?"
I just feel like the current method is horribly outdated. It’s been proven to be a mid key grift since 2016. As I said, putting anything more than a grain of salt into modern day polls is pouring jelly on yourself.
The media loves it either way though. If the polls they have been touting for months are wrong and dems end up winning, the deniers will be pissed and the media can sit back and cover the fireworks. Trump low key probably wouldn’t mind it, he could pick up right where he left off.
Numbers after today are important, I passed by one early voting location and it was busy. I got my boy to vote on Tuesday when he drops his kid off at school.
Reality Check
Keepin' it 100
IMO They're trying to overcompensate for being so wrong in 2016 and 2020.
