Looking at the FiveThirtyEight forecast and the striking thing about the map is how fukking extensive gerrymandering has become.
Latest forecasts and polls for the 2022 House elections from ABC News’s FiveThirtyEight
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Kentucky have all managed to reduce their #'s down to a single Democratic house member.
Missouri and Indiana have 2 each. Wisconsin, basically a 50-50 state, projected for just 2 dems out of 8 seats. Ohio, where Trump got 53% of the vote, projected for 3 democrat seats out of 15. Iowa, another 53% Trump state, not a single Democrat seat out of 4.
Different way of looking at it, here are the states with the highest African-American population and their resulting representation:
Mississippi 37% Black, 1 out of 4 seats are Democrats
Louisiana 31% Black, 1 out of 6 seats are Democrats
Georgia 31% Black, 5 out of 14 seats are Democrats
Maryland 30% Black, 7 out of 8 seats are Democrats
Alabama 26% Black, 1 out of 7 seats are Democrats
South Carolina 25% Black, 1 out of 7 seats are Democrats
This level of gerrymandering is going to make the House representation fukking irrelevant is your state leadership is basically picking their voters rather than the voters picking their representation.