Dallas' 4 Eva
Superstar
I like your assessments, but the one thing everyone is underestimating is Crawford's ability to adapt. He is the best at this since Floyd. There were things Floyd didnt do against Zab because he know he would be in danger. Crawford aint fighting Spence the same way he fought Brook. Look for a more defensive Crawford if that fight comes off.
The thing is Spence adapts as well, he has in every fight, Spence also spends the first few rounds fighting you basic to judge your power and speed, he does a lot of the same shyt that Crawford do just he does it in a more technical sense. Seriously all 'stan' shyt aside Crawford definitely has a chance to win I'd say it should be a 60-40 fight in favor of Spence(depending on how he looks post accident), but if a refocused Errol fights Danny next month and looks like that old Spence who used to snatch nikkas souls and put the fear of god in them nikkas, I just find it hard to see Crawford beating that Spence. Crawford has slightly faster hands, but he loops a lot of his power shots. Their footspeed at 147 does not appear like either fighter has a significant advantage over the other.
The things I see about Crawford are that he likes to fight at a slow pace because he needs time to find his range and timing, Spence isn't going to just let Crawford sit in the pocket and time you like Brook, Mean Machine, or Benavidez; Spence is going to take the fight to Crawford he isn't going to allow him to just find his range and timing, Spence is actually not as easy to time as people think otherwise Mikey would have done it, that is what he was banking on Mikey has enough power to keep anyone honest below 154lbs, but Spence is not easy to time because of his activity levels and his constant pressure, Porter wasn't even really able to time Spence or find the proper range otherwise he wouldn't have missed so many punches that went high over Errol head, he makes you fight and Crawford has shown me he is prone to get into a firefight because that is who he is and what he likes to do, that's why I said Spence/Crawford would more resemble Hagler/Hearns than Leonard/Hearns both of them like to mix it up.
This isn't about the skills or talents of the fighters, this is about their styles and I don't know bro I just see Spence being all wrong for Crawford in a lot of ways people don't acknowledge.