Who will run in the 2024 Democratic Primary?
- Thread starter dora_da_destroyer
- Start date
Biden would have to have an approval rating in the 30s for a primary to even take place.
Hood Critic
The Power Circle
Booker under performed this go around but I think he'll run again. He has the temperament, background and relationships for the job he just needs to better figure out how to connect with the middle class. He speaks directly to the lower class, disenfranchised voter - which is good - but he needs more than their vote.
Mayor Pete isn't going to win but he's going to add to his stock 2024, I think he's going to end up being a serious contender in 8 years. Also don't be surprised if he gets the Bernie seal of approval and picks up a significant number of the "Bernie Bros".
If Biden and Kamala have a successful 4 years, restore foreign trust and relationships, handle coronavirus and give off the perception of reversing some of Trump's toxic decisions; I think we see her have a strong 2024 mandate where she makes a more progressive swing because I don't feel like she really has a political identity right now. The only female republican who could beat her in that scenario is Nikki Haley.
I wouldn't mind seeing Eric Swalwell throw his hat into 2024.
EDIT: This all is assuming that Biden's health doesn't deteriorate and he can't run for re-election.
Mayor Pete isn't going to win but he's going to add to his stock 2024, I think he's going to end up being a serious contender in 8 years. Also don't be surprised if he gets the Bernie seal of approval and picks up a significant number of the "Bernie Bros".
If Biden and Kamala have a successful 4 years, restore foreign trust and relationships, handle coronavirus and give off the perception of reversing some of Trump's toxic decisions; I think we see her have a strong 2024 mandate where she makes a more progressive swing because I don't feel like she really has a political identity right now. The only female republican who could beat her in that scenario is Nikki Haley.
I wouldn't mind seeing Eric Swalwell throw his hat into 2024.
EDIT: This all is assuming that Biden's health doesn't deteriorate and he can't run for re-election.
dora_da_destroyer
Master Baker
are you saying this with the idea of biden running for reelection?
because whether his approval is in the 80's or 50's or 30's, kamala will not be unopposed.
how would this happen? pete literally abandoned his early life admiration of progressive policies and went full on "we can't" "radical this, radical that" this year...how could bernie c/s someone who went full centrist this cycle
and lord, biden aint running again, let's be reality. while the dementia stuff was overblown, you can tell he's on his last legs as far as having the mental sharpness and endurance to put up with the pressure of being president. bush jr and obama both came out 12-15 yrs older
are you saying this with the idea of biden running for reelection?
because whether his approval is in the 80's or 50's or 30's, kamala will not be unopposed.
If his approval rating is terrible, Kamala is in a bad place if she is running at the top of the ticket
But in all likelihood, his approval rating will be in the 40s, maybe even close to 50 if they do a good job. And there is no way, no way, an incumbent VPOTUS is going to lose a primary. She'd win South Carolina easily and win Super Tuesday easily.
And who would run? Dems are so into unity and not having conflict.
Ted Kennedy got a lot of shid for running against Carter. Carter was unpopular. But he easily won re-nomination in the end.
Biden clearly running in 2024 if he's alive
Hard to say this early on, there's no frontrunner at this point. Probably a lot of the same people that ran in 2020 (minus Bernie).
That said, as much as I hate to say it the GOP are the favorites to win 2024 if Dems could barely beat Trump's unpopular ass
That said, as much as I hate to say it the GOP are the favorites to win 2024 if Dems could barely beat Trump's unpopular ass
dora_da_destroyer
Master Baker
this isn't about her winning or losing, its about who'll run against her. a lot of her viability leans on success of biden's administration, her breaking through and having people connect with her as a candidate, and of course the names that get floated as her possible VP
Biden clearly running in 2024 if he's alive
Doubt it. He's too old...Biden will be 82 by then. Even if he's still in good health, at that point his age is kind of a political liability so he probably just won't run again.
Hard to say this early on, there's no frontrunner at this point. Probably a lot of the same people that ran in 2020 (minus Bernie).
That said, as much as I hate to say it the GOP are the favorites to win 2024 if Dems could barely beat Trump's unpopular ass
If you're assuming Biden is going to be a bad POTUS, then yes.
But if he's average at governing, he will win 270 electoral college votes easily.
The Dems are able to win the presidency. Winning both House and US Senate is the impossible proposition.
dora_da_destroyer
Master Baker
7M popular vote lead and 306 electoral votes including flipping AZ and GA is barely beating Trump?Hard to say this early on, there's no frontrunner at this point. Probably a lot of the same people that ran in 2020 (minus Bernie).
That said, as much as I hate to say it the GOP are the favorites to win 2024 if Dems could barely beat Trump's unpopular ass
edit: and NC, TX, GA, and AZ are all seriously on the table for dems in 2024 as well
Hood Critic
The Power Circle
are you saying this with the idea of biden running for reelection?
because whether his approval is in the 80's or 50's or 30's, kamala will not be unopposed.
how would this happen? pete literally abandoned his early life admiration of progressive policies and went full on "we can't" "radical this, radical that" this year...how could bernie c/s someone who went full centrist this cycle
and lord, biden aint running again, let's be reality. while the dementia stuff was overblown, you can tell he's on his last legs as far as having the mental sharpness and endurance to put up with the pressure of being president. bush jr and obama both came out 12-15 yrs older
Because even though Bernie is done running for president, he still will have an active and potentially influential movement. Pete only went centrist because everyone knew that it was highly likely a centrist could draw the disgruntled republican vote against Trump and the field was full of progressives.
I don't see people running against her unless they govern very badly.
7M popular vote lead and 306 electoral votes including flipping AZ and GA is barely beating Trump?
Yes when you look at this swing stage margins.
Biden only just barely took the Midwest back (those states were all way closer than polls predicted), and AZ/GA could easily go red again with a slightly less unpopular Republican candidate (or slightly lower minority turnout).
I'm an ageist. But people turned out lie crazy this past election for two old heads.
Further, Trump is being floated for 2024.
