The knowns and unknowns about the successful strike operation that killed Ayman Al Zawahiri.
www.thedrive.com
The decision to strike was made because Zawahiri "continued to pose an active threat to U.S. persons, interests, and national security," according to the senior administration official. "As President Biden has consistently said, we will not allow Afghanistan to become a safe haven for terrorists who might bring harm to Americans. We met that commitment on Saturday night."
"And in doing so we showed that without American forces on the ground in Afghanistan and in harm's way we remain able to identify and locate even the world's most wanted terrorists, and then take action to remove him from the battlefield," they added.
"We also investigated the construction and nature of the safe house in which he was located so that we could confidently conduct an operation to kill Zawahiri without threatening the structural integrity of the building, while minimizing the risk to civilians, including Zawahiri's family," the senior administration official said. "We convened a team of independent analysts to review all data surrounding the identity of the occupants of the safe house."
"The President was, as always, deeply engaged in the briefing [on a proposed strike targeting Zawahiri on July 1] and immersed in the intelligence.
He asked detailed questions about what we knew and how we knew it," that official continued. "Importantly, he examined closely the model of Zawahiri's house that the intelligence community had built and brought into the White House Situation Room for briefings on this issue. He sought explanations of lighting, of weather, of construction material, and other factors that could influence the success of this operation and reduce the risk of civilian casualties. He was particularly focused on ensuring that every step had been taken to ensure the operation would minimize that risk. And he wanted to understand the basis upon which we had confidence in our assessment."
At a later briefing, "he asked again about any other options that would reduce collateral or civilian casualties. He wanted to understand more about the layout of rooms behind the door and windows on the third floor of the building," they added.
It's not surprising that civilian casualties were a major concern for Biden. In August 2021, at the tail-end of the U.S. evacuation and withdrawal efforts, another botched U.S. drone strike completely misidentified a target in Kabul, killing a local employee of a U.S. aid group and nine other civilians, including seven children. In December 2021,
The New York Times then published a major
investigative report detailing symmetric failures by American officials to accurately assess civilian casualties caused by other airstrikes in Afghanistan, as well as Iraq and Syria. This has prompted
calls to investigate instances of civilian casualties that U.S. forces
have reportedly caused in other conflict zones, as well.
good read, rest in link
edit: article is really something
However, the senior administration official only said during the briefing that Haqqani-affiliated Taliban members were actively involved in sheltering Zawahiri. In addition, while this remains unconfirmed, Haibatullah Alizai,
effectively the last general officer in command of the now-defunct Afghan Army, who now lives in Maryland, told
The War Zone that his sources in Afghanistan had informed him that it was actually a faction within the Taliban that tipped off the U.S. government about the Al Qaeda leader. There have been reports since the Taliban's return to power
about internal disputes, some of which may have turned violent, between sub-groups,
including the Haqqanis.