ExodusNirvana
Change is inevitable...
These are all valid points but unfortunately, the reason why he will get reelected is the bolded.Nah man. 2020 is gonna be different from 2016. Obviously, Trump can definitely win re-election but it's not going to be the same deal as 2016.
*He has remained consistently unpopular. His approval rating has remained basically the same and he hasn't grown his base.
*A lot of those "Let's give him a chance" voters have turned away from him.
*The 2018 midterms already proved that most Americans are fed up with him.
*There was a decent of amount of Democrats and left-leaning independents that weren't enthusiastic about Hillary that didn't vote because they thought "there's no way Trump is going to win. Hillary has it in the bag". A lot of those voters were in swing states like PA, WI & MI. However, it's going to be different in 2020. Now, that Trump is President many of those Democrats/liberal independents who didn't vote are definitely going to be voting.
*The base of the Republican Party has shrunk. There's been a decent amount of people who have left the GOP because of Trump and have become independents and some of them are now registered Democrats. Many of them are going to be voting for the Democratic nominee because they "hate Trump and what he has done to the Republican Party". This will especially be the case if Joe Biden ends up being the nominee because he's more "moderate" (I'll vote for basically whoever's the Dem nominee).
*Democrats have been making huge gains across the country since Trump's presidency even in some red states. From the local level all the way up to the federal level. There's Democratic governors in Kansas, Louisiana & Kentucky in spite of Trump being popular in those states. Democrats have been winning some seats across the country that they haven't won in decades or even over a century ago. The GOP is losing the suburbs at a rapid rate. Rural areas are not going to be enough for the GOP.
2020 is going to be different than 2016. The biggest problem is will the Left coalesce around the Democratic nominee or will there still be significant arguments about "the centrist, corporate establishment" vs "the radical socialist wing".
And because Republicans vote "R" no matter what
And they WILL protect him