If Russia backs down they're on Third world status. During the Soviet era Russians were saying that they were A Upper Volta with Missiles Belarus would buck, The Balitic states would join the EU and NATO Moldava would join too shyt even Georgia and Chechneya would probably try to break out of the Russian sphere of Influence.NATO is going to have to give Russia something really good though. I dont know what exactly. What kind of appeasement can be made to Putin to make him call it off? What can they offer him? An end to sanctions?...... i dont feel thats enough. He can painfully occupy multiple cities in Ukraine for a long time with his air superiority,controlling the power,food,etc Are Western hearts strong enough to see Ukraine suffer through that? Russians will be fine even with the sanctions in the short term, they will endure for now. Its a double side high stakes bluff using human lives. The world isnt completely abandoning Russia either. China,India,Isreal,Mcdonalds,Coke,etc Its getting weird. You also have to think they planned ahead for this. I think they are ready for a bit of a long game. They wont be forced into anything anytime soon.
No, I'm not. Following the "rules of law warfare" is generally irrelevant in nonviolent resistance. Mubarak in Egypt didn't give a shyt about the rules of law yet he ran out of Cairo with his tail between his legs. Same shyt happened to the dictator Marcos in the Philippines - he literally ordered his troops to fire on the crowds and they wouldn't do it, and he had to leave because he lost control. It's happened over and over again.Two issues The Russians conquered the Ukrainans at least 3 times before.
Secondly you're assuming that the Russians will follow the rules of Law Warfare which wouldn't even apply during an insurgency.
You think the Russians will tell their troops that? You think that a ünmotivated" Russian solider will be in a armored vehicle see some dudes shooting at him with an AK or throwing a Molitov Cocktail and wheel the Co Ax Gun (the light Machine gun) at them or will he fire a Main Gun round that will kill them and destroy several houses full of innocent people? That's not what the Russians did in any other war.
The only reason they wouldn't do that is because they think that NATO would intervene which would mean that the Russkies were disiplined which means that they are somewhat motivated.
What does Victory look like for the Ukrainains? A devastated countryside with the Russians taking everything they can and the 82nd Airborne in the Donbass. If I were Russia I'd play up the fact that It will be like Germany Black soliders will be fukking the shyt out of broke ass Ukrainan girls.
NATO is going to have to give Russia something really good though. I dont know what exactly. What kind of appeasement can be made to Putin to make him call it off? What can they offer him? An end to sanctions?...... i dont feel thats enough. He can painfully occupy multiple cities in Ukraine for a long time with his air superiority,controlling the power,food,etc Are Western hearts strong enough to see Ukraine suffer through that? Russians will be fine even with the sanctions in the short term, they will endure for now. Its a double side high stakes bluff using human lives. The world isnt completely abandoning Russia either. China,India,Isreal,Mcdonalds,Coke,etc Its getting weird. You also have to think they planned ahead for this. I think they are ready for a bit of a long game. They wont be forced into anything anytime soon.
So you one of them Truth Justice and the american way nikkas, Mubarak and Marcos was in power for years before they were betrayed by their own troops ( Notice none of the people who assisted either dictator went to jail for anything they just switched sides)No, I'm not. Following the "rules of law warfare" is generally irrelevant in nonviolent resistance. Mubarak in Egypt didn't give a shyt about the rules of law yet he ran out of Cairo with his tail between his legs. Same shyt happened to the dictator Marcos in the Philippines - he literally ordered his troops to fire on the crowds and they wouldn't do it, and he had to leave because he lost control. It's happened over and over again.
Russian soldier morale is already low. The Russians have already said over and over that they don't want ot be in this war and they don't want to kill Ukrainians. They'll want to kill defenseless, nonviolent Ukrainians even less. There's a TON of Russians and Ukrainians from mixed families, they have all sorts of relatives on both sides, they feel like they're killing their brothers and sisters.
I have no idea what you're trying to say, you're literally making my point for me.
let's address the ünited' Ukrainans thing. This is like saying that since morale was low in the VietNam war "we lost" No what happened was we decided it wasn't worth fighting anymore and left. There wasn't an uprising of Soliders refusing to fight in large numbers.No, I'm not. Following the "rules of law warfare" is generally irrelevant in nonviolent resistance. Mubarak in Egypt didn't give a shyt about the rules of law yet he ran out of Cairo with his tail between his legs. Same shyt happened to the dictator Marcos in the Philippines - he literally ordered his troops to fire on the crowds and they wouldn't do it, and he had to leave because he lost control. It's happened over and over again.
Russian soldier morale is already low. The Russians have already said over and over that they don't want ot be in this war and they don't want to kill Ukrainians. They'll want to kill defenseless, nonviolent Ukrainians even less. There's a TON of Russians and Ukrainians from mixed families, they have all sorts of relatives on both sides, they feel like they're killing their brothers and sisters.
I have no idea what you're trying to say, you're literally making my point for me.
Damn homie shyt doesn't work like that. The Russians wouldn't be starving the Ukrainians until all roads are cut off they can get some foodWhy do you think "Russians will be fine with the sanctions"? It's already starting to look ugly.
I don't think they prepared for this at all. All the reports are that the sanctions are much higher than anticipated and that the economic impact reports prepared internally were crap because they didn't think Putin was going to go through with it anyway. They prepared for a 15-day occupation and re-supplies have already sucked, why would they be ready for a 12-month occupation?
For the Russian people to feel fine and tough it out, they'd have to feel they were winning something. They'd have to have a goal. But they have NO win here. The average Russian person doesn't give a flying fukk about any NATO concessions, so what are they holding out for? The longer they suffer, the more of them who will just feel like Putin's a dikk who needs his ego massaged. Putin would be losing control of his people.
In terms of the Ukraine side of the factor, what would air superiority matter for? And yeah Russia controls the food and the power....so? If they shut off the food and power, then what? They ain't gonna fukking starve the Ukrianians to death, the Russian military would mutiny before the partook in that. Like I said up above, Ukrainians and Russians are literally family, tons of marriages across the border, they see them as relatives. This is the reason the war has been so low-key from the jump - Putin knows if he goes to far he's gonna lose the support of his own people.
Why do you think "Russians will be fine with the sanctions"? It's already starting to look ugly.
I don't think they prepared for this at all. All the reports are that the sanctions are much higher than anticipated and that the economic impact reports prepared internally were crap because they didn't think Putin was going to go through with it anyway. They prepared for a 15-day occupation and re-supplies have already sucked, why would they be ready for a 12-month occupation?
For the Russian people to feel fine and tough it out, they'd have to feel they were winning something. They'd have to have a goal. But they have NO win here. The average Russian person doesn't give a flying fukk about any NATO concessions, so what are they holding out for? The longer they suffer, the more of them who will just feel like Putin's a dikk who needs his ego massaged. Putin would be losing control of his people.
In terms of the Ukraine side of the factor, what would air superiority matter for? And yeah Russia controls the food and the power....so? If they shut off the food and power, then what? They ain't gonna fukking starve the Ukrianians to death, the Russian military would mutiny before the partook in that. Like I said up above, Ukrainians and Russians are literally family, tons of marriages across the border, they see them as relatives. This is the reason the war has been so low-key from the jump - Putin knows if he goes to far he's gonna lose the support of his own people.
I wouldn't say I'm super involved, those are your words.See you armchair Coli Generals who haven't or will not do one day in service to any Nation are super invovled in something that you don't really care about.
If Russia backs down they're on Third world status. During the Soviet era Russians were saying that they were A Upper Volta with Missiles Belarus would buck, The Balitic states would join the EU and NATO Moldava would join too shyt even Georgia and Chechneya would probably try to break out of the Russian sphere of Influence.
China would super duper little bro Russia.
f Tsar Alexander didn’t intervene with blockades and threats of WORLD WAR to keep British and French forces from reinforcing the Confederacy during the Civil War then guess where our black asses would be?