Last year RB was faster in the beginning of the season too, but even if they're not as fast, Mercedes is the most reliable of the three teams by far. Lewis was the fastest car on the track before the final safety car to the point RB warned Max about it. RBR has historically been unreliable. Before Max resigned with them their unreliability was a reason everyone touted as him leaving. It's not a stretch to say their car will break down in at least two or three races later this year.
Just today Checo had a gearbox failure and Charles has already needed an engine replacement with a penalty. Max already has an engine failure this year. The only team that actually puts RBR into panic mode are the Mercedes because Ferrari can't even get basic strategy right and when they do their drivers crash or can't capitalize like Carlos today and last race in Monaco and in Australia and Imola. (Hence my statement that he's not clutch. He's Spanish Bottas). Lewis or Charles are the only two drivers with the ability to press Max. Merc don't need to be get fast as quickly if they keep having RBR and Ferrari cars randomly falling out of races for the next 5-6 races. The final 8-7 races will be a crapshoot if the Merc is only a tenth behind instead of a full second or two behind. Lewis was winning in the beginning of last season with a car that was a tenth or two slower than Max. Charles on the radio in this race was exasperated as hell when his team is trying to ask his advice on strategy.
Again, breh, you're using a lot of conjecture here especially the statements about Ferrari and RBR. Almost none of it is based in fact.
RBR was not panicking last year and they aren't panicking this year. Doesn't matter which team they are facing. They have the best strategy department in F1.
Max was pressed plenty today. He just didn't flinch. Sainz had the gap down to as low as 0.2 seconds. He was pressed by Leclerc in Saudi, Imola, Miami with the same results. If there is a superpower for Max these days, its that in race conditions he rarely makes a mistake under pressure.
Sainz needed a delta of 6 tenths to overtake and only had 2-3. I don't see where he was supposed to "capitalize" during that race. The overtaking point would've been the back straight but the Red Bull was superior in low speed traction today.
Yes, Mercedes does have great reliability in comparison to RB and Ferrari and Mercedes was quick at some points but apples to apples, they were still about a half second off. That's still a large gap. In a normal race they are 25-30 seconds back. That is not the same as last season. You can project DNFs for RB and Ferrari but if they are consistently in 1-4 position for the majority of the remaining races, they will still outscore Mercedes.
Additionally, Mercedes still doesn't have any clue as to how their car performs at any given track. This race was a complete surprise. They still do not have a fix for their rear suspension oscillation. I understand being optimistic but again, suggesting Mercedes is a similar position to last year is a gigantic reach.