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Skooby

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IT ISN'T OFTEN that these massive, landscape-shifting NBA decisions can be rewired so quickly, but that's what was underway on the one-year anniversary of the original trade. The anniversary hadn't been on Simmons' agent's mind, but Rich Paul understood that the simmering issues surrounding Harden's relationship with the Nets could be the opening needed to get his client out of Philadelphia.

While on business in New York on Jan. 13, Paul met with Durant and Durant's business partner, Rich Kleiman. The conversation transitioned to basketball, and Paul made his case for a Harden-Simmons trade, sources said.

Durant initially resisted, but within 48 hours, Durant suffered the MCL injury, and his absence became an accelerant to Harden's spiral with the franchise. In the end, no one can influence Durant's decisions on team-building. These Nets are his creation, and the evolution of the roster comes with his input at the forefront. In this case, there was no decision to be made: Harden made it for everyone.

In the weeks leading up to the trade deadline, Morey and Marks had each postured about their willingness to kick these discussions to the summer. Morey publicly dismissed the likelihood of a trade for Simmons in a radio interview on Jan. 20. The Nets' public messaging was done by coach Steve Nash, who, even on the morning of the trade, cast doubt on its likelihood.

Late Wednesday the posturing began to change, sources said.

Until then, Marks had listened to a couple of Morey's frameworks and told him he wasn't interested. There were no negotiations. Now, the deadline was looming, and the Sixers and Nets had an increasingly common interest in getting a deal done. Harden had left New York, and the idea of bringing him back to mope through the season was less and less appealing. They planned to speak again at 9:30 a.m. ET and see if they could hammer out a deal.

When Philadelphia wouldn't include Mattise Thybulle, Brooklyn insisted on two first-round picks. For both sides, the consequences and cost of doing nothing on Thursday could have had a lasting impact on these franchises. The cost of making those deals could have implications too. There are no sure things in this deal: James Harden and Ben Simmons come with risks and rewards. Ben Simmons waited seven months for his Philadelphia exile to become an exit. Daryl Morey waited 18 months to be reunited with James Harden. Everyone stayed on the bleeping phone long enough to get this trade done on Thursday, and this ever-unstable basketball landscape erupted with dramatic displacement again.





d.d.
 

Skooby

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1. Jacksonville Jaguars

Evan Neal, OT, Alabama

The Jaguars' top priority this offseason should be building around quarterback Trevor Lawrence, and that starts with the offensive line. Three starters along the line are set to be free agents -- including left tackle Cam Robinson -- and the other two are under contract for only one more year. Neal is a clear upgrade over Robinson at a lower cost, and he could be a foundational player on that offense with Lawrence for years to come. He has a massive frame, explosive power and versatility. Plus, Neal is a dominant run blocker, which will benefit James Robinson and Travis Etienne Jr. (set to return in 2022). New coach Doug Pederson won a Super Bowl with an elite offensive line, and the Jaguars know their success is tied to keeping Lawrence upright.

I also considered Michigan edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson here. He's my top prospect, and it's worth noting that Jacksonville was tied for 27th in the league in sacks (32) in 2021. I'd have no issue with the Jags taking Hutchinson instead, but I ultimately thought they needed to take the easy upgrade at a crucial spot. Neal would be the fifth offensive lineman taken at No. 1 overall in the common draft era (Eric Fisher in 2013 was the most recent).




2. Detroit Lions
Aidan Hutchinson, DE, Michigan

This is a slam-dunk scenario for the Lions. They gave up 5.9 yards per play (29th) and 26.9 points per game (28th), opposing quarterbacks had the third-best QBR against them (53.4), and only two teams had fewer sacks than their 30 in 2021. Hutchinson -- who is from Michigan and played his college ball less than an hour away from Detroit -- is a relentless pass-rusher who had 14.0 sacks and 66 pressures last year. He can take over a game on defense, and Detroit needs more players like that, especially because its top pass-rusher in 2021 (Charles Harris, 7.5 sacks) is a free agent.



3. Houston Texans
Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame

The Texans can go a lot of different ways here. Do they take NC State offensive tackle Ikem Ekwonu? I thought about it, because they allowed 40 sacks in 2021 (tied for 11th most), but Laremy Tunsil is still locking down the left tackle spot, and there are other holes. One of them is edge rush, where they still haven't replaced J.J. Watt and have struggled to get to the quarterback. Oregon's Kayvon Thibodeaux could make sense. But in the end, I gave Houston the third-best player on my board in Hamilton.

Houston's secondary has been abysmal -- it gave up 8.0 yards allowed per pass (tied for last) -- and Justin Reid is a free agent. Hamilton is a unique talent with an incredible combination of size, speed, strength and ball skills. GM Nick Caserio needs foundational stars in this Texans rebuild, and Hamilton has the versatility to impact multiple areas of new coach Lovie Smith's defense. He'd be the sixth defensive back taken in the top three since 1967, with Lions cornerback Jeff Okudah (2020) being the most recent.


4. New York Jets
Ikem Ekwonu, OT, NC State

Ekwonu's size makes him tough to get around, he plays with the power to bury defenders, and he's a mauler in the run game. In fact, some people around the NFL even like him more than Evan Neal. Ekwonu would help New York protect Zach Wilson in the passing game and spring Michael Carter in the running game. The Jets allowed 53 sacks in 2021 (fourth most), but New York's offensive line issues aren't as massive as they seem. I think the team is one impact player away there. Morgan Moses played well last season, but he's a free agent due for a pay bump. Mekhi Becton, the Jets' 2020 first-rounder, has struggled to stay healthy but still has a ton of upside.

Given some unknowns here, Ekwonu's versatility matches what the Jets need. Coach Robert Saleh would have options with Ekwonu in the fold, including but not limited to bumping the rookie inside or sliding Becton to the right side. Alternatively, the Jets could consider Kayvon Thibodeaux to address the edge rush after generating just 33 sacks last year (tied for 28th).


5. New York Giants
Kayvon Thibodeaux, DE, Oregon

Yes, the Giants need offensive linemen, but with a second top-10 pick on deck and the top two linemen off the board, we're pivoting to the other massive weakness: pass rush. And wouldn't you know it, Thibodeaux falls right into the Giants' lap here. He has great quickness, a good arsenal of pass-rush moves and plenty of versatility. His tape is up and down, hence a slight slide to No. 5, but he'd immediately elevate a New York pass rush that had 34 sacks (tied for 22nd) last season. And he'd perfectly complement Leonard Williams and Azeez Ojulari, the team's 2021 second-rounder who led the defense with 8.0 sacks in his rookie year.



6. Carolina Panthers
Ahmad "Sauce" Gardner, CB, Cincinnati

This was the most difficult pick for me. For one, the QB situation remains unresolved. The Panthers are financially invested in Sam Darnold for 2022, but it's apparent he isn't the long-term solution. Even so, No. 6 is too rich for any of the signal-callers in this class, and if Carolina is set on drafting one, a move back would be prudent. Then there is the offensive line, which surrendered 52 sacks in 2021 (fifth most). But again, the board doesn't fill the holes. Mississippi State offensive tackle Charles Cross could work, but he's No. 22 on my board at the moment. (I'm a little lower on him than some teams; he could be a top-10 pick.)

So I ended up going with the best available, and that's absolutely Gardner. I mean, he gave up all of 60 yards in 14 games last season. That's a true shutdown cornerback. And yes, the Panthers took Jaycee Horn at No. 8 last season, but this duo would be one of the best young tandems in the league. A team has used top-10 picks on defensive backs in back-to-back drafts just three times in the common draft era -- and Carolina traded for CJ Henderson, who was Jacksonville's ninth pick in 2019 -- but Stephon Gilmore and Donte Jackson are both free agents, meaning this group isn't as strong as it appears.


7. New York Giants (via CHI)
Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi State

As I mentioned above, I'm not totally sure Cross is a top-10 pick. But he handles speed rushers well and plays with patience, and I see good angles on tape in the run game. He's the next best tackle on the board, and after landing Kayvon Thibodeaux at No. 5, New York can afford to reach a little bit here. With a new GM, head coach and offensive coordinator, the Giants are going to give quarterback Daniel Jones every chance to succeed in 2022 before making a decision on their future under center. Jones has taken a lot of hits, and though left tackle Andrew Thomas rounded into form in 2021, the line remains a glaring problem. Cross, who gave up one sack on 683 pass-block snaps last season, helps.


8. Atlanta Falcons
Drake London, WR, USC

A team has used top-10 picks on pass-catchers in back-to-back drafts three times since 1967, so this might seem odd for a roster that just went 7-10. But the offense could lose five of the eight players who had at least 70 receiving yards last season to free agency, and it's possible the Falcons additionally look to trade Calvin Ridley, who played in five games last year while taking time off to focus on his mental health. London, meanwhile, was on his way to a massive campaign for USC before breaking his right ankle in October. He's a 6-foot-5 target who has the body control and contact balance to make plays over the middle, the speed to produce vertically and the instincts to create against different defensive looks.

The Falcons passed on a strong QB class at No. 4 last April to draft tight end Kyle Pitts, but it might decide to go that route now. Matt Ryan is their guy for 2022, but if they fall in love with one of the signal-callers, it's a good spot to draft an heir to sit and learn behind Ryan. Perhaps Pitt's Kenny Pickett could fit.
 

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9. Denver Broncos
Devin Lloyd, ILB, Utah

Will Denver end up with Aaron Rodgers? It's hard to project anything for the Broncos until they figure out the quarterback situation. They have had zero success drafting and developing QBs. Drew Lock deserves a shot to compete if they don't land a proven veteran, but no one is saying they're Super Bowl bound with the 2019 draft pick under center, especially in a division that features Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert and Derek Carr.

The defense got strong returns from Pat Surtain II in his rookie year, but there are definitely some weak spots on that side of the ball. The Broncos were bottom six in both pass rush win rate (31.3%, 32nd) and run stop win rate (27.8%, 27th). And linebackers Alexander Johnson, Josey Jewell and Kenny Young are all primed for free agency. Lloyd plays fast, is rangy and has great recognition skills. I have Georgia's Nakobe Dean ranked higher, but I'm hearing some teams like Lloyd a bit more. He's a plug-and-play starter who can be Denver's leader on defense.

10. New York Jets (via SEA)
Derek Stingley Jr., CB, LSU

The Jets went offense with their first four picks in 2021, and we just handed them an offensive tackle (Ikem Ekwonu) at No. 4. So yeah, this is defense all the way, especially with safety Marcus Maye facing free agency. The Jets could certainly get by with Bryce Hall and Brandin Echols at corner, but Stingley could be the steal of the draft if things go this way. The big question is whether the LSU product can return to form and produce as he did in his 2019 freshman year, when he had six interceptions. A left foot injury held him out of all but three games in 2021, but if he realizes his potential, Stingley would certainly improve a defense that gave up 8.0 yards per pass attempt and hauled in just seven interceptions in 2021.

11. Washington Commanders
Kenny Pickett, QB, Pittsburgh

Washington has a team name, and now it needs a quarterback. Perhaps the Commanders trade for Jimmy Garoppolo. Perhaps they get into the Jameis Winston mix in free agency. But if nothing comes along on those fronts, they'd be happy to have the entire QB class available to them at No. 11. (The last time zero QBs went in the top 10 was 2013.)

I personally have Liberty's Malik Willis slightly ahead of Pickett, but the Pitt signal-caller is more NFL ready, and it's more likely he's the first QB off the board in April. Pickett reads the field well, has good touch and timing on his throws and shows sneaky pocket mobility. I'd be intrigued to see a competition between him and Taylor Heinicke in camp, and if Heinicke wins the job, he can keep the seat warm while Pickett gets acclimated to the NFL.


12. Minnesota Vikings
Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington

The Vikings have used four first-round picks on defensive backs since 2013, and one more here would tie them with the Packers for the most over that 10-draft span. It's still an issue. Minnesota allowed 5.7 yards per play in 2021 (26th), and its top two cornerbacks -- Patrick Peterson and Mackensie Alexander -- aren't under contract. McDuffie is smooth and displays good route recognition.

As an aside: This is another spot where quarterback wouldn't be shocking. Kirk Cousins has one more year left on his deal, so perhaps new GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah and new coach Kevin O'Connell opt to take a step toward the future, especially with Liberty's Malik Willis still available.

13. Cleveland Browns
Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio State

Whether or not Baker Mayfield is still the Browns' plan at quarterback, the offense is begging for some pass-catchers. Donovan Peoples-Jones led the team with just 597 receiving yards in 2021. Jarvis Landry is turning 30 next season and has one year left on his deal. Tight end David Njoku and receiver Rashard Higgins are free agents. But Wilson would immediately give Mayfield a playmaker. His best trait is body control, as he can adjust to passes in the air, but he is also a sudden route runner with fantastic speed and acceleration.

14. Baltimore Ravens
Tyler Linderbaum, C, Iowa

The Ravens went 8-9, but they were ravaged by injuries and are set up for a bounce-back year. A key to getting back on track will be protecting Lamar Jackson -- who missed five games in 2021 -- and opening lanes for J.K. Dobbins, who will return from a torn ACL. Tackle is the big question mark on the offensive line, with Ronnie Stanley missing 26 regular-season games over the past two years and Alejandro Villanueva turning 34 in September. Maybe Northern Iowa's Trevor Penning is the pick?

I instead opted for Linderbaum, who is one of the best 15 players in the class. Current Ravens center Bradley Bozeman is a free agent, and Linderbaum anchors well and is effective as a combo blocker at the second level. He'd help a Baltimore front that allowed 57 sacks last season (second most).





15. Philadelphia Eagles (via MIA)
Nakobe Dean, ILB, Georgia

The Eagles have a chance to get a whole lot better in a short period of time here; this is their first of three picks in the next five. Buckle up, Philly fans. Let's get started with Dean, who is my No. 6 prospect. He does it all, from using his speed and sideline-to-sideline range to match with running backs in coverage, to blitzing through gaps and pressuring quarterbacks, to stopping the run and wrapping up ball carriers. His motor never stops, and his instincts make him a true game-breaker. The Eagles have taken just one linebacker in the first round over the past 40 years (Marcus Smith in 2014), but the middle of their defense covets someone like Dean.


16. Philadelphia Eagles (via IND)
Travon Walker, DE, Georgia

An NFL team has never taken college teammates with back-to-back picks, but the Eagles' pass-rush was atrocious, and Walker is incredibly disruptive. Philadelphia's 29 sacks were 31st in the NFL last season, Derek Barnett is a free agent, and Fletcher Cox and Brandon Graham are both north of 30 years old. Plus, Graham is returning from an Achilles injury. Walker, meanwhile, is a power-based edge rusher who keeps getting better. It's time to stock the pass-rush cupboard a bit.
 

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TRADE: Steelers jump ahead to get their QB
If we get to this point and all but one of the quarterbacks are still on the board, the Steelers have to be on the phone with Chargers GM Tom Telesco. The Saints are lurking there at No. 18, and Pittsburgh knows it has to make a move to get its guy before New Orleans is on the clock. Los Angeles, meanwhile, knows that a three-pick slide to No. 20 doesn't impact its draft much. The Steelers would go QB, and the Saints could follow suit. That means the Chargers would in all likelihood get the same player at No. 20 that they would have gotten at No. 17. Plus, they'd get another pick or two.

In this case, I think a third-rounder and a late-rounder -- in addition to the No. 20 selection -- would get it done. Worst case for Pittsburgh, it's a second-rounder, if L.A. really dug in. But this is a franchise QB we're talking about, and the Steelers have to make this move if they're confident they have their answer under center going forward. But which QB?

17. Pittsburgh Steelers (via mock trade with LAC)
Malik Willis, QB, Liberty

Kevin Colbert has been with the Steelers for 22 seasons -- and has been their GM since 2010 -- and saw them draft Ben Roethlisberger in 2004. Now that Roethlisberger is retired and Colbert is stepping down, I think he'll want to leave the organization in a good place for the future. It already has the defense and a run game, and it was even a playoff team this past season. But the AFC North has some excellent quarterbacks, and the Steelers need an answer under center to keep contending.

My top QB, Willis has the strongest arm in the class and can create outside the pocket, making tough off-platform throws look easy. He's still developing, and he threw 12 interceptions last season, but the Steelers can build the offense around this dynamic passer.

18. New Orleans Saints
Matt Corral, QB, Ole Miss

Despite a big contract, Taysom Hill isn't the Saints' answer at quarterback. Will they re-sign Jameis Winston? Could they find a way to make a big improvement via trade? New coach Dennis Allen will exhaust all options under center, though the team's perpetual salary-cap concerns could limit them. New Orleans tied Carolina for a league-low 58.1% completion percentage in 2021, and their 187.4 passing yards per game were last in the NFL. Corral has a live arm, will lead receivers into extra yardage and can tuck-and-run when necessary. He's tough in the pocket, but that has brought on some durability concerns that will need to be evaluated. Corral hurt his ankle in Ole Miss' bowl game.


19. Philadelphia Eagles
Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas

So no quarterback change via the draft. I think the Eagles stick with Jalen Hurts unless they find a way to make the massive deal for a big-name QB. But Hurts could use another target, even after Philadelphia drafted receivers in the first round in each of the past two drafts (Jalen Reagor and DeVonta Smith). The only team to take a first-round receiver in three straight drafts was the Lions in 2003-05, but consider that the Eagles were 25th in the league last season in pass-game yardage -- and 30th when reduced to just wide receivers.

Burks has 6-foot-3 size, great hands and a wide catch radius. He'd be a mismatch in the slot for coach Nick Sirianni and has the ability to tack on extra yards after the catch with smooth acceleration upfield. Burks, Nakobe Dean and Travon Walker make for a great draft class.

20. Los Angeles Chargers (via mock trade with PIT)
Jordan Davis, DT, Georgia

In addition to the extra picks acquired via our mock trade, the Chargers would still get a massive space eater here to improve a woeful run defense. Their 4.6 yards allowed per carry tied for the fifth-worst rate in the NFL last season, and now defensive tackles Linval Joseph and Justin Jones are both free agents. Davis' 340-pound frame demands double-team attention, so in addition to clogging up rushing holes, he'd potentially open up some opportunities for Joey Bosa and Co. to get after the QB a little easier.

21. New England Patriots
Kyler Gordon, CB, Washington

The Patriots were second in passing yards allowed per game (187.1), tied for second in yards allowed per pass attempt (6.4) and second in interceptions (23). And they were one of three teams to keep opponents under 60% completion percentage. But the back seven could lose several starters to free agency, including cornerback J.C. Jackson, safety Devin McCourty and linebacker D'onta Hightower. It could also use an influx of speed in that area, of which Gordon has a ton. His versatility and ability to jump routes would also be welcome on one of the league's top defenses -- and he'd make the potential loss of Jackson a little easier to handle.

Linebacker and safety are two other areas to watch, and I'd watch how the receiver class is playing out as New England nears its pick. Ohio State's Chris Olave would give quarterback Mac Jones a smooth route runner with great separating speed. Alternatively, Alabama's Jameson Williams will likely miss some time but could end up the top receiver in the class. Bill Belichick would find ways to get the ball into his hands.



22. Las Vegas Raiders
Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State

This is a no-brainer. Olave is a polished route runner. He's fast with great explosion off the line. His ball skills are excellent. And his production speaks for itself: Olave found the end zone in nine of 11 games last season. Hunter Renfrow had a great season for Las Vegas, but tight end Darren Waller struggled to stay healthy and receiver Zay Jones is now a free agent. If the Raiders want to stay in stride with the other AFC West offenses -- especially if Denver finds a way to trade for Aaron Rodgers -- then they have to get quarterback Derek Carr a better supporting cast and get their first-round draft success back on track.

23. Arizona Cardinals
Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State

Arizona's roster has impact players headed toward free agency all over the place, but one of the biggest is edge rusher Chandler Jones. Coupled with the fact that soon-to-be 33-year-old J.J. Watt is coming off a shoulder surgery, this pass rush -- which produced 41 sacks last season, tied for 13th most -- could take a step back in 2022. Johnson had 12 sacks and 45 pressures at Florida State in 2021 and then put on a show at the Senior Bowl. Even if the Cardinals lose Jones this March, Johnson could join Markus Golden and Watt to form a solid pass-rush group.

It's noteworthy that the team's top-two running backs -- James Conner and Chase Edmonds -- are also free agents. That said, I don't see a running back worth even considering in Round 1 this year. Texas A&M's Isaiah Spiller is my top-rated back, way back at No. 55 on my board. We've seen only two first rounds without a running back (2013 and 2014), but this is shaping up to be one of those years.
 

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24. Dallas Cowboys
David Ojabo, DE, Michigan

Dallas drafted a star in Micah Parsons last April, but the linebacker was forced into more of an edge rush role last season due to injuries. The question for Dallas is where does it want to predominantly play him going forward. In my eyes, the key is to answer that question and then focus on the other area. Free Parsons up to be even more dominant. The Cowboys could look hard at the linebacker crop and let Parsons rush the QB more, but it'd be difficult for them to pass on Ojabo. Parsons had 13 sacks, but Randy Gregory (six) and Dorance Armstrong (five) were the only other Dallas players to have at least four -- and both are free agents. Ojabo's 11 sacks tied for 11th in the nation last season, and his lightning-fast first step and high-end instincts create problems for blockers.

With Dalton Schultz hitting free agency, Dallas could kick the tires on Colorado State tight end Trey McBride, too. He's a matchup problem with elite ball skills. But I think it's a little early.

25. Buffalo Bills
Andrew Booth Jr., CB, Clemson

The Bills' depth issues at cornerback were made very clear once Tre'Davious White got injured. Things aren't about to get better, either, with Levi Wallace hitting the open market. If Buffalo can find a solid CB2 opposite White, with Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde patrolling at safety, the secondary would be downright scary. Booth is a press corner with a smooth backpedal and great ball skills, but he can play off-man and zone, too. He picked off three passes in 2021 for the Tigers and would fit in nicely with a team ready to win a Super Bowl.

26. Tennessee Titans
George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue

I can't imagine Tennessee lets Harold Landry III walk after a 12-sack season, but he could break the bank. Denico Autry settled in nicely with nine sacks, and Jeffery Simmons is a force on the inside. But the Titans' edge rush could benefit from another playmaker, especially if they can't re-sign Landry. Karlaftis wins with power, and he can even bump inside on obvious passing downs.

Tennessee also took 47 sacks (seventh most), though, and a good chunk of the offensive line will be playing 2022 on the final year of their deals, so I could also see the Titans drafting Northern Iowa offensive tackle Trevor Penning or Central Michigan offensive tackle Bernhard Raimann.

27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama

Tom Brady is gone, but Tampa Bay seems like one of the QB-needy teams that will go the veteran route. The Buccaneers used a second-rounder on Kyle Trask last year, so they already have a hope-we-can-develop-him young passer in the mix. Instead, I'm looking at Williams, who is probably the most talented receiver in the class. He is coming off a torn ACL and will likely miss part of the season, but he's big-play receiver with elite speed and shiftiness as a ball carrier. He piled up 1,572 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns in 2021. Antonio Brown is gone, Chris Godwin is a pending free agent and Rob Gronkowski could re-retire. The Buccaneers will make a move to re-sign Godwin, but even if they do, Williams is a game-breaker Tampa Bay offensive coordinator Byron Leftwich would love to scheme up.

I like this fit, but the Buccaneers could really look at a lot of different prospects. Consider some of their impact players who are unsigned and the potential resulting holes: Ryan Jensen, Carlton Davis, Leonard Fournette, Ronald Jones II, Jordan Whitehead, Alex Cappa, Jason Pierre-Paul, Ndamukong Suh and William Gholston.

28. Green Bay Packers
Devonte Wyatt, DT, Georgia

This is a pure value pick for Green Bay. The first look was to wide receiver, with Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling perhaps signing elsewhere this March. Five are already off the board, leaving Penn State's Jahan Dotson as the top remaining. Alabama's Jameson Williams could be a really fun selection that would excite Aaron Rodgers if the QB stays in Green Bay, but he just went off the board. And with the Packers taking Amari Rodgers last April to play out of the slot, Dotson might not make much sense. Even if Adams doesn't return, the free-agent receiver class is high end, and I think the Packers could address the position there.

So turning our attention to defense, how about Wyatt, a Senior Bowl standout? He has tons of upper-body strength and is always moving his feet. The Packers allowed 4.7 yards per carry last season (30th in the NFL), and opponents had the seventh-highest QBR (51.5). Wyatt would help in both areas and give Kenny Clark a running mate in the middle of the defense. Also: This makes it four Georgia defenders in Round 1. Miami in 2004 and Florida State in 2006 are the only other schools to have that many on the defensive side of the ball.

29. Miami Dolphins (via SF)
Trevor Penning, OT, Northern Iowa

The Dolphins' offensive line is a mess, but it's not for a lack of trying. They've used four picks on Day 1 or Day 2 of the draft on the position group over the past three years. Not much has panned out, though, as Miami's 46.6% pass block win rate was last in the NFL in 2021. And only the Texans average fewer yards per carry on the ground than the Dolphins' 3.6. Penning is a mauler with a lot of upside. He pushes defenders off the ball and moves pretty well for a 6-foot-7, 321-pounder.

With tight end Mike Gesicki off to free agency, this is another team that could use Colorado State's Trey McBride. But I just can't imagine Miami focusing anywhere but offensive line. Things could change once free agency sorts itself out, but GM Chris Grier has to find a way to keep oft-injured quarterback Tua Tagovailoa upright.

30. Kansas City Chiefs
Jahan Dotson, WR, Penn State

Kansas City could fixate on defense, considering it allowed 5.9 yards per play in 2021 (30th). The pass-rush needs attention, and Penn State defensive end Arnold Ebiketie would fit the bill there. Defensive backs Tyrann Mathieu and Charvarius Ward are currently without a contract, so UTSA cornerback Tariq Woolen might be in play. And there will be more turnover on the offensive line, too, even if the Chiefs re-sign Orlando Brown Jr.

So a receiver? The Chiefs will still have Tyreek Hill, Mecole Hardman and Travis Kelce next year, but quarterback Patrick Mahomes thrives on distributing the football. Byron Pringle and Demarcus Robinson are headed toward free agency. Dotson is lightning quick in and out of his breaks, and despite a 5-foot-11 frame, he can pluck on the run and produce after the catch. He'd be a great possession receiver for Mahomes after catching 91 passes in 2021, including at least five in 11 of 12 games. Dotson would be the sixth receiver here, and it'd be the third straight class of at least five first-rounders. That has never been done.

31. Cincinnati Bengals
Bernhard Raimann, OT, Central Michigan

Do we even need to explain this one? Cincinnati allowed 55 sacks in 2021 (third most), and then it took 19 more across four playoff games. Its 48.8% pass block win rate was 30th in the NFL. The season ultimately ended on a pressure, as Rams defensive tackle Aaron Donald got to quarterback Joe Burrow on the Bengals' final offensive play of the Super Bowl. Burrow is one of the best young passers in the game, and Cincinnati must, must, must clean up the offensive line to keep him healthy and let him operate the offense with more ease. Raimann has a powerful upper body and shuts down pass-rushers when he gets his hands inside.


32. Detroit Lions (via LAR)
Sam Howell, QB, North Carolina

Detroit already has Aidan Hutchinson from its first pick of Day 1. Now it can take advantage of the final pick with a fifth-year option attached to it and draft a quarterback -- not unlike what the Ravens did with Lamar Jackson in 2018. Tough and competitive, Howell fits well with the Lions' organization. He is super accurate hitting the deep rail shots, and he has a quick delivery and good touch. But his footwork needs work, and he will need to improve the anticipatory intermediate-level throws. Let Howell sit behind Jared Goff, whose dead money falls from $30.5 million in 2022 to $10 million in 2023 and $5 million in 2024. I'd like to see Howell link up with receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown to jump-start the Lions' passing attack, which had the league's 25th-best Total QBR in 2021 (37.6).
 

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2022 NBA mock draft: How top prospects fared in the NCAA men's basketball tournament

The first weekend of the NCAA men's tournament is in the books. Several prospects possibly played in their last college games while two of the projected top-three NBA draft picks advanced to the Sweet 16.

As the tournament advances, the matchups will continue to be more compelling as scouts will take notice of prospects playing against stiffer competition. Gonzaga's Chet Holmgren has already faced one test in a highly anticipated matchup against Memphis, getting the best of fellow freshman center Jalen Duren on Saturday night in a game where both projected lottery picks were in foul trouble.

Paolo Banchero and Duke advanced, with Banchero (19 points, seven rebounds, four assists) hitting several big shots as the Blue Devils avoided a scare against Michigan State.

Meanwhile, Auburn's Jabari Smith had his worst offensive game of the season as No. 2 seed Auburn was upset by No. 10 seed Miami.

ESPN's NBA draft experts Jonathan Givony and Mike Schmitz have been glued to the March Madness action all weekend. Givony's updated NBA mock draft is below and Givony and Schmitz provide the latest observations on Holmgren, Banchero, Smith, Duren, Baylor's Jeremy Sochan and more.

Note: The projected 2022 draft order is based on ESPN BPI draft projections as of Saturday. The full 1-58 order also reflects picks owed and owned.

Jonathan Givony's NBA mock draft

1. Houston Rockets

Chet Holmgren | Gonzaga | 7-0 | PF | Age: 19.8

2. Orlando Magic

Jabari Smith | Auburn | 6-10 | SF/PF | Age: 18.8

3. Indiana Pacers

Paolo Banchero | Duke | 6-10 | PF/C | Age: 19.3

4. Oklahoma City Thunder

Jaden Ivey | Purdue | 6-4 | PG/SG | Age: 20.0

5. Detroit Pistons

Keegan Murray | Iowa | 6-9 | PF/C | Age: 21.5

6. Sacramento Kings

Shaedon Sharpe | Kentucky | 6-6 | SG | Age: 18.8

7. Portland Trail Blazers

Jalen Duren | Memphis | 6-10 | C | Age: 18.3

8. San Antonio Spurs

AJ Griffin | Duke | 6-6 | SF/PF | Age: 18.5

9. New Orleans Pelicans (from Lakers)

Johnny Davis | Wisconsin | 6-5 | PG/SG | Age: 20.0

10. Washington Wizards

Dyson Daniels | G League Ignite | 6-6 | PG/SG | Age: 19.0

11. New York Knicks

Bennedict Mathurin | Arizona | 6-6 | SF | Age: 19.7

12. Portland Trail Blazers (from Pelicans)

Ochai Agbaji | Kansas | 6-6 | SF | Age: 21.9

13. Atlanta Hawks

Jeremy Sochan | Baylor | 6-9 | PF | Age: 18.8

14. Charlotte Hornets (Hawks if 19-30)

TyTy Washington Jr. | Kentucky | 6-4 | PG/SG | Age: 20.3

15. Oklahoma City Thunder (from Clippers)

Tari Eason | LSU | 6-8 | PF | Age: 20.8

16. Houston Rockets (from Nets)

Malaki Branham | Ohio St. | 6-5 | SG | Age: 18.8

17. Indiana Pacers

Kennedy Chandler | Tennessee | 6-1 | PG | Age: 19.5

18. Chicago Bulls

E.J. Liddell | Ohio St. | 6-7 | PF | Age: 21.2

19. Minnesota Timberwolves

Ousmane Dieng | NZ Breakers | 6-10 | SF/PF | Age: 18.8

20. San Antonio Spurs (from Raptors)

Blake Wesley | Notre Dame | 6-5 | SG | Age: 19.0

21. Brooklyn Nets (from 76ers)

Mark Williams | Duke | 7-1 | C | Age: 20.2

22. San Antonio Spurs (from Celtics)

Nikola Jovic | Mega Mozzart | 6-10 | SF | Age: 18.7

23. Denver Nuggets

MarJon Beauchamp | G League Ignite | 6-6 | SG/SF | Age: 21.4

24. Memphis Grizzlies (from Jazz)

Walker Kessler | Auburn | 7-1 | C | Age: 20.6
25. Dallas Mavericks

Kendall Brown | Baylor | 6-8 | SF | Age: 18.8

26. Milwaukee Bucks

Jaden Hardy | G League Ignite | 6-4 | SG | Age: 19.7

27. Golden State Warriors

Trevor Keels | Duke | 6-5 | PG/SG | Age: 18.5

28. Miami Heat

Jean Montero | Overtime Elite | 6-2 | PG/SG | Age: 18.7

29. Memphis Grizzlies

Patrick Baldwin Jr. | Milwaukee | 6-9 | SF/PF | Age: 19.3

30. Oklahoma City Thunder (from Suns)

Bryce McGowens | Nebraska | 6-6 | SG | Age: 19.3

31. Indiana Pacers (from Cavaliers via Rockets)

David Roddy | Colorado St. | 6-5 | PF | Age: 20.9

32. Orlando Magic

Hugo Besson | NZ Breakers | 6-5 | PG/SG| Age: 20.8

33. Orlando Magic (from Pacers)

Christian Braun | Kansas | 6-6 | SG/SF | Age: 20.9

34. Oklahoma City Thunder

Wendell Moore Jr. | Duke | 6-6 | SF | Age: 20.5

35. Toronto Raptors (from Pistons)

Justin Lewis | Marquette | 6-7 | SF/PF | Age: 19.9

36. Sacramento Kings

Ismael Kamagate | Paris | 6-11 | C | Age: 21.1

37. Portland Trail Blazers

Christian Koloko | Arizona | 7-1 | C | Age: 21.7

38. Cleveland Cavaliers (from Spurs)

JD Davison | Alabama | 6-3 | PG | Age: 19.4

39. San Antonio Spurs (from Lakers)

Khalifa Diop | Gran Canaria | 7-0 | C | Age: 20.1

40. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Cavaliers via Wizards)

Jake LaRavia | Wake Forest | 6-8 | PF | Age: 20.3

41. New York Knicks

Max Christie | Michigan St. | 6-6 | SG | Age: 19.1

42. Charlotte Hornets (from Pelicans)

Oscar Tshiebwe | Kentucky | 6-9 | C | Age: 22.3

43. Atlanta Hawks

Yannick Nzosa | Unicaja Malaga | 6-11 | C | Age: 18.3

44. Charlotte Hornets

Keon Ellis | Alabama | 6-6 | SG/SF | Age: 22.1

45. LA Clippers

Trevion Williams | Purdue | 6-10 | C | Age: 21.5

46. Detroit Pistons (from Nets)

Dalen Terry | Arizona | 6-7 | PG/SG | Age: 19.6

47. New Orleans Pelicans (from Cavaliers)

Andrew Nembhard | Gonzaga | 6-4 | PG | Age: 22.1

48. Sacramento Kings (from Bulls)

Jalen Williams | Santa Clara | 6-6 | SF | Age: 20.9

49. Minnesota Timberwolves

Drew Timme | Gonzaga | 6-10 | PF/C | Age: 21.5

50. Golden State Warriors (from Raptors)

Matteo Spagnolo | Cremona | 6-5 | PG | Age: 19.1

51. Philadelphia 76ers

Gabriele Procida | Fortitudo Bologna | 6-7 | SG | Age: 19.8

52. Boston Celtics

Jaime Jaquez Jr. | UCLA | 6-6 | SG | Age: 21.0

53. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Nuggets)

Alondes Williams | Wake Forest | 6-5 | PG/SG | Age: 22.7

54. New Orleans Pelicans (from Jazz)

Michael Foster | G League Ignite | 6-9 | PF | Age: 19.1

55. Washington Wizards (from Mavericks)

Dominick Barlow | Overtime Elite | 6-9 | PF/C | Age: 18.8

56. Golden State Warriors

Julian Champagnie | St. John's | 6-8 | SF/PF | Age: 20.7

57. Portland Trail Blazers (from Grizzlies)

Ron Harper Jr. | Rutgers | 6-6 | SF/PF | Age: 21.9

58. Indiana Pacers (from Suns)

Jabari Walker | Colorado | 6-8 | PF | Age: 19.6
 

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Chet Holmgren | 7-1 | PF | Gonzaga | Age: 19.8 | Mock draft: No. 1
Gonzaga escaped with a win against freshman center Jalen Duren and a powerful Memphis squad that put quite a scare into the NCAA tournament's No. 1 overall seed, with Holmgren having a somewhat underwhelming performance by his lofty standards.

It started with real fireworks between the projected top-10 picks, with Holmgren stifling Duren repeatedly inside the post, showing impressive toughness and fight despite giving up more than 50 pounds, along with his extraordinary length and timing challenging him at the rim. Foul trouble prevented the two from seeing as much head-to-head action as scouts may have liked, with both players in foul trouble, but Holmgren still clearly got the best of the matchup.

Holmgren was somewhat passive offensively by his recent standards, not looking to push the ball off the defensive glass or exploit mismatches in short-roll situations as aggressively as in previous showings. His outside shot wasn't falling either, as he's hit a bit of a cold streak, converting just 1 of his last 14 attempts from 3, but is still at 39% from 3 on the season. He also missed two of his three free throws, including the front end of a key 1-and-1, which is uncharacteristic. While nerves may have been a factor, he also seemed to be deferring to the experience of upperclassmen stars Drew Timme and Andrew Nembhard, who were both having huge games and carrying the team in different stretches.



Despite his relatively muted impact offensively, Holmgren was a huge factor defensively as usual, blocking four shots, challenging countless others and finishing +18 in a game Gonzaga won by four. Naysayers will point to the struggles he had dealing with physicality, as he got pushed around on the glass at times and dunked on emphatically by Duren while attempting to draw a charge. Holmgren moves onto the Sweet 16, where he'll face another formidable opponent in Arkansas, with the No. 1 defense in the SEC, another great opportunity to solidify his standing at the top of the draft against top-level competition. -- Jonathan Givony


Jabari Smith | 6-10 | SF/PF | Auburn | Age: 18.8 | Mock draft: No. 2
Smith built his candidacy as a potential No. 1 pick by making impossible shots look easy all season. Those shots stopped falling at the worst time possible in a frenetic, up-tempo, small-ball game that saw Auburn completely fall apart in a loss to Miami, shooting 30% from the field and trailing from the opening tip.

Smith had easily his worst offensive game of the season, shooting 1-for-8 from 3 and 2-for-8 from 2, looking discombobulated by Miami's unorthodox style, and never finding any type of rhythm, like the rest of his team. Variance, and the extremely high degree of difficulty of attempts he lives off with his sped-up style will lead to nights like this on occasion, but it was still shocking to see it play out.

After 34 games, playing against an elite strength of schedule, NBA teams know exactly the type of prospect Smith is. Still, only two players over 6-6 have ever been drafted in the lottery after shooting under 45% from 2-point range (Cam Reddish and Ziaire Williams), and Smith's lack of explosiveness, extreme reliance on difficult jumpers and inability to create easy shots for himself or others inside the arc reared its head several times in this game, as it has all season.

On the positive side, Smith didn't go down without a fight, grabbing a career-high 15 rebounds, posting three blocks and showing terrific effort all game long sliding his feet on the perimeter and covering ground all over the floor. He was obviously distraught in defeat, and can't be solely blamed for the loss, as his entire team (and coaching staff) had a very poor showing.

Smith will still be a top-3 draft pick ultimately, but his chances of going No. 1 got a little bit smaller with this surprising upset, even if he'll surely still receive strong consideration depending on which team gets the pick. -- Givony


Paolo Banchero | 6-10 | PF/C | Duke | Age: 19.3 | Mock draft: No. 3
Banchero had some ups and downs but played a huge role in Duke's comeback win over Michigan State, making several important plays down the stretch. Despite looking indecisive at times in the first half, Banchero ramped up the aggression and unleashed his talent in a major way with several skillful one-on-one baskets in the final minutes, scoring on a fluid, rangy spin-move from the perimeter over Marcus Bingham Jr., and then powering through Joey Hauser with a series of crossovers and hesitation moves to give the Blue Devils the lead for good.

Banchero also showed his ability to find teammates for open shots, and had an impressive block on Hauser -- sliding his feet on the perimeter and meeting him at the rim -- showing excellent mobility and timing on the defensive end. Banchero's tendency to overthink open jumpers and shy away from physicality on both ends of the floor has been frustrating for scouts to watch at times this season, but there was very little to criticize in this game as he finished with 19 points, seven rebounds, four assists and a trip to the Sweet 16. Duke will face the No. 1 defensive team in college basketball, Texas Tech, which should provide a major test for coach Mike Krzyzewski's young squad. -- Givony




Jalen Duren | 6-11 | C | Memphis | Age: 22.1 | Mock draft: No. 7
While Memphis put up an impressive fight against No. 1 overall seed Gonzaga and projected No. 1 pick Holmgren, Duren wasn't able to move the needle with his individual play, battling foul trouble on his way to seven points, seven rebounds on 3-for-11 shooting in 19 minutes.

Duren used his powerful 250-pound frame to wedge Holmgren under the rim on the offensive glass several times, leading to four offensive rebounds -- his best NBA skill at this stage. He took advantage of a Holmgren flop for an explosive dunk out of the post. He finished a lob well above the rim that was far more indicative of the type of spacing he'll have at the next level. He made a couple heady high-low passes. He also stymied guard Andrew Nembhard on a couple switches, recovered well to Holmgren out of short roll situations to take away shot attempts and put together a couple strong defensive possessions on Drew Timme, who still found ways to score in the midst of an unbelievable display of tough shot-making.


Duren struggled to finish around the rim against Holmgren's length both on put-backs and post isolations, not always going up with the amount of ferocity as his tools suggest. He forced up a contested mid-range jumper halfway through the shot clock that missed. He committed avoidable fouls on the glass, as a screener and reaching on the perimeter. Duren also had underwhelming moments guarding in space, which was also the case against Boise State. For as vertically explosive as he is, Duren doesn't have great technique defending away from the rim, as he doesn't sit down in a stance like he could and often opens his hips too quickly.

His urgency on both ends still fluctuates, as he doesn't always sprint the floor, and he'll get boxed out of shot-blocking situations with deep seals defensively. Although he was unable to completely outplay Holmgren and put together a true signature performance, Duren has shown enough to warrant his standing as a potential pick between No. 6-10.

Getting to know Duren personally and determining whether or not he can be more than a run-and-jump big will go a long way in deciding just how high the 18-year-old big man with Dwight Howard-like tools will ultimately go, and if he can be more than an NBA starter. -- Mike Schmitz
 

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Jeremy Sochan | 6-9 | PF | Baylor | Age: 18.8 | Mock draft: No. 13
Although Baylor's valiant 25-point comeback fell short against North Carolina in overtime, Sochan showed quite a bit of character during the Bears' short-lived NCAA tournament run, averaging 15 points, nine rebounds and three assists in 30 minutes while shooting 50% from 2 and 3-of-9 from 3. Sochan's energy, competitiveness, defensive versatility and toughness shined through in the second half against UNC and it's become increasingly clear that he's not only the best NBA prospect on his team, but a potential lottery pick if he can convince teams of his shooting throughout the pre-draft process. He fought until the bitter end against the Tar Heels, flying around at the top of the Baylor press, switching onto guards, battling inside, crashing the offensive glass, diving on the floor for loose balls and trying to change shots around the rim.

Sochan naysayers will question his elite NBA skill, which is fair. He has nice size at around 6-9 and 230 pounds with solid agility, yet he's not long (7-0 wingspan), isn't overly quick or vertically explosive and he's not much of a threat to score in the half court, which we saw against the Tar Heels. UNC bigs Armando Bacot and Brady Manek regularly closed out short and dared him to beat them from 3, which limited Sochan's downhill attacks and led to some underwhelming possessions that highlighted his lack of a reliable jumper and somewhat limited burst off the bounce (4-for-14 from the field).

Analytics models will flag his 58.9% free throw clip and sub-30% 3-point shooting. Sochan's 14.3 points per 40 minutes also rank in the bottom 15 among ESPN's top-100. Yet, Sochan attempting 4.3 threes per 40 minutes this season is encouraging as far as his confidence is concerned, and watching him shoot in person several times, he has touch and solid mechanics, even showing the ability to knock down pull-ups and mid-post turnarounds on occasion. If he can turn himself into a league-average shooter, then he'll be able to unleash the ballhandling and passing we saw this season and so regularly with the Polish junior national team.


Sochan has a chance to be an instant NBA contributor defensively as he's comfortable switching out onto guards, tracking big wings and has at least shown the willingness to slide up to the small-ball 5. He doesn't quite have the sheer reach and bounce to be a full-time protector at the 5, but the instincts are there (2.0 steals and 1.1 blocks per 40 minutes), and he's a solid positional rebounder who gravitates toward the ball and isn't afraid to mix it up in traffic. Being able to shift up to the 5 also makes him a far tougher cover offensively.

At 18 years old with the type of versatility NBA teams covet, I'd fully expect Sochan to be a potential riser in the pre-draft process as teams get to know him, dive into his FIBA tape and unearth his shooting potential. Even if he doesn't evolve into a reliable half-court scorer, Sochan could thrive in a Boris Diaw-like role as a playmaking forward who makes his teammates better, adds value with his defensive versatility and does a lot of the little things that impact winning. -- Schmitz



TyTy Washington Jr. | 6-4 | PG | Kentucky | Age: 20.3 | Mock draft: No. 14
Kentucky suffered one of the most shocking NCAA tournament upsets in recent memory, losing to No. 15 seed Saint Peter's, with their highly regarded freshman Washington having his worst game of the season at the most inopportune time possible, scoring five points on 2-for-10 shooting with more turnovers than assists, and several poor defensive possessions.

Washington simply hasn't been the same player since suffering an ankle injury two months ago in a loss at Auburn, seeing his scoring production and efficiency fall off. How healthy he was the past two months and what caused this precipitous drop in production will be a major point of conversation for lottery teams the next three months.

Watching the ease in which Kentucky's entire offense was grinded to a halt by a MAAC team with a simple, but highly effective game plan will raise many of the same questions NBA teams have asked about other John Calipari guards in the past. Tyrese Maxey, Devin Booker, Tyler Herro, Keldon Johnson, Hamidou Diallo, Immanuel Quickley, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Brandon Boston Jr. and others all ended up being under-drafted after looking vastly more comfortable in the NBA than they did in college, which has caused scouts to openly discuss grading future Kentucky prospects on a curve, operating under the assumption that they simply won't be used to their full potential in college.

Were Washington's weaknesses similarly accentuated by the extreme lack of shooting and spacing surrounding him? And will being placed in a more modern offensive system not built around post-ups, offensive rebounds and mid-range jumpers help solve some of the issues he faced this season with his struggles beating opponents off the dribble and finishing in traffic?

Outside of one week in which Sahvir Wheeler was injured (where Washington broke John Wall and Kentucky's single-game record with 17 assists), we never quite got to see what Washington would look like as a full-time point guard, something NBA teams would surely like to know more about. Washington's ability to make reads out of ball-screens is arguably his biggest strength, but he averaged less than six pick and rolls per game, ranked 467th among division one players, per Synergy Sports Technology. Prior to Washington's injuries, he was the most efficient pick and roll player in college basketball, but he fell off the past two months.

Excuses aside, it's safe to say Washington should have done better with the opportunities he had, especially with his team's season on the brink against an overmatched opponent, and certainly on the defensive end where he actually had some nice progress relative to where he started. He'll now move onto the pre-draft process, where several polarizing guard prospects, including himself, will attempt to position themselves for consideration in the No. 10 to No. 20 portion of the draft. -- Givony

Malaki Branham | 6-5 | SG | Ohio State | Age: 18.8 | Mock draft: No. 16
Branham looked like the best player on the floor against Villanova, despite only being a freshman. Ohio State has gradually shifted most of their offense to run through him as the season has progressed, and he did a great job of making shots keep the game close before the Buckeyes eventually bowed out. Branham's size, frame, length, scoring instincts and shot-making prowess off the dribble (44% FG%) and with his feet set (43%) make his game look seamlessly translatable for what the NBA is looking for at his position. He got to his spots in the mid-range and rose up beautifully with his high release point, and showed he can do a little more than that too by facilitating for others and showing competitiveness defensively one-on-one. While he has some things to work with as a ball handler and off-ball defender, the fact that he's 18 years old, has made such impressive strides as the season moved on and plays with a unique combination of aggressiveness and poise could put him in lottery conversations. -- Givony

Kennedy Chandler | 6-1 | PG | Tennessee | Age: 19.5 | Mock draft: No. 17
No. 3 seed Tennessee lost in the Round of 32 to No. 11 seed Michigan, but it's difficult to call Chandler's performance over the past two months anything but a major win, as he clearly established himself as one of the best point guards in college basketball after an up-and-down start.

Chandler has played mistake-free, highly efficient basketball over the past 15 games, looking on another level confidence-wise, shooting 47% from beyond the arc and playing lockdown defense. Winners of 13 of their past 14 games going into Saturday, Tennessee shot just 2-for-18 from 3, with Wolverines coach Juwan Howard electing to send a series of aggressive traps and double teams at Chandler and force anyone but him to beat them, something that proved to be a winning strategy.

Chandler proved his point, showing the type of burst, ball-handling, creativity and aggressiveness every NBA covets. He did a masterful job of playing off hesitation moves and changing gears to get anywhere he wanted on the floor, dished out nine assists, hit an array of pull-up jumpers, finished skillfully around the basket and got in passing lanes repeatedly. Although his team didn't win, it was encouraging to see how assertive Chandler was all game long after being criticized earlier in the season for being too tentative on the floor and too quiet off it -- areas he's made major strides with.

After a roller-coaster start, Chandler's draft stock is back where it started at the beginning of the season, vying to be the first point guard off the board after Jaden Ivey. NBA teams have long been reluctant to hand the keys of their team over to smaller guards, which is why measurements and the way he performs in workouts against other touted prospects at his position will ultimately determine when his name is called. Chandler took a circuitous route but appears to have come out a much better player after a strong development season that will likely position him well going into his NBA rookie season. -- Givony


Blake Wesley | 6-5 | SG | Notre Dame | Age: 19.0 | Mock draft: No. 20
Notre Dame's surprise NCAA tournament run came to an end as the No. 1 defense in college basketball, Texas Tech, held potential first-round pick Wesley to just 3-for-14 shooting in 32 minutes, putting an end to a freshman campaign that featured everything from remarkable highlights to head-scratching lows. Wesley shot 13-for-37 from 2 and 0-for-8 from 3 against Rutgers, Alabama and the Red Raiders while committing more turnovers than assists. While he tried to relentlessly attack Texas Tech with downhill attacks, Wesley ran out of gas, showing where he has the most room to improve in the process.

Despite the inefficiency, Wesley's talent still popped, particularly in Notre Dame's win over Alabama (18 points on 14 shots), where he looked like the best prospect on the floor. He has NBA-caliber burst off the bounce, proved comfortable rising up in mid-range spots. He's looked far more competitive defensively as the year has gone on, using that quickness, length and solid instincts to add value both on and off the ball, making plays in the passing lanes, blowing up handoffs and proving more than capable containing the ball in 1-on-1 situations.

But the game still moves too quickly for the 19-year-old -- Wesley committed several costly turnovers in the last five minutes of Sunday's loss. He's still searching for the right blend between scoring and playmaking, as he regularly missed kick outs or drop offs once he got a piece of the paint. Among the 143 players to take at least 130 shots at the rim in the half court, Wesley ranks 142nd in efficiency. He will also have to prove himself as a perimeter shooter throughout the pre-draft process, as he finished the year at 30.3% from 3.

Wesley is a big-time talent who has NBA feet and shift off the dribble, can get a piece of the paint at will and has at least shown enough off the dribble shooting potential to suggest there's room to improve. With a strong pre-draft process, it's not out of the question that Wesley gets looks throughout the teens, especially if he shoots the ball well. But for those who were skeptical about his NBA readiness and consistent impact, Wesley's showing against Texas Tech didn't do anything to ease those concerns. -- Schmitz
 

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Kendall Brown | 6-8 | SF/PF | Baylor | Age: 18.8 | Mock draft: No. 25
Down 67-42 with 10:47 left in the second half, Baylor nearly pulled off one of the great comebacks in NCAA tournament history in an overtime loss to North Carolina. They did it almost exclusively with the highly regarded freshman Brown glued to the bench. Brown's offensive weaknesses were put on full display by North Carolina's game plan, which was to ignore him on the perimeter and dare him to take open jump shots, which Brown happily did, going 0-for-4 from 3. Brown's shaky ball-handling ability and feel for the game were also put to the test, as well as his lack of awareness and physicality defensively. Brown was repeatedly late rotating in both the half court and transition while getting beaten up on the glass and fighting over screens, as the game simply moved too fast for him at times. Baylor's coaching staff finally pulled the plug with 13 minutes left, and the team then went on a huge run when UNC forward Brady Manek was ejected on a highly questionable call, leading Brown to finish minus-23.


Not turning 19 until May, Brown's raw offensive skill set and struggles defensively aren't shocking considering his lack of experience, and he still has several intriguing attributes to hang his hat on as arguably the most explosive leaper in this draft class, with a 6-11 wingspan and some real flashes of passing and ability to defend one-on-one. Still, there are real question marks about what exactly Brown's role will be early in his NBA career, and whether he has the touch to develop his jump shot, which will be a major key to his long-term development. -- Givony

Justin Lewis | 6-7 | PF | Marquette | Age: 19.9 | Mock draft: No. 35
Entering the NCAA tournament as a fringe first-round prospect, the 19-year-old Lewis was unable to solidify his stock as he turned in an uninspiring 2-for-15 performance in an ugly 32-point loss to North Carolina. Despite big games against DePaul (26 points,10 rebounds) and St. John's (28 points, seven rebounds) down the stretch of the season, Lewis ends his sophomore campaign as one of the more perplexing prospects in this class given the stark difference between his best and worst games.


The Golden Eagles had no answer for Caleb Love's 21-point first half, and Lewis struggled to knock down slip-out 3s (2-for-7), finishing the year at 35% from beyond the arc on 5.2 attempts per game. Lewis is still very much learning when to take spot-up 3s versus when to attack off the bounce, as he tends to rely on out-of-rhythm jumpers or forced drives to the rim, where he's more strong and powerful than quick and explosive. Lewis' lack of elite burst showed on downhill attacks against the Tar Heels, and he missed a few bunnies in traffic (0-for-8 from 2), bringing his finishing percentage to 47.1%, which ranks 198th out of 203 players in the NCAA to take over 120 shots at the rim in the half court.

Lewis did change several shots at the rim with his 7-2 wingspan, suggesting he can play some small-ball 5 at the next level such as Charlotte's P.J. Washington. The small center role might ultimately be Lewis' most advantageous position as he's not quick-footed or consistently locked in guarding the perimeter (on and off the ball) and needs to still improve as an offensive decision-maker, finding more ways to add value when he's not making shots. There's no question that Lewis made a huge jump this season, and the fact that he's still 19 years old with NBA length and strength, a projectable shooting stroke and solid ball skills for a player his size makes him undoubtedly interesting to scouts. But Lewis didn't help himself against the Tar Heels, and he'll surely have to have a strong pre-draft process to prove he's worthy of a June first-round selection -- Schmitz




Andrew Nembhard | 6-4 | PG | Gonzaga | Age: 22.1 | Mock draft: No. 47
Nembhard showed why he's one of the best point guards in college on Saturday night, scoring 10 points in the last 4:37 to cap off a 23-point, 5-assist game in an 82-78 win over Memphis. Every time the Tigers made a run, Nembhard made a play, making two of his five 3s down the stretch while proving he's capable of punishing teams for darting under screens.

Nembhard is playing the best basketball of his career, averaging 15.0 points, 7.0 assists, and just 1.9 turnovers per games over his past 10 games while shooting 50% from 2 and 41% from 3. Nembhard has always been touted for his stellar basketball acumen and poise, but it's the improvements he's made as a shooter that has NBA teams looking at him with more clarity than in the past. Too often not even looking at the rim from 3 in previous years, Nembhard is even pulling from beyond NBA range on occasion, which has forced teams over the top of screens in pick and roll, allowing him to utilize his size and vision to either hit the roll man or spray the ball out to shooters with either hand.

Nembhard also looks quicker with the ball in the open court as the conductor to Gonzaga's high-octane offense that ranks in the top-five in both pace and efficiency according to KenPom.com.

Where Nembhard does need to prove he can add value is on the defensive end, where Gonzaga will hide him at times, in part to conserve his energy -- he's sat out less than five total minutes over his last five games. Although strong at 6-4 with the ability to hold his own in the post, which he did at times against a wing such as Memphis' Landers Nolley II, Nembhard isn't overly active off the ball, regularly standing straight up and down when he should be tagging or sinking inside the big to take away a drop off or offensive rebound. His on-ball focus and energy very much comes and goes. He's still not overly shifty with the ball in the half court on offense, which we saw on several Memphis switches when he either had to kill his dribble inside the arc or get off the ball.

But Nembhard's recent surge -- particularly as a shooter -- should earn him looks in the mid to early second round, especially if he can lead the Bulldogs to a national title with a signature performance against a team such as Duke (a potential Elite 8 foe) along the way. -- Schmitz
 
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^^^ I really like Ivey and Jabari Smith. I haven’t see enough of Gonzaga to know if a 195 pound 7 footer can hang in the league.
 

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1. Jacksonville Jaguars

Aidan Hutchinson, DE, Michigan

When I did my previous mock draft, before the combine, I started off my write-up for this pick with this: "Offensive tackle or edge rusher here? I don't think the Jaguars are set either way." Well, things change quickly in the NFL. Jacksonville decided to franchise tag left tackle Cam Robinson for the second straight year, taking away its need for a top-tier blindside protector (at least for a year) for quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Now, Hutchinson is the heavy favorite to go to the Jags -- barring a desperate team trading up.

Hutchinson, my top-ranked prospect in this class, could get double-digit sacks playing on the other side of Josh Allen in new coordinator Mike Caldwell's defense. The Jaguars made a few big-money moves in free agency, but there's still a huge hole at defensive end.

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2. Detroit Lions
Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame

Pass-rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux will be in play here, but the top offensive tackles aren't an option; the Lions are set with Taylor Decker and Penei Sewell. There's more risk with Thibodeaux than I'd like for a No. 2 pick, because there's no guarantee he'll grow into his immense upside. I'd prefer a safer pick here, and I've come around to the fit of Hamilton in Detroit, which my guy Todd McShay has pushed for a little bit.

Hamilton is a playmaking safety in a 6-foot-4 frame who would immediately raise the ceiling of a defense that has struggled for years. He can play in the box, out of the slot and as a center fielder. Normally I'd say this is too high for a safety, but Hamilton is a unique and special defender. Detroit brought back safety Tracy Walker, but he could play with Hamilton.


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3. Houston Texans
Ikem Ekwonu, OT, NC State

Deshaun Watson is gone, and it appears the Texans will move forward with Davis Mills as their quarterback. This team really just has to focus on adding talent around Mills and then see where it is in 2023. Houston is not going to compete in the AFC South this season but could be right back in the top five next year. With five picks in the top 80 in this draft -- including the No. 13 selection from the Watson deal -- it should take the best prospect available.

For me, that's Ekwonu, an elite offensive tackle. Yes, Laremy Tunsil is returning on the left side, so put Ekwonu at right tackle and the Texans can have one of the league's most talented bookend duos. This is a roster with several holes; this selection is another crucial step in a slow rebuild.

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4. New York Jets
Drake London, WR, USC

The Jets have had a nice start to free agency, filling voids at tight end (C.J. Uzomah and Tyler Conklin), safety (Jordan Whitehead), cornerback (D.J. Reed) and guard (Laken Tomlinson). They haven't yet added an outside wide receiver to help Zach Wilson, though, which means they could be eyeing one with either of their top-10 picks. They could get their choice of the best receiver in the class here, and really, if they want to take one, there's no need to wait.

London, 6-foot-4 and my top-ranked wideout, had 88 catches for 1,084 yards in eight games in 2021 before a broken right ankle ended his season. He can be a weapon in the red zone. With London and Corey Davis on the outside and Elijah Moore and Braxton Berrios working out of the slot, New York would have a young and talented receiving corps for Wilson's second season.

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5. New York Giants
Evan Neal, OT, Alabama

The Giants, the other team with two top-10 picks, haven't been as active in free agency as new general manager Joe Schoen gets the team back into decent salary-cap shape. That doesn't mean they don't have needs, though, particularly at edge rusher and offensive tackle. With the way the board has fallen in this projection, they can get Day 1 starters at both spots.

Neal is a massive tackle who can overpower defenders in the run game and move his feet as a pass-protector. Andrew Thomas, the No. 4 pick in the 2020 draft, looked much better in Year 2 and could stay at left tackle, pushing Neal to the right side. Neal also played some guard at Alabama, and he could be great there too. This is a big season for quarterback Daniel Jones, so the Giants have to keep him upright.

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6. Carolina Panthers
Travon Walker, DE, Georgia

The Panthers have struck out in the quarterback trade market so far -- although Baker Mayfield and Jimmy Garoppolo are still available -- but they are clearly trying to upgrade over Sam Darnold. Could they take Malik Willis or Kenny Pickett here? It's possible. Coach Matt Rhule is on the hot seat, and this could be his attempt at a big splash for 2022. Still, if he wants to win now, he's probably better off trading for a veteran and staying away from a rookie signal-caller. Carolina could instead take a sizable edge rusher who is still growing into his 6-foot-5 frame.

Walker just keeps rising in the pre-draft process, as tested extremely well at the combine. He didn't put up "wow" numbers in college -- he had six sacks for the national champs last season -- but that's because of how dominant the entire Georgia defense was around him. He could put up better numbers in the NFL, and he's stout against the run too.


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7. New York Giants (via CHI)
Kayvon Thibodeaux, DE, Oregon

This pick is logical for the team and for the prospect. The Giants' top pass-rusher last season was rookie Azeez Ojulari, who led the team with eight sacks, and they have to improve on the edge. This is their best chance to add a young, talented defensive end. They can afford to use this pick on Thibodeaux, who has a high ceiling but was inconsistent in 2021.

If Thibodeaux puts it all together, you're talking about All-Pro-level talent. But if he doesn't build out secondary moves and can't improve his all-around game, he could struggle. He has the type of physical traits NFL teams love, but taking that guy in the top 10 is risky. If New York passes on Thibodeaux, keep an eye on cornerback or linebacker with this pick.

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8. Atlanta Falcons
Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio State

So long, Matt Ryan. That means the Falcons will go with a quarterback here, right? Not necessarily. They have one of the league's worst rosters and could try to get by with Marcus Mariota for a season before going all-in for a passer in the 2023 draft. There's no guarantee they love Malik Willis or Kenny Pickett enough to take one of them with a top-10 pick. And based on where they are in my rankings -- Nos. 19 and 20 -- I wouldn't, either. This is a team that is a long ways from competing, so it shouldn't force the pick.

Atlanta could go with the best prospect available and fill a need position with Wilson, a field-stretcher who had 113 catches and 18 touchdowns for the Buckeyes over the past two seasons. He ran a speedy 4.38-second 40-yard dash at the combine. With Calvin Ridley suspended for the season, the Falcons don't have any starting-caliber receivers on their roster to catch Mariota's passes.
 

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9. Seattle Seahawks (via DEN)
Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi State

What's the Seahawks' plan for 2022? Russell Wilson, Bobby Wagner and D.J. Reed are gone. Quandre Diggs, Al Woods, Rashaad Penny and Will Dissly are back. They added Drew Lock, Noah Fant and Uchenna Nwosu, among a few others. So even after parting ways with two of the best players in franchise history, I don't think coach Pete Carroll & Co. want to rebuild. It seems they want to give it a go with Lock at quarterback and try to win. That's why I don't see quarterback being an option here; Carroll and general manager John Schneider can instead use this pick on an early starter.

Cross could step in for veteran Duane Brown at left tackle. He's a superb pass-blocker who dominated in the SEC. Seattle, which surrendered its original first-round pick in the Jamal Adams trade, has back-to-back Round 2 picks (Nos. 40 and 41) to add potential starters.

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10. New York Jets (via SEA)
Ahmad "Sauce" Gardner, CB, Cincinnati

I think the Jets would be thrilled to get a shutdown corner with their second Round 1 pick, improving a secondary that allowed quarterbacks to put up a 53.5 QBR last season, which ranked 31st in the league. Signing D.J. Reed will help, but I still see cornerback as a need. They also need a safety, but I don't have another one with a first-round grade after Kyle Hamilton.

Gardner is a shutdown corner with outstanding tools. He showed in the College Football Playoff against Alabama that he can hold his own against elite talent. I'm a huge fan.

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11. Washington Commanders
Derek Stingley Jr., CB, LSU

Circle April 6 on your calendar. That's when scouts will get the chance to see Stingley on the field for the first time since he injured his foot in September. He had surgery on the Lisfranc injury and didn't work out at the combine. It's a crucial day for a corner once viewed as a potential No. 1 overall pick. As a true freshman in 2019, he was one of LSU's best players on the way to its national title. Stingley has played in just 10 games over the past two seasons and has some inconsistent tape. I'm still betting on his upside, but he could drop if he doesn't test well.

Washington had major injury issues at corner last season, and it could upgrade its unit with Stingley. I also thought about a receiver to partner with Terry McLaurin for new quarterback Carson Wentz.


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12. Minnesota Vikings
Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington

The Vikings have used first-round picks on four cornerbacks since 2013. Can you name them all? (OK, fine: They are Xavier Rhodes, Trae Waynes, Mike Hughes and Jeff Gladney.) None of them are on their roster now, and the guys who drafted them -- coach Mike Zimmer and general manager Rick Spielman -- are gone, too. This is still a need position for new general manager Kwesi Adofo-Mensah and coach Kevin O'Connell.

McDuffie is the real deal; the stat you'll see most often is that he didn't allow a single touchdown in coverage over the past two seasons, and he goes all out on every play. Expect him to be a Day 1 starter.

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13. Houston Texans (via CLE)
Jordan Davis, DT, Georgia

As I mentioned in my writeup for the No. 3 pick, the Texans aren't in the position to target needs over talent. They have to get the best players they can and figure out the rest later, because this is not going to be a quick rebuild. So while I thought about edge rusher Jermaine Johnson II and a couple wide receivers, I decided to get Houston a massive defensive tackle who could make everyone around him better.

The 341-pound Davis can plug the middle of head coach Lovie Smith's defense. He wowed at the combine earlier this month, and even if he doesn't have stellar pass-rush upside, he's going to dominate interior centers and guards on early downs. He's a unique player who can be excellent if used properly, helping off-ball linebackers find space and getting in the face of quarterbacks.

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14. Baltimore Ravens
Tyler Linderbaum, C, Iowa

The Ravens would likely be thrilled with this scenario. They just let Bradley Bozeman, who started at center in 2021 and left guard in 2019 and 2020, walk in free agency, and they don't have a replacement on the roster. Linderbaum would be an improvement, not just an instant replacement. As I've said a couple times, he's one of the best center prospects of the past decade.

Defensive end is another position to watch here. Offensive tackle would have been in play, too, but Baltimore added right tackle Morgan Moses in free agency.

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15. Philadelphia Eagles (via MIA)
Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State

The Eagles haven't been super active in free agency, though they did add impact edge rusher Haason Reddikk and bring back defensive tackle Fletcher Cox. I don't think any of their needs have changed since my last mock draft. I'm looking at wide receiver, cornerback, safety, off-ball linebacker and defensive end -- yes, they still need one -- to fill out their three first-round picks.

That leads me to Johnson, a one-year starter who transferred from Georgia to FSU and had a stellar 2021 season. He was excellent at the Senior Bowl and has moved from a possible top-50 pick to likely landing in the top 20. NFL teams always want pass-rushers, and he could help immediately.

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16. Philadelphia Eagles (via IND)
Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State

Olave can play early and often for a Philadelphia team that has to get more out of its passing game with quarterback Jalen Hurts. Olave is a speedster (4.39 40-yard dash at the combine) who had 13 touchdowns last season. This would be the Eagles' third straight draft taking a wideout in Round 1, but it should be a priority if they want to get back to the playoffs.
 
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