N'diaye, who came from Senegal to Germany two years ago, missed a year with knee injuries and still needs to improve his perimeter defense, flexibility and physicality at 205 pounds, so it might take him longer than others to maximize his potential. He's expected to play his draft-eligible season with Bonn in the German first League.
• The most proven of this crop is
Nikola Durisic, a strong-framed, 6-8 Serbian wing who was first identified as a preteen, ultimately joining prospect-laden Mega Mozzart as a 13-year-old. The son of a professional soccer player (father) and volleyball player (mother), the 17-year-old Durisic is a physical, well-rounded player who brings defensive intensity to the floor and has shown the ability to create offense for both himself and his teammates, even earning some point guard reps through 13 games in the Adriatic League, averaging 5.4 assists per 40 minutes. Durisic is a streaky shooter who needs to improve as a finisher and address his emotional reactivity amidst adversity, but he has a relatively high floor and real first-round potential given his positional size, toughness, feel for the game and likely starting role with Mega during his draft-eligible season.
• Arguably the best long-term European prospect outside of Wembanyama is French guard
Rayan Rupert, whom I watched go for 21 points, 10 rebounds and 4 steals in a win over Avignon in the French third division. As the leader of a U18 INSEP team competing against professionals, Rupert is incredibly impressive in his all-business approach at just 17 years old, which comes as little surprise as he's the brother of 2021 WNBA draft pick Iliana Rupert and the son of longtime French professional Thierry Rupert, who tragically died in 2013. Physically, Rupert is highly intriguing with Kawhi Leonard-like dimensions, standing 6-6 with a reported 7-3 wingspan, a projectable yet lean frame and the potential to sprout as tall as 6-9. Although he's a streaky shooter, an improving decision-maker and a finesse-reliant finisher lacking physicality, Rupert is a disruptive on-ball defender and has tremendous upside as a shot creator given his ability to rise over top of virtually any guard and get to his patented midrange jumper, even showing some range on pull-up 3s. More long than explosive, Rupert is at an early stage of physical development and shouldn't be expected to be overly productive in his first professional season next year (location still unknown), but he has as high of an upside as any international prospect in this class outside of the No. 1 pick.
-- Mike Schmitz
Will 2022 repeat itself with breakout sophomores in 2023?
Notre Dame guard Blake Wesley has the potential of becoming a top-10 pick in the 2023 NBA draft. Brad Mills/USA TODAY Sports
The 2021-22 NCAA season has been the year of the sophomore breakout, with second-year players such as Jaden Ivey, Keegan Murray, Bennedict Mathurin and Johnny Davis all projected in the top eight of the 2022 draft. While Davis was the least known of the bunch, Murray, Ivey and Mathurin would have all surely been drafted in 2021 if they had entered, some of them earning real consideration in the first round. But they all opted to return to school, each now in the midst of All-American-caliber season, and will enter the NBA with real clout and pressure from the coaching staff to play early minutes.
As we look forward to 2023, with NIL (name, image and likeness) making the NCAA even more attractive, which freshmen could follow the template laid by that quartet, developing from prospect to player and ultimately landing in the lottery?
• Notre Dame guard Blake Wesley has been a hot name in scouting circles over the past couple of months thanks to his dynamic scoring ability, positional length and glimpses of playmaking as Notre Dame's most talented shot creator. Averaging 17.6 points in 33.3 minutes over his past five games, the 6-foot-5 18-year-old has shown enough to garner real interest throughout the first round, but he is in no rush to simply be a late-first-round pick, according to sources we've spoken to, and likely has the most potential in the country to be next year's Ivey. Becoming a more consistent shooter, defender and full-time point guard could certainly make Wesley a top-10 selection in 2023 and one of the most exciting guards in the nation.
• 6-10 Baylor forward Jeremy Sochan is another name to watch, as he was gaining considerable momentum as a 2022 prospect with his play in December -- 10.2 points, 6.4 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 54% from 3 off the bench -- before an ankle injury. Sochan has the size and feel for the game to evolve into one of the more productive sophomores in the country next season, similar to what we saw from Murray, albeit with a different style of play. Sochan should be able to boost his draft stock with a strong summer at the European Championships with the Polish Senior National Team, parlaying that into a breakout sophomore season alongside projected top-10 pick George, where he'd have plenty of chances to show more of the passing that made him unique at the FIBA youth level.
• If his 35-point effort in a win over Nebraska was any indication, Ohio State freshman Malaki Branham looks the part of a future standout sophomore given his combo of length, defense and shooting at a sturdy 6-5 with a 6-10 wingspan. Like Davis as a freshman, the 19-year-old fits the mold of a 3-and-D-style off-guard, yet can still prove there are more layers to his game -- particularly in pick-and-roll -- next season with additional volume and E.J. Liddell likely in the NBA. As he showed by helping limit Davis to 14 points on 18 shots earlier this month, there's a lot to like about Branham's two-way potential.
• While all three would surely hear their names called in the 2022 draft if they opted to enter, freshmen Caleb Houstan, Peyton Watson and Max Christie could vie for spots in the 2023 lottery with bounce-back sophomore seasons. For Watson, a full summer of physical development, film study and shooting reps could turn the 6-8 19-year-old into one of the best two-way wings in the 2023 draft class, especially with UCLA likely to lose multiple perimeter players, opening the door for him to show more of his shot creation.