The way I see it, the following schools are in the playoff regardless of outcome this weekend:
Oregon
Texas
Penn State
Notre Dame
Georgia
Ohio State
Tennessee
Indiana
Four Big 10 teams are locked in; three SEC teams are locked in; and one independent...
So there's really only four spots up for debate. Winner of Big 12, winner of ACC, winner of Mountain West, and one other bid. So it'll be one Big 12, one ACC, one Mountain West, locked in...
Which means, either Iowa State or Arizona State is in; either Clemson or SMU is in; either UNLV or Boise is in; and............Alabama
The committee is gonna have to choose between letting in Alabama, or one of the losers of the three above conference championships, or another fringe team like Miami, Ole Miss, or South Carolina...
Alabama is ranked ahead of all those fringe teams currently, it won't magically be behind them next week. The real question will be, if SMU loses, do they get in over Bama. Because if SMU wins Bama is a lock...
That's what this really comes down to. If SMU wins we have it set. If SMU loses who do you pick (I'd take SMU)...
Not really a fan of the playoff basically being a Big 10/SEC invitational, nor am I a fan of conference championship games. But I like the 12 team playoff...