Russia's Invasion of Ukraine (Official Thread)

Hood Critic

The Power Circle
Joined
May 2, 2012
Messages
23,650
Reputation
3,580
Daps
107,401
Reppin
דעת

This means somebody in the regime is doing a risk vs reward analysis.

At best Russia could annex portions of Ukraine but they neither have the will or resources to take and hold the entire country. Thinking defensively, 200K+ of their force and equipment being bogged down in Ukraine leaves them fairly vulnerable with the rest of world against them right now. The internal vultures could start circling and split the country from within and he'd be too weak to put them down.

At this point I'd imagine they're working the best scenarios to save face and avoid tucking and withdrawing out of principle. They'll ultimately annex DPR & LPR and pull all their troops back outside of Ukraine's borders where they'll sit for weeks as they slowly de-mobilize.
 

thatrapsfan

Superstar
Joined
Apr 30, 2012
Messages
17,613
Reputation
1,833
Daps
53,527
Reppin
NULL

Only really significant mining interests in Guinea, so not really a sufficient explanation of the vote.

Mali, CAR, and Burkina Faso are about military/security links. Mali and CAR brought in Wagner to fight for their governments, while Burkina will probably look to do the same after their military coup.

No Russian mines in Ethiopia, Sudan, or Uganda. Ethiopia is angry about Western criticism because of their civil war and Sudan also under a military coup and looking to expand relations with Russia following it. Uganda says they abstained because they're new chair of nonaligned movement.

The Southern African countries have sympathy for Russia because of USSR support of their liberation movements.
 
Top