I think that’s why the world has come together as it has for this situation.Thinking it can't happen is how it does happen. Especially with our species. A healthy and rational level of fear and caution is still good to have.
You know it’s bullshyt because he said he was going to defend the East…then ran straight to Kiev.First off, Ukraine isn't a NATO partner nor has NATO ever said they will make Ukraine a NATO partner.
Second, the NATO shyt is a bullshyt excuse as Putin has said repeatedly that he doesn't think of Ukraine as a real country and believes it belongs to Russia. He wants to control Ukraine regardless of whether it is in NATO or not.
And third, they might "have a problem with it" but that doesn't mean they can invade the country and kill a bunch of people. Some of us are hoping to de-normalize that sort of shyt.
Times are different.
Back then, economies weren’t so intertwined.
The world was able to watch and kinda wait until they were forced in.
What’s wild is when you read about how the West funded the Russian revolution to get them out of the warTrotsky led the revolution. Lenin was just a writer and an orator. Trotsky did the actual military planning concerning defeating the Kornilov tsarist mutiny, the capture of Petrograd and subsequent installment of the Bolshevik government, and then he was also the supreme commander in the victory over the global coalition in the civil war.
That's something people forget, the Bolsheviks had to put down a military uprising against the democratic Provisional Government - this is what gave them the street cred they needed to pull off the October Revolution - and then they had to fight a war against basically the whole world to save the revolution immediately afterward.
There won't be any global pressure applied to a revolutionary government that overthrows Putin, but there will likely be some sort of civil war against factions loyal to him
France is interesting to me. Apparently they spy on on us behind the Russians, chinese, and IsraelisYeah I talked about it in the France thread The France Thread - 2022 Presidential Race
But it's on par for the course with the European far right. Putin finances them as they are politically aligned against what we call atlantism (pro-US paradigm). Zemmour is also championed by Roustrat which is an entity very close to Poutine's party.
France has always had some defiance of the US since De Gaulle so France could be some kind of balance between the US and Russia. That's why we quit NATO command in the 60s and closed NATO bases on our soil until Sarkozy put us back there as he was very pro-US.
Now in the name of gaullism, the far right parties pushes for getting out of NATO and the EU and forbeing closer to Russia in some convoluted nationalistic logic.
«Je suis pour l’alliance russe»: Éric Zemmour estime que la Russie serait un allié plus fiable que les USA
If that reminds you of a certain US president, it's normal
Im very skeptical, even the Russians know he's a sunken cost and cant be revived.
Again imo all of this is why there won’t/can’t be a WW3I agree things are different with the existence of the EU and NATO, but the rhetoric is remarkably similar ("Nobody would be crazy enough to start WW3, surely!") and if China and/or India decide to fall on Russia's side of the conflict a lot comes into play.
Yep we can and should bully economically, but part of that economic intertwining is a large part of our economic health in the West being based around cheap imported goods from China/Taiwan, cheap skilled labour from India, Hungary, Belarus, Ukraine, Russia etc and, in Europe especially, cheap imported energy and minerals from Russia and Ukraine.
The rush for PPE at the start of COVID demonstrated, especially in Europe, that we're dangerously reliant on "business as usual" global trade routes and relations - when they get disrupted because of competing demand or fractured relationships, so do we - badly.
Yep hopefully there are some assistance packages prepared to soften the blow for poorer countries.European natural gas prices hit record highs again today.
Same with agricultural commodities. Countries that are food importers, especially poorer ones, will feel a lot of pain from this:
Wheat Soars to 14-Year High as Russia Invasion Chokes Trade
Conquest is still on , China is just doing it by contracts and setting up ridiculous deals knowing that many country’s will not be able to pay off the loansThis is also why people anticipating/clamoring for ww3 are way off base.
The world ain’t doing that again. The world powers are too powerful, and everyone else is too unified.
Any one or few countries pop off, the world will cancel/blow their ass up with the quickness and we all move on.
The days of conquest are over.
Worst case scenario we get a crazy leader to shoot some nukes, but in that case they would be nuked before they could even hit the button, and again, the world moves on.