Western Conference
No. 1 Los Angeles Lakers vs. No. 8 Portland Trail Blazers
Scout’s outlook: “JaVale McGee can neutralize Jusuf Nurkic. Anthony Davis can neutralize Nurkic. And (Zach) Collins has not been very effective. … Can you really rely on Gary Trent Jr. to make shots at this level? … You need super-human efforts from Damian Lillard, which is what he’s done, but can that carry you for four wins? Probably not. I’d feel better (for the Blazers) if CJ McCollum was healthier. I’d feel better if they had Trevor Ariza. I’d feel better if Collins was more up to speed. …
“From the Lakers’ side, LeBron is LeBron. Is he going to get the whistle he gets always? In the bubble, you don’t have the Laker crowd. … Davis is a handful. Who’s going to guard him? Then you’d hope (Kyle) Kuzma steps up. (Dion) Waiters has actually had some good games. I think Waiters is somewhat of an X Factor. Maybe not in this series, but as they progress, he’s key for them, because they need that punch. Otherwise, who do they have? They don’t have anybody. They’ve got Kuzma and Waiters. It’s not KCP (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope). It’s not Alex Caruso. It’s not Dwight Howard.”
Coach’s outlook: “I think the nature of (Portland’s) offense being so high octane is that they’re going to have a night or two where they’re probably going to get off. I don’t think the Lakers can shut the water off completely on (Damian Lillard). I think it would go six.”
Executive’s outlook: “I think it will be a great series. At the end of the day, the two best players (in the series; LeBron James and Anthony Davis) are still on the (Lakers), though, and I would pick the Lakers over the Blazers.”
Scout’s pick: Lakers in six
Coach’s pick: Lakers in six
Executive’s pick: Lakers in six
Consensus advancing team: Lakers
No. 2 LA Clippers vs. No. 7 Dallas Mavericks
Scout’s outlook: “Can Luka Doncic win four games for (Dallas)? No, he can’t. Maybe if (Tim) Haradaway (Jr.) went nuts; he’s very streaky, though. Is (Kristaps) Porzingis going to last? I just think they need a third guy. They don’t really have him. The absence of (Dwight) Powell hurts. They’re well-coached. They don’t make enough outside shots. If they had two (lights-out) shooters to complement Doncic, they’d be in better shape. (Seth) Curry’s one of them. They need Curry and Hardaway to make a lot of shots consistently to really have a chance. …
“The Clippers’ problem is they haven’t played together. When they do, they’re really good. They’ve got two superstars, and then Montrezl Harrell coming back and Lou Williams. They can score to their heart’s content. They just have too much firepower.”
Coach’s outlook: “I question the Montrezl Harrell addition back into the lineup, (and the idea of him) being completely fluid for a full series. I think he might have a few good games, and maybe he’ll come out in Game 1 and kick ass but I’m not sure. They haven’t played together yet, so I’m not going to go out there and tell you that they’re going to be a guarantee to knock off the Mavs early. And then the Mavs’ historic offense, and their ability to put up 120 or 130 on any given night, I think they’re going to get hot a couple times and that’s going to allow them to win a game or two.”
Executive’s outlook: “The Mavs have two great players, but the Clippers have different bodies to throw at them, from Paul (George) to Marcus Morris to Kawhi (Leonard), obviously. (The Mavs) have the best offense in the league for a reason, and the Clippers are going to have to use all their depth to beat what is a good basketball team — a team that is better than their record, and the numbers play that out.”
Scout’s pick: Clippers in five
Coach’s pick: Clippers in six
Executive’s pick: Clippers in six
Consensus advancing team: Clippers
No. 3 Denver Nuggets vs. No. 6 Utah Jazz
Scout’s outlook: “Utah’s problem is they don’t have (injured small forward Bojan) Bogdanovic (who averaged 20.2 points per game before having season-ending wrist surgery in mid-May). They got him originally because they were short on scoring. His absence is key. (Mike) Conley is a nice player; he just really hasn’t stepped up to fill the void. They just don’t have enough. Now they’re back to being Donovan Mitchell and hope. I just don’t see them having enough offensively.”
Coach’s outlook: “If Gary Harris plays, and is healthy and is able to get out there and him and Torrey Craig are able to guard (Donovan) Mitchell, I think that they’ll be able to stop them. I don’t think Utah has enough firepower to keep up with the way Denver has been playing with (Michael) Porter (Jr.) now activated the way he is, so I’ve got Denver in six.”
Executive’s outlook: “With the addition of (Michael) Porter (Jr.) and Bol (Bol) and hopefully getting (Gary) Harris back for them, and Will Barton, Denver’s depth — I mean, without Bojan, Utah has no depth. They’re happy to not see the Rockets again, and it should be a better series. But (considering) Denver’s superior depth, and with Jokic playing at such a high level, I think (they’ll win). (Jokic) brings Rudy away from the hoop, which brings away Utah’s biggest weapon defensively, and I just think the Nuggets wear them down and win in six.”
Scout’s pick: Nuggets in five
Coach’s pick: Nuggets in six
Executive’s pick: Nuggets in six
Consensus advancing team: Nuggets
No. 4 Houston Rockets vs. No. 5 Oklahoma City Thunder
Scout’s outlook: “What a series! That is the series to watch. … The absence of (Russell) Westbrook (who has a quad injury and is
expected to miss the early stages of the series) will be critical right from the get-go. That is a key factor. I would tend to think OKC’s got the advantage in the series because of that injury. Surely, Houston could beat OKC without Westbrook, but it’s that much harder.
“Obviously for Houston, are they going to make shots? … There are no answers for (James) Harden (if you’re OKC). You just hope he misses. I mean, nobody’s figured him out. Get the ball out of his hands, obviously. Is Danuel House legitimate? Is Ben McLemore legitimate when it counts? I mean, will they make shots when it counts? Will P.J. Tucker make shots?
“For OKC, Chris Paul is playing at a very high level. Do they have enough playoff experience to win? What has Shai (Gilgeous-Alexander) done (in the playoffs)? … I’m not sure they’re quite playoff-ready. … (Danilo) Gallinari’s got to be big. He’s their No. 2 guy, really.”
Coach’s outlook: “I think the Russell Westbrook injury is going to make the first couple games a little bit more interesting, and I think down the line the guys that the Thunder are going to have to play to stop James Harden are going to severely hinder their offensive spacing. The Luguentz Dorts, the Hamidou Diallos — those guys, and Andre Roberson, (the Thunder’s) defensive players are just such non-offensive factors that I feel like that’s going to conversely give Harden and Westbrook opportunities to rest on defense and match up against them. I just don’t feel like the Thunder are going to put out enough weapons out there to make them guard, unless they completely believe in Chris Paul, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Dennis Schröder and (Danilo) Gallinari, that foursome, to really play heavy, heavy minutes.
“I really like the Thunder, and Chris Paul, the way he played and the way he has generated their team’s overall ethos and mantra and disposition and such. I don’t think he’s going to go down without a fight, so I think it’s going to go seven games.”
Executive’s outlook: “Yeah, CP3 and Shai, they don’t have someone to guard either of them. They can guard one or the other. I think Harden goes for 45, 10 and 10 a couple of times, but the Thunder for the second half of the season have been a top four or five team in basketball and I think they continue it here, with Russ being out for the first few games tipping the scales.”
Scout’s pick: Thunder in seven
Coach’s pick: Rockets in seven
Executive’s pick: Thunder in six
Consensus advancing team: Thunder