Who do you WANT to win?


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Absolut

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Are we suppose to believe in line makers for an election? The books are using the pollsters to set lines what else would they be using?

are we suppose to believe I’m sharp money on election lines because that’s what’s moving the lines?
Pollsters have it 90/10. That’s Biden -1000. Yet he’s sitting at -200. If Nate silver believed his poll, there’s millions to be made. Instead no one takes him seriously running a blog people look at every 2 years
 

CrimsonTider

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Pollsters have it 90/10. That’s Biden -1000. Yet he’s sitting at -200. If Nate silver believed his poll, there’s millions to be made. Instead no one takes him seriously running a blog people look at every 2 years
Nate Silver isn’t the only pollster


How do the books power rate an election?

you’re probably seeing lines movement due to heavy money on Trump because of perceived value based on 2016
 

Absolut

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Nate Silver isn’t the only pollster


How do the books power rate an election?

you’re probably seeing lines movement due to heavy money on Trump because of perceived value based on 2016
It’s the most liquid betting market in existence. There’s 375 million in the pool at betfair. If any of these pollsters really thought their polls were predictive, they’d get the a nice portion of their net worth down on -200 (or less) if they made him 90%. They don’t, and they don’t.
 

CrimsonTider

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It’s the most liquid betting market in existence. There’s 375 million in the pool at betfair. If any of these pollsters really thought their polls were predictive, they’d get the a nice portion of their net worth down on -200 (or less) if they made him 90%. They don’t, and they don’t.
Don’t you have to take into account if youre voting Trump then you would get him too? Hasn’t this bet been on the books for a long time?

How much of that 375 is considered sharp money?
 

Absolut

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Don’t you have to take into account if youre voting Trump then you would get him too? Hasn’t this bet been on the books for a long time?

How much of that 375 is considered sharp money?
Very little. It’s the most heavily wagered betting pool there is. That’s why If he’s really 90% like your poll spits out, it’s the political equivalent of mayweather/mcgregor where you can get down all you want on your side at dirt cheap because there’s so much money in the pot on the other side. Nate silver and Dave wasserman would rather blog and publish their data than retire early
 

DaKidFromNoWhere

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This

I wouldn't be surprised if 7p% of white men 52% white women 35% Hispanic vote for trump. If that's the case then it's a wrap.

People are seriously racist man. I watched some garbage about Hispanics voting trump cuz they think Biden is a socialist I'm like naw man just say you don't wanna support no negro getting anything from the government. The juelzing is crazy.
Not.only that like I told my cousin a lot of CACs online acting like they against Trump only doing the shyt for likes.
 

saturn7

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