Official “The Athletic” thread

KingBeez

Superstar
Supporter
Joined
Jan 16, 2016
Messages
10,088
Reputation
3,445
Daps
47,080
Reppin
Bay Area
Nashville. Kansas City. Buffalo. Newark.

Toronto?

While American cities are lining up to host the Raptors should they not be allowed to play out of Toronto for any point during the upcoming season, the Raptors would clearly prefer to play in their home city, all things being equal. The reasoning is simple: Many Raptors players and staff have established homes in Toronto, they enjoy the NBA-level facilities here, including the OVO Athletic Centre, and playing elsewhere put them at a competitive disadvantage that none of the league’s other 29 teams will face.

Late Monday evening, the NBA and the players association officially agreed on alterations to the collective bargaining agreement, setting the table for the 72-game 2020-21 regular season to begin on Dec. 22. The clock is ticking.

“Our focus is on playing in Toronto,” a Raptors spokesperson reiterated on Tuesday. The Raptors, sources tell The Athletic, have spoken to officials at multiple levels of government in an attempt to gain the necessary approvals while adhering to local public health protocols.

That, of course, is where things get complicated. North America is being hit harder by the pandemic now than they were in the early summer, when the Canadian government told the Blue Jays they couldn’t play in Toronto. Back then, the federal government cited its desire to keep its COVID-19 curve flat. Today, the outlook as the Raptors make their case, is much bleaker.

On Wednesday, Ontario’s Ministry of Health reported 1,426 new COVID-19 cases were recorded in the province on Tuesday, a new daily high. It was the fourth time in five days that Ontario had announced a new daily high in new cases.

Ultimately, the decision about whether or not the Raptors will be allowed to play out of Toronto rests in Ottawa with federal officials at the Department of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada. Under the Quarantine Act, both Canadians and foreigners entering Canada must quarantine for 14 days, unless they receive a special exemption. Multiple attempts by The Athletic to have officials from the Department of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada comment for this story were unsuccessful.

“There are a bunch of things that are in (the Raptors) favour, including that this is a group that is fairly well-educated on how to stay safe during Covid,” said Dr. Andrew Morris, an infectious diseases specialist at Sinai Health and University Health Network. “They know the alternatives. They’ve made sacrifices before. There are so many things that make them an ideal case study to try to do something like this with.

“The basic problem we have is we’re trying to do this during a raging pandemic. That’s just the reality.”

Even if the talks take place out of the public eye, the Raptors — as indicated above — will be making a case to officials, if they haven’t done so already.

Here are some of the factors potentially working in their favour.

Rapid testing
In early November, a pilot project in conjunction with the province of Alberta and the Canadian federal government began rapid testing travellers arriving at Calgary International Airport. Those who undergo the test are asked to self-isolate for between 24 and 48 hours. If their test comes back negative for COVID-19, they are allowed to bypass the current federal 14-day quarantine period. Should the project prove successful, it could be rolled out elsewhere in the country.

Rapid testing was not readily available in Canada when the Blue Jays were making their pitch to officials this past summer, though Major League Baseball was using it to test their players.

“Tests are a tool that are part of a much larger approach to infection prevention and public health,” Dr. Morris said. “Remember that rapid testing is available to the NFL and it was available to Major League Baseball. I think the NFL is probably a more cogent example and present example. I think you can see what’s happening with the NFL. It’s not a panacea.”

While the NFL has not yet had to extend its schedule or cancel any games, it did postpone several games earlier in the season. Between Monday and Friday of last week, 13 teams have placed a total of 33 players on the COVID-19-related reserve list. Several teams had to play this week’s games without multiple players.

None of that is necessarily disqualifying. However, with more games, there will have to be more frequent travel for the NBA versus the NFL, although there are ways to mitigate those concerns. Additionally, it’s unclear if the self-isolation period, even if it is just 24 hours, would work as the NBA tries to fit 72 games into a compressed schedule. Again, a schedule that sees the Raptors play for longer stretches at home and on the road, as well as having road teams stay in one city for multiple games at a time as opposed to just one, would help ease that burden if governments insist on the isolation period.

NBA-specific advantages
The NBA has the smallest roster size of any of the four major North American sports leagues. A team can carry a maximum of 17 players, while only 13 can be active for any given game. In the NHL, each team is allowed 20 players for each game and 23 on its active roster. In Major League Baseball this past year, the rosters were between 26 and 30 players. The NFL bumped its maximum size from 47 up to 48 this year.

The NBA could also insist on smaller travelling parties — coaches, trainers, media relations staff — to further reduce their numbers. The league also has recent history on its side. There were no positive COVID tests during the league’s three-month bubble in Orlando.

“They had a well-thought-out plan. Both them and the NHL recognized that the way you deal with this is, whether you call it a bubble or an island, you prevent anyone who’s infected from coming into your bubble, and then you surveil your bubble extensively,” Morris said. “And whenever you find it, you stamp it out. You isolate and you quarantine. Don’t let them interact. And eventually, you get to zero. That’s what they had. They got to zero. They didn’t allow new disease to come in. From an infectious disease perspective, it was perfectly executed.”

Friends in high places
The province of Ontario and the city of Toronto had each signed off on the Blue Jays’ proposal to play in Toronto this summer. Ultimately, it was the Department of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, that said no.

“Canada has been able to flatten the curve in large part because of the sacrifices Canadians have made,” Immigration Minister Marco Mendicino said in a July statement, explaining that decision. “We understand professional sports are important to the economy and to Canadians. At the same time, our government will continue to take decisions at the border on the basis of the advice of our health experts in order to protect the health and safety of all Canadians.”

The Canadian government would never come out and say this, but the result of the recent United States presidential election could be a factor. With President-elect Joe Biden already showing he plans to take the pandemic more seriously than President Trump, Canada might view travellers from the United States less suspiciously, if not immediately then shortly thereafter Biden’s scheduled Jan. 20 inauguration.

It’s no secret that Raptors team president Masai Ujiri has ties with the current federal Liberal government. In February, Ujiri travelled to Ethiopia with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as Canada tried to land a seat on the United Nations Security Council. More recently, Ujiri supported Liberal candidate Marci Ien in her successful bid to win an MP seat in the Toronto-Centre by-election. Personal relationships are not supposed to play a part in these sorts of decisions, but they often do.



Having a direct line to Trudeau can only help the Raptors make their case. Can they pull it off?

“I’m not sure they can,” said Morris. “December 22nd is the proposed start date. We’re six weeks away, seven weeks away. Cases are rising in the U.S. They’re rising in Canada. They’re rising in Toronto for sure. I just can’t imagine that any government would suggest it is reasonable to allow free movement of players and personnel from various locations coming in and out to be playing at … Scotiabank Arena, unless governments have changed their policies. That’s the only thing. In terms of the Raptors being able to present something different, I can’t imagine they’d be able to.”

That won’t stop them from trying. It doesn’t guarantee failure, either.
 

KingBeez

Superstar
Supporter
Joined
Jan 16, 2016
Messages
10,088
Reputation
3,445
Daps
47,080
Reppin
Bay Area

The college basketball season begins on Nov. 25, and not a moment too soon.

As we ramp up to the 2020-21 season, one that has big intrigue not only because of several elite teams but also the potential influence of COVID-19 on the schedule, The Athletic College Basketball staff will take on a pressing question each day leading up to tipoff.

• America’s best conference is …

• The most underrated player in the country

• The most underrated coach in the country

• Who will be the NCAA Tournament’s Cinderella?

Which non-Top 25 team will finish in the top 10?
Winner: Alabama (5 votes)

Runner-up: Indiana (3 votes)

Also receiving votes: Memphis and Seton Hall (2 votes each); Auburn, LSU, Oklahoma State and Stanford (1 vote each).

What the voters had to say
Alabama. It’s something of a reach, and entirely dependent on whether Jahvon Quinerly plays as expected, or like the non-factor he was at Villanova. But let’s say Quinerly comes around, John Petty Jr. and Jaden Shackelford improve, and Herb Jones does Herb Jones things. It’s not out of the question. — Dana O’Neil

Alabama. The Tide had some transition pains last season under new coach Nate Oats, but now they return the bulk of their lineup and add two big-time transfers in 6-1 sophomore point guard Jahvon Quinerly (who came from Villanova) and 6-10 senior forward Jordan Bruner (Yale). — Seth Davis

Alabama. Nate Oats nearly did it in his last season at Buffalo, getting the Bulls to No. 14 a few times. He can do it in Tuscaloosa. — Doug Haller

Alabama. Nate Oats is a terrific coach whose teams play like the modern NBA: fast and furious from beyond the 3-point arc. He has a former McDonald’s All-American at point guard in Villanova transfer Jahvon Quinerly, an All-SEC senior sniper in John Petty, an SEC All-Freshman scoring machine returning in Jaden Shackelford, arguably the SEC’s best defender in Herb Jones and All-Ivy transfer Jordan Bruner, a walking double-double, from Yale. Oh, and a top-15 recruiting class. — Kyle Tucker

Tough one. I could see Alabama and Nate Oats being much better than advertised. — Matthew Gutierrez

Seton Hall. You’re asking yourself, “Didn’t Myles Powell graduate?” Yes, he did, but Kevin Willard reloaded, as he does. Harvard transfer Bryce Aiken is one of the most intriguing players in college basketball, and Sandro Mamukelashvili could be an absolute star. With Powell out of the picture, Myles Cale and Jared Rhoden have the green light for a breakout season, and with Romaro Gill moving on, 7-foot-2 Iki Obiagu should get his shot. The Big East is a bit light outside of Villanova and Creighton, and all Willard does is post 20-win seasons. So maybe roll some dice on the Pirates. — Brendan Quinn

Seton Hall. Kevin Willard has built a consistent program that would have been on a streak of five straight tourney appearances had the season not ended prematurely. The Pirates aren’t going to get a ton of preseason love because Myles Powell is gone, and that’s understandable, but Willard has a deep roster with some potential stars. Sandro Mamukelashvili, who battled injuries last year, is one of the most talented bigs in the country, and Willard has a couple of transfer guards (Bryce Aiken and Takal Molson) to help replace Powell. — CJ Moore

Stanford. Quietly, Jerod Haase’s team finished in the top 10 of KenPom’s defensive efficiency numbers last year, on par with the likes of Texas Tech, Wichita State and San Diego State. The key cogs in that defense are back. If Stanford gets consistent shooting from its guards and/or Ziaire Williams is that dude, an ascension could be nigh. — Brian Hamilton

LSU. There’s no guarantee it all comes together. But Will Wade has a top-10 recruiting class (surprise!) joining Trendon Watford and Javonte Smart. — Joe Rexrode

Oklahoma State. With freshman Cade Cunningham a potential superstar, the Cowboys could battle Texas, Texas Tech and West Virginia as top challengers to Baylor and Kansas. — Scott Dochterman

(Our complete panel of experts: Brian Bennett, Eamonn Brennan, Charlotte Carroll, Seth Davis, Scott Dochterman, Matthew Gutierrez, Doug Haller, Brian Hamilton, C.J. Holmes, Brendan Marks, CJ Moore, Dana O’Neil, Brendan Quinn, Joe Rexrode, Kyle Tucker and Justin Williams.)

(Photo of Alabama’s Herbert Jones: Marvin Gentry / USA Today)
 

KingBeez

Superstar
Supporter
Joined
Jan 16, 2016
Messages
10,088
Reputation
3,445
Daps
47,080
Reppin
Bay Area

Will the Kings find help in the second round?

Many first-round picks fail to become stars, so the odds that a second-round pick does so are even smaller. But that doesn’t mean a second-round pick is a throwaway for a team like Sacramento. Part of building the team for the future means finding help with these later draft picks, something the Kings haven’t had success with since drafting Isaiah Thomas in 2011 with the last pick in the draft, 60th overall.

The Athletic’s Sam Vecenie projects the Kings using their three second-round picks to add depth at three areas of need in his latest mock draft:

35. (via DET), Tre Jones, 6-3 guard, Duke

43. Udoka Azubuike, 7-0 center, Kansas

52. (via HOU), Cassius Stanley, 6-6 wing, Duke

Why do these players make sense? Each could develop and provide needed depth for a team that cannot bank on simply wooing free agents to Sacramento. There will be time with the Stockton Kings for sure, and that’s fine.

But one of the best ways the Kings can accelerate their improvement is to find value in the second round to fill out the roster. It’s not a quick fix, but it could help lead to a balanced roster in two to three years. There are plenty of examples of teams finding value in the second round or even in undrafted free agents. The Kings have three chances to find another such as Thomas on Wednesday if they do not trade any of their picks.

So how would Vecenie’s projections work out?

Let’s start with Jones. I’ve mentioned how finding another point guard would help De’Aaron Fox. That need is more pressing with the deal in place to trade Bogdan Bogdanovic to Milwaukee.

Would Jones be the instant answer? No, and it would be unfair to expect him to be that as a rookie. But with Cory Joseph still on the team, Jones could learn and grow into a role with the Kings.

Jones averaged 16.2 points and 6.4 assists as a sophomore for the Blue Devils. Perhaps he can develop into a rotation player, which didn’t happen with point guard Frank Mason III, whom the Kings used a second-round pick on in 2017.

Azubuike gives the Kings a much-needed big body in the paint. One reason Alex Len was so important when he was acquired from Atlanta in February was he was a legit 7-footer, which the Kings did not have. Azubuike averaged 13.7 points, 10.5 rebounds and 2.6 blocks as a senior. And he figures to have room for a lot of improvement, given he turned 21 in September. And at 270 pounds, he would have size the Kings lack when using Richaun Holmes at center.

Again, it would not be realistic to expect Azubuike to be Len right away, but this is a pick looking two or three years down the road.

Stanley is another young wing player whom the Kings could allow to develop in Stockton. He averaged 12.6 points and 4.9 rebounds in his lone season with the Blue Devils.

There wouldn’t be a ton of expectations on Stanley early if he’s selected that late in the second round. That’s fine. The Kings aren’t competing for a championship next season. And with the way the Western Conference is already shaping up with Golden State healthy and Phoenix set to land All-Star Chris Paul, the focus should be on the big picture, not shortsighted moves in an attempt to try to crack the top 10 in the West.

The Kings’ G League system, which helped produce multiple NBA call-ups, will be run differently after pandemic-related layoffs and restructuring saw the organization let go of Stockton general manager Anthony McClish and assistant general manager Drake U’u. But if the Kings can maximize the G League, their second-round picks could develop into players who are helpful, similar to how two-way player DaQuan Jeffries worked his way into the Kings’ rotation during the NBA bubble.

After all, the Kings need to maximize all avenues to find help for the roster.

(Photo: Ed Zurga / Getty Images)
 

KingBeez

Superstar
Supporter
Joined
Jan 16, 2016
Messages
10,088
Reputation
3,445
Daps
47,080
Reppin
Bay Area

At some point, Klay Thompson will be back on a basketball court.

“He will be back and 100 percent,” his agent, Greg Lawrence of Wasserman, texted Thursday, after official word came that Thompson had torn his Achilles’ Wednesday.

The problem is that the Warriors have a season to play between now and then, and they pretty quickly have another after that. And there is the little matter of Steph Curry being 32 years old, and two seasons away from free agency. Despite his agent’s assurances, Thompson will be 31 when he comes back and carrying surgery scars on both legs. Much as we saw this train coming with James Harden in Houston recently, the Warriors now are at a critical juncture as well. If this ship starts taking on water, is it crazy to think Curry could look for greener pastures too?

We’ll get to that big, crazy stuff in a moment. Let’s go back to the present tense for a minute. In the short term, the Warriors have two primary tools at their disposal to bring in replacements without necessarily having to include their players in trades: that $17.1 million traded player exception they received from the Andre Iguodala deal last year, which expires on Monday; Golden State will also have a $9.3 million Disabled Player Exception to sign or acquire a player on a contract that ends in 2021 – but that counts against the luxury tax. Additionally, the DPE can only be used on a one-year deal or an expiring contract.

With the Iggy TPE, they apparently will acquire Kelly Oubre from Oklahoma City. Oubre makes $14.4 million, meaning only $2.7 million remains on the exception for other moves — likely not enough to do anything remotely significant. More on that in a minute.

On the asset side, Golden State also has that 2021 first-round pick from Minnesota it got in the D’Angelo Russell-Andrew Wiggins deal. The pick is protected next year for picks 1-3, meaning if it winds up being the first, second or third pick overall, the Wolves keep it. If it’s four or lower, it conveys to the Warriors in 2021. If it isn’t, the pick becomes unprotected in 2022, making it an extremely valuable chip, unless you think Minny is ready to roar to the top of the West in the next year or two.

(NARRATOR: You do not believe that.)

Finally, the Warriors have James Wiseman, the big man they just selected with the second pick in the draft. He isn’t going anywhere unless it’s a massive blockbuster, but we’ll get to that part later too.

Now, back to Thompson. Apparently, we don’t do rankings anymore; we do “tiers.” As in, “This is the top tier of guys my wife would leave me for.” So, let’s do some tiers here, depending on the severity of Thompson’s injury and the likely impact on the remainder of both his current contract and his career, both of which are directly wired into the Dubs’ immediate future in a $2 billion arena they’d really like to sell suites and courtside seats in sometime in Calendar ’21 and beyond. And tiers that might directly impact Curry’s willingness to stick around for longer than the next two seasons.

Tier 1: Thompson has a serious injury, but will make a complete recovery

In this scenario, while Thompson misses all of ’20-’21, he’s back for ’21-’22. So Golden State wouldn’t need or seek a long-term replacement; they’d need a fill-in, a substitute teacher. Getting Oubre is a good start, but he doesn’t provide the kind of long-range shooting and off-ball activity that Thompson did to make the Warriors’ screening and cutting game buzz.

At a lower level, a couple of good shooters that the Warriors could target with their DPE include Indiana’s Doug McDermott (expiring $7.3 million, and a 41.2 percent career 3-point shooter), who would probably cost a second-round pick or two. Among free agents, his former Pacer teammate and ex-Warrior Justin Holiday, who might command the full midlevel exception on a one-year deal, and former Detroit sharpshooter Langston Galloway (39.9 percent last year, with some surprisingly feisty D thrown in). Another trade option that would fit, albeit less cleanly, is Sacramento’s stretch 4, Nemanja Bjelica ($7 million).

Moves like that don’t burn through any of the high-value capital and hold down the fort for the coming season. It wouldn’t be the Warriors awesomeness of 2015-2020, but Curry and Draymond Green could get a group like that to the playoffs and maybe win a round in the cutthroat West.

Tier 2: Thompson’s injury is serious and career-limiting/threatening

If Thompson can return but won’t approach the player he was before these injuries, the Warriors would have to be a little more willing to take a little bit more contract, and possibly put other assets into play in order to bring a higher level piece who could be part of the framework long-term.

Enter Oubre. Still just 24, he has the springy kind of game and long-term defensive chops that Golden State desperately missed after the Iguodala trade and Shaun Livingston’s retirement. Reports say the Warriors acquired him with their own top-20 protected 2021 first-round pick (not the Minnesota pick!) on Thursday night, and slotted him into the exception. He’s not a natural fit at Thompson’s guard spot, but he could play it and either forward position in different lineups, with Oubre and Andrew Wiggins essentially being tandem wings.

The nice part of an Oubre deal is that he’s only 24 and would come with full Bird Rights. The Warriors could re-sign him in 2021 and keep him as a long-term piece with Wiseman and Wiggins, regardless of what happens with the Steph-Klay-Draymond core.

Still, you’re not bringing back the glory days of yore by replacing Thompson with Oubre. Which takes us to the final stage.

Tier 3: Global Thermonuclear War

Look, let’s be real about where things stand now. Thompson’s contract was already looking like one of the worst in the league even before he tore his Achilles; odds are he won’t be a two-way stud when he comes back, and meanwhile Draymond Green is showing signs of slipping noticeably and Steph is creeping deeper into his 30s. Even if the Warriors use both exceptions relatively wisely, there’s a real chance they might be paying 800 gazillion dollars in luxury tax for a team that goes 38-34 this season.

That’s where you go back to the old mantra: Go big or go home.

Oubre is a nice player, and so is whomever they might get with the DPE, but those aren’t the guys who move the needle. In order to get back to Splash Brothers heights, the Warriors need to get themselves another Splash Brother.

Fortunately, the Warriors have the assets to make a move like this. Between Wiseman, the 2021 Minnesota first, and the Warriors’ own firsts in 2021 (reverse protected 21-30, since the Thunder already own that real estate) and 2027, the Warriors can trump almost any package any other team can put together for an All-Star like James Harden or Bradley Beal.

There’s only one little problem: Trades like this need a matching salary. And the matching salary is Klay Thompson. Kind of awkward just days after he tore his Achilles, right? That’s the business some times. (John here: Trust me. We once had to cut Mario Chalmers two days after he tore his Achilles. Not fun.)

But this is how the Warriors get themselves out of their current hole: Trade Thompson, Wiseman, the Minnesota first, the Warriors’ own first in 2026, and pick swaps in other seasons. Throw in Eric Paschall and second-round picks and anything else you have lying around.

And then call Houston about Harden. Call Washington about a deal for Beal (likely with Ish Smith thrown in for money purposes). And while you’re at it, put in a call to Portland on Damian Lillard.

Stop throwing shoes at us! This could help everyone!

Harden’s desire to be traded to Brooklyn is out in the open now, the Rockets’ dysfunction this season a matter of record. As a source with direct knowledge of what was going on in Houston this season put it Thursday, “things were getting outta control.” Houston’s new front office is holding firm for marquee offers for its marquee superstar; a foundational piece in Wiseman, a potential high Lottery pick in what should be a loaded draft next year or in 2022 and a returning Thompson hits a Houston rebuild at multiple levels.

Washington continues to insist it’s moving forward with the 27-year-old Beal as its cornerstone. Beal continues to say he wants to stay. Beal is also a star NBA player in the prime of his career. The Wizards are on step six of their latest 10,000-step rebuild, and stars in the primes of their careers don’t tend to remain sanguine as their franchise improves in fits and starts. Maybe Deni Avdija becomes an NBA star, too. But it’s not likely to be this year, which would leave Washington with one more summer to either make a team-changing trade not involving Beal, or striking to trade him when the Wizards could still get a Jrue Holiday-like haul from suitors.

Lillard? OK, Probably not. But if anything is going to lure him out of Portlandia, it’s a return to the Bay Area.

And why do all this, you ask?

Because the alternative is that the Warriors will be the team on the other side of this. Within a year, if not much sooner, teams will be making these exact calls to them regarding Curry, and Curry himself may begin wondering what the point is of playing out his dwindling prime years on a team that can’t quite contend, and we’ll all be speculating about draft picks they could get for Curry to help rebuild around Wiseman and Oubre.

It turns quickly. That’s the new reality in the Player Empowerment Era. It’s why teams are throwing multiple unprotected firsts on the table to secure players who might only have a three-year window together to win a championship.

Kelly Oubre and a Disabled Player Exception are a nice start, but they aren’t changing that reality. The future of the Curry Era hinges on creating another star out of the assets produced by last season’s failure, and Thompson’s injury is just the exclamation point. It’s time to go big, and if the Warriors can’t, Curry might well reconsider his alternatives.

It’s what superstars do.
 

KingBeez

Superstar
Supporter
Joined
Jan 16, 2016
Messages
10,088
Reputation
3,445
Daps
47,080
Reppin
Bay Area
Winning in free agency is hard. Really hard.

This is the thing fans miss in the excitement of free agency. The possibilities of cap space are exciting, but in the absence of a sure-thing superstar, signing a contract that generates value comparable to the pay is actually really difficult.

Part of this is the economics theorem called “winner’s curse” that I’ve mentioned in previous columns – in a multi-bidder scenario, the team that wins the bidding on a player is the one that most badly overestimates his value. But in addition, the NBA offers a second level of difficulty – free agent deals are already the hardest contacts to “win” on because most of the surplus contract value is in rookie deals and extensions signed off of them.

Some teams were able to overcome that issue, as my piece on the best values in free agency showed, but today it’s time to look at the flip side: The worst free-agent contracts currently in circulation.

Before we start, let’s go over the ground rules one more time.

First of all, we’re talking about free agency and not any other type of contract. For that reason we won’t be listing extensions here, which takes several stinkers off the list – you won’t be seeing names like John Wall, Andrew Wiggins, Kevin Love, Eric Gordon or CJ McCollum in the list below.

Also, since we’re focusing on bad free-agent decisions, I left out situations where a player’s remaining season or two on a contract might not project to deliver value, but previous seasons had. That would exclude the likes of Blake Griffin, Chris Paul and Mike Conley, who are entering the back end of long-term free-agent deals that have already delivered hugely positive returns to the teams that signed them.

Finally, I want to set aside a few injury cases. In particular, your feelings on the contracts of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving depend in large part on how much you think they can stay on the court. Each would need to play over 2,000 minutes at an All-Star-ish level over the coming three seasons to justify what they’re making, and we’ll just have to see if they’re capable of doing it.

However, that still leaves several contracts with significant likely negative equity going forward. Once again, I’ve used my player valuation method outlined in the best free agents piece to help guide us; you can find a description there.

With that said, here are the 10 free-agent contracts that look the worst going forward:

1
Klay Thompson
Warriors
4 years, $157M
-$108M
Signing Thompson to a five-year max in the summer of 2019 would have been a risky-to-bad proposition even if Thompson hadn’t hurt his ACL. Combined with the knee injury, it has the potential to be the worst contract in the league. I say this as somebody who knows a thing or two about possessing the worst contract in the league.

It seems impossible that a good player could be this bad a value, but it’s true. The problem is that he’s making such a huge sum – near the top of the salary scale as a veteran of six to nine years when he signed, for the maximum five years of duration, with the maximum eight percent raises.

Thompson is making so much that he’d have to be a top 15 player in the league each of the next four seasons to justify the deal. The 25-year-old version of Thompson at least had a case to be worth something close to this; the 30-year-old, post-ACL version who will be 34 at the end of the deal does not. The Warriors have already taken a $33 million dead loss on the first season, so they have no chance of coming out ahead on the overall bargain, but Years 2 through 5 aren’t looking so rosy either.

Thompson is 30 and had a torn ACL when the contract was signed. Even if one optimistically presumes a full recovery, the other issue here is that advanced stats have never been as over the moon about Thompson as his fans have been, with the exception of his amazeballs 2014-15 season.

Why is that? Offensively, his shooting is deadly and the terrifying threat of it opens the floor for everyone else, but he’s never been as efficient as most elite shooters because of his amazingly low free-throw rate. Thompson took nine field goal attempts for every free throw he earned in 2018-19 – the lowest rate in the league among high-usage guards by a wide margin. This is what you might expect from a stand-in-the-corner fifth option like Tony Snell or Terrance Ferguson, not a five-time All-Star. (Irony alert: Thompson tore his ACL while drawing a foul.)

As a result, Thompson somehow had a TS% of 57.1 in 2018-19 despite making 40.4 percent of his 3s that season – still good, but not the torrid mark of a Reggie Miller-type threat (or even a Bojan Bogdanovic-type threat). Given that he’s not an on-ball creator or a gifted distributor, this makes his overall offense more good than great.

Defensively, Thompson earns plaudits for his solid positioning and on-ball work, but his impact has never shown up in either the individual or team data. He doesn’t rebound at all, which is another demerit. Again, it’s not that he’s bad or anything, it’s just … not $35 million worth of good.

That’s what the numbers said about the 28-year-old Thompson. He’s now 30. As a result, I have him projected as the 20th-best non-rookie shooting guard in 2020-21. That’s just based off his stats, mind you, with no accommodation for the ACL. Maybe that rating seems harsh given his rep, but it doesn’t strike me as wildly unrealistic either.

Combining that with a mildly conservative post-injury estimate of his minutes this season, I came up with a projected value of $12.3 million for Thompson this season – a far cry from the $35 million he’ll be paid.

One can argue my methodology is too harsh here, but even if we soften it up, this contract still would rank at the top of the “worst” list by a large margin. For instance, let’s assume for a minute that I’m horribly wrong about both Thompson’s future minutes and the quality of his play. If we instead say that Thompson will play 2,000 minutes at the level of the 10th-best shooting guard over the next four seasons – a wildly optimistic scenario, but humor me – Thompson would grade out as worth $77 million over the remaining life of the contract.

Pretty good, right? But that still is half what he’s making, and the negative equity of that proposition ($80 million under water) would still make it the worst-performing contract in the league by a significant margin. Overall, even if Thompson is reasonably healthy and plays decently, it’s very possible the last four years of this deal will have more than $100 million in negative equity.

2
Tobias Harris
76ers
4 years, $140M
-$55M
The word for today is “sunk cost.” The Sixers had a sunk cost in Harris when they gave up two first-round picks, two second-round picks and Landry Shamet to the Clippers to add him in early 2019, even though he was about to enter free agency.

Not wanting to lose all those assets for nothing, Philly did something that may have been worse by locking up Harris for $175 million over five years.

Make no mistake, Tobias Harris is a pretty good player – my valuation estimate ranked him as a top-15 player per-minute at either forward slot in 2019-20, and he’s been extremely durable (zero games missed in three seasons). That latter part gets underestimated at times, but it matters. Between those two things, he nets out at a projected $21.5 million in value for next season.

That’s good! Alas, the Sixers are paying him nearly double that. Philly owes him $140 million over the next four seasons, and Harris projects to deliver only $85 million in value over that time frame. The $65 million in negative equity may force Philly into some tough decisions in the coming years – including Harris’s deal, the five starters alone will make enough to nearly hit next year’s luxury tax line before anyone else receives a dime.

3
D’Angelo Russell
Timberwolves
3 years, $95M
-$48M
Russell had two teams clamoring to give him a max contract after his All-Star season in Brooklyn in 2018-19, but he didn’t deliver max-contract value for either of them. Due to make $95 million over the next three seasons, Russell would have to massively improve his output – particularly at the defensive end – to justify that type of play. I have him projected as a $15.8 million valuation for next season, which, if true, would make his contract the third-worst free-agent deal in the league.

It’s possible I’m underestimating Russell with my method here, as he certainly seemed less engaged in Golden State than he’d been the year before in Brooklyn. Statistically, however, he didn’t perk up when he got to Minnesota.

If you want to play devil’s advocate and suppose my ratings are shafting him, and that he’ll actually a top-10 point guard over the next three seasons, this contract still takes the L. That scenario would put his valuation closer to $20 million a year – still a far cry from the nearly $32 million a season he’ll earn.

Regardless, there is one more amazing fact about this contract: It still grades out as a better value than that of Andrew Wiggins.

4
Harrison Barnes
Kings
3 years, $61M
-$37M
While the eye test retches more easily at the deals given to Cory Joseph, Trevor Ariza and Dewayne Dedmon last summer, the three years left on Barnes’s are likely to deliver the most negative value from Sacramento’s bizarre summer spending binge in 2019.

Barnes has always been better at looking the part than actually filling it, and virtually all advanced stats agree that he’s a pretty average player, grading out as an $8 million per year value. Barnes is durable, shoots well, and defends multiple positions on the ball, and those are important skills. Nonetheless, his overall impact stats have never been strong across three teams and, entering his sixth season, he seems unlikely to change much going forward.

Like a lot of the players on this list, Barnes has negatives that are more subtle than immediate. He’s too stiff on the ball and too slow in his decisions at both ends to impact games at anywhere close to his pay level, and adds in a bizarrely low Rebound Rate for a 6-8 guy who can jump. To his credit, Barnes did manage a career-best assist rate this year. One area where he could boost his value further is by refining his shot mix – he’s a 37.5 percent career 3-point shooter but two-thirds of his shots were inside the arc in 2019-20. I’d love to see him fling 10 3s a game.

Barnes signed a near-max deal with Sacramento in 2019 that pays him $61 million over the next three seasons, with the one saving grace being that it’s a declining money contact. With Barnes projected to produce just $24 million in value over that time, this contract projects to end up $37 million in the red.

5
Terry Rozier
Hornets
2 years, $37M
-$33M
The Hornets made a bad problem worse when they responded to Kemba Walker’s free agency by sending their 2020 second-round pick to Boston and turning it into a sign-and-trade for Rozier. Rozier was unlikely to live up to his three-year, $57 million deal, and the Hornets almost immediately discovered that they already had a better point guard lying around in Devonte’ Graham. As a result, Rozier’s value likely cratered further as an undersized sort-of spot-up guy playing next to Graham.

I have Rozier projected as a minimum guy – his last season in Charlotte wasn’t good and the one before in Boston was legitimately bad. That’s probably too harsh considering he’s 26 and has some strong seasons in his track record. Also, Rozier still averaged 18.0 points per game and shot a career high 40.7 percent from 3 this season for the Hornets.

He rates so badly mainly because defensively he was a crushing disappointment, and that was supposed to be his strength coming out of Louisville. Advanced stats suggest he’s kind of a dumpster fire at this end; the eye test shows some good superficial on-ball efforts mixed in with confused off-ball decisions and taking too many plays off.

Rozier has enough ability to partly redeem this contract, especially if he dials back in on D. But between his role and his growing defensive inattention, one wonders if that place is Charlotte. I have $33 million in projected negative equity for this deal; Rozier may well lower that number if he plays better, but he’s going to have a hard time every justifying an eight-figure-per-year valuation. It remains amazing that Charlotte gave up a draft pick just for the privilege of signing this deal.
 

KingBeez

Superstar
Supporter
Joined
Jan 16, 2016
Messages
10,088
Reputation
3,445
Daps
47,080
Reppin
Bay Area
6
Al Horford
76ers
3 years, $81M, partial 3rd yr
-$29M
Well, that was a lot to pay an insurance center. In its second major mistake of the 2019 offseason, Philadelphia went all-in on Horford in free agency after watching a series of sub-replacement-level backup 5s sabotage all their non-Joel Embiid minutes in 2018-19.

But the solution was far too expensive for the problem — $27 million a year at a position where quality can be had with the $5 million room exception. Horford has stayed on the floor and been a reasonably good player as a starting 4 who backs up the 5, but still provides nowhere near the value proposition relative to his pay – especially as he gets deeper into his 30s. Meanwhile the Sixers offense has choked up without playmaking and shooting on the perimeter, needs that could have been solved with the money paid to Horford.

Again, Horford isn’t bad – I project Horford to be worth $52 million over the next three seasons. The issue is that they’re paying him so much more than that.

Incidentally, Horford has a partially guaranteed season in 2022-23 for $14.5 million, which could confuse the math here a bit. However, my calculation is that it would be narrowly more helpful to pick up the full $26.5 million on that deal rather than eat the $14.5 million in dead money.

7
Bojan Bogdanovic
Jazz
3 years, $56M
-$24M
This will be a controversial one, because Bogdanovic superficially looks like a guy who is absolutely worth the money. I mean, c’mon, he averaged 20.2 points a game while shooting 41.4 percent from 3 and 90.9 percent from the line. Usually anybody who generates that many points with a True Shooting percentage in the 60s – something he’s done three straight seasons – rates as hugely valuable.

The problem in his case is everything else, which limits his overall value. For starters, his offensive value takes a blow from his lack of ability create for others, especially once he puts it on the floor, and his turnover prone-ness. More importantly, he’s been a minus defender his entire career, with good size and some decent hops but slow reactions and the Rebound Rate of a point guard. Most advanced metrics show him giving back nearly all of his offensive value at the defensive end.

Bogie is a skilled scorer and that has value, but it’s not at the level where they’re paying him. I project Bogdanovic to be worth $10.5 million this coming season, or slightly more than the mid-level exception. The Jazz will pay him $18.5 million, nearly double that amount. With three years left on a deal that pays Bogdanovic until age 34, the tail end of this could get ugly.

8
Khris Middleton
Bucks
4 years, $147M, w/option
-$22M
This shows how hard it is to hit a max contact out of the park with a veteran player. Middleton was fantastic this year, and the Bucks had almost no choice but to re-sign him. If Giannis Antetokounmpo signs an extension, Middleton may help deliver them multiple championships. And yet …. the back end of this deal is not going to be kind, and in a strict valuation sense the Bucks will almost certainly be in the red on these next four seasons.

It’s not because of Middleton’s play. Even with modest decline from his 2019-20 career year, Middleton should be one of the best small forwards in the league in the coming seasons – I project him to be the league’s 5th-best small forward next year and worth over $31 million a year.

However, this contract is so obscenely large that Middleton needs to be an All-NBA player to justify it. With a contract that pays him several million a year beyond his production, it produces long odds at coming out ahead. If Middleton picks up his $40 million player option in 2022-23, when he’ll be 32, the Bucks will come out of this more than $20 million in the red.

9
Nic Batum
Hornets
1 year, $27M
-$21M
The final insult from the free-agent class of 2016, Batum’s deal was even more painful than many of the others because, as a Bird Rights player, his deal went for five seasons rather than four and had higher annual raises. As a result, he’ll make $27 million for his courtside Hornets seats this coming season, the final campaign of a five-year $120 million deal.

My methodology probably overrated Batum, rating him as a $5.7 million value for next year when most observers would likely place him with the minimums. Batum was unplayable this year but shot 38.9 percent on 3s two years ago. One wonders if he could rekindle some small bit of value as a backup stretch 4 given his 6-9 size and still-passable mobility at 32. I doubt that happens with Charlotte, but it could someplace else if he’s bought out.

10. The dead money guys, starring Dion Waiters
$85 million over next four years; $85 million in negative equity

With the players above, one can at least argue that I might be wrong about their value –maybe Thompson will be better or healthier, or maybe I’m not accounting for Bogdanovic’s shooting enough, etc. etc.

But with this last group, there can be no doubt, because they are guaranteed to produce $0 in return to their teams while soaking up seven figures in cap space in the coming seasons. You’ll see the ghosts of bad contracts past in here, including many stretched reminders of the glorious summer of 2016.

Leading the way is Dion Waiters, who will get $12.65 million from the Grizzlies next season without lifting a finger, after singing a bloated four-year, $52 million deal in Miami’s 2017 offseason misadventure.

But wait, there’s more! Joakim Noah, for instance, is still owed $12.7 million by the Knicks, even as he played for the Grizzlies and Clippers.

Then there’s Andrew Nicholson. He is still owed $11.2 million by Portland after the original absurd contract he signed with Washington was shuffled along to two other teams prior to the Blazers stretching him with three years still remaining on it. Nicholson’s dead money, may it rest in peace, still has four years left to run!

Other luminaries still collecting in the wake of free-agent disasters include Ryan Anderson (still owed $10.4 million over the next two years by Miami, after signing in Houston), Luol Deng ($10 million from the Lakers) Jon Leuer (receiving $9.8 million over the next three years from Milwaukee, after signing in Detroit), DeMarre Carroll ($7.3 million from San Antonio), Monta Ellis ($4.5 million from the Pacers), Kyle Singler ($3 million from Oklahoma City) and J.R. Smith ($2.9 million from Cleveland).
 

KingBeez

Superstar
Supporter
Joined
Jan 16, 2016
Messages
10,088
Reputation
3,445
Daps
47,080
Reppin
Bay Area
On Tuesday, the latest development in the ongoing James Harden-Houston Rockets saga was that the 2018 NBA MVP and the NBA’s leading scorer in each of the last three seasons finally reported to camp.

The Rockets began camp on Sunday without Harden, which of course caused quite a stir. On Monday, Rockets head coach Stephen Silas said “there is no timetable” to when Harden would return adding to the intrigue. Tuesday’s arrival seemingly sets aside the possibility of a holdout for Harden, who is still under team control by contract for two more seasons, but it is clear that Harden prefers to be elsewhere at this stage in his career and has no problems making things uncomfortable enough to possibly force a trade at some point before then.

With all the talk of the Philadelphia 76ers (where the man who brought Harden to Houston, Daryl Morey currently is employed as team president) and the Brooklyn Nets (where it has been widely reported Harden is targeting teaming up with Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving) as possible trade destinations, we asked some of our NBA insiders…

Are there any other trade destinations for Harden that have a chance?
David Aldridge: The New Orleans Pelicans
Alphabetical again, I see — so I get the first round of ‘you’re an idiot’ shrapnel. OK. Life in the big city. I’ll start.

NEW ORLEANS (aka, The Pearl Gambit Redux)

I’m old now, but I’m not so old that I was actually covering the NBA in 1971, when the then-Baltimore Bullets did the seemingly unthinkable: trade their franchise player and iconic superstar, Earl “the Pearl” Monroe; aka Jesus — to the Knicks for Mike Riordan, Dave Stallworth and cash. The Pearl wasn’t quite as prolific a scorer as Harden is, but he was flashier with the rock and just as big a star then as Harden is now. And like Harden, Monroe, after a few seasons butting his head up against the wall with the Bullets, who’d been unable to break through in the East despite having really good teams (also sounds familiar) — though they did reach the ‘71 Finals, getting swept by Kareem Abdul-Jabbar and the Bucks — asked to be traded.

Initially, he balked at potentially going to New York, which already had its own iconic ballhandling guard with his own iconic nickname — Walt “Clyde” Frazier — who had already helped lead the Knicks to a championship two years prior.

“But eventually I said give me a couple of days,” Monroe told ESPN years ago, “and I went home to Philly and talked to my good friend, Sonny Hill, and my mom, and I emerged from those conversations saying I’m a basketball player, I can play with anyone in any style, and I’m going to come to New York.”

Teamed up with Frazier, Monroe made consecutive Finals with the Knicks in 1972 and 1973, winning the NBA championship in ‘73.

Some people will say this is nuts, that the Pelicans are building around Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram, that they just gave Ingram a max deal and they’ll be giving Zion one as soon as possible, and why would you bring in a guy like Harden who’ll dominate the ball and whose usage rate and salary are astronomical?

Here’s why, if you’re New Orleans, you think about it. (And please don’t tell me that they’re fully-formed with Ingram and Zion; they’ve been trying to get Bradley Beal for two years, so don’t tell me they’d have no interest in someone like Harden.)

You just lost Anthony Davis. Providence gave you an immediate high-flying, TV-fawning replacement in Williamson. But you will ALWAYS be a target for predators, and you’ll always be working hard to keep fans interested in a town dominated by the Saints. You built a good, solid playoff team around Davis relatively quickly, gave him a max extension, got DeMarcus Cousins so he wouldn’t play center, and he still bolted.

The best chance to keep a guy like Zion happy, it says here, is to give him the best chance to compete immediately in the West. That means you have to be good enough to beat the Lakers or Clippers, or Nuggets or Jazz. You didn’t even make the playoffs last year. Harden not only gets you to the playoffs, he gives you a real chance against the elite teams in the West. He’s under contract through 2023. That’s your window, with Ingram, to get Williamson to one or two Finals during this stretch and make him want to be a Pelican for Life.

Harden is polarizing, and he’s reportedly got his heart set on the Nets or 76ers. But he’s at the point of his career where, like the Pearl, he knows how hard it is to do that heavy lifting alone. He’s never played with an inside force like Zion. Add Ingram, and you could have something insanely hard to stop.

What would you send back? Houston will ask for Ingram as the centerpiece of any package for Harden. You’ll say no. The Rockets will keep asking for Ingram. You’ll keep saying no. And that’s where I’m leaving this. I didn’t say you should trade Ingram, and maybe Kira Lewis, and an expiring contract like J.J. Redikk, and a lot of those first-round picks coming your way from the Lakers and Bucks from the AD and Jrue Holiday deals for the Beard. Maybe they would take a Lonzo Ball-centric package instead. But you do have to think about it.

Joe Vardon: The LA Clippers
Alphabetical my ass. I was last in line walking to the cafeteria in grade school, across the stage at graduation, and should be when it comes to trade machinations. Why? They involve contracts and math.

When it comes to Houston’s asks for Harden — All-Star/All-NBA player, treasure trove of youth and picks, I just don’t know how much of that actually exists. The Clippers don’t have it, but they do have the (likely) expiring contracts of Kawhi Leonard ($34.3 million this season) and Paul George ($35.4 million). Both have player options for the following season, neither is expected to exercise it. And that’s a hell of a place to start.

Harden wanted Tyronn Lue to be his coach in Houston. Sources say Rockets owner Tilman Fertitta did not — he wanted Jeff Van Gundy — and the compromise was Stephen Silas. The point here is, Harden wanted to play for Lue, who is now the Clippers’ coach. He, like a seemingly vast majority of the NBA, spends at least part of his offseasons in Los Angeles, and would probably be open to extending his stay there. He also gives the Clippers something they honestly do not have, a dynamic, scoring ball handler.

As for what they’d have to give up to get Harden, obviously, the Clippers would be divorcing themselves from the historic, very expensive course they charted in the summer of 2019 after just one season. But the truth of the matter is the Leonard-George experiment, for whatever reason, didn’t quite work. Either during the mundane portions of 2019-20 or the Bubble. There were chemistry issues all over the map.

Harden isn’t exactly showing himself to be a “chemistry” guy right now, what with the weekend stunt he pulled on his new coach, but playing alongside either Leonard or George (but obviously not both) would be a start. He’d reunite with Patrick Beverley and he’d get to play with Lue. The Clippers might even be a little further ahead than they are now in trying to catch the Lakers. Maybe.

Look, the league isn’t really set up for this — for in-their-prime stars to be traded for each other. Usually, something must be wrong with one or both (look at the Russell Westbrook-John Wall deal; Westbrook has had a host of injuries and Wall hasn’t played in two years). It is not up to Harden where he gets traded (Fertitta could order a trade to Cleveland and there is nothing Harden could do to stop it), but the Clippers are a destination he’d appreciate, and his presence would give that team a dominant, scoring champion guard paired with one (but not two) of the game’s great wings. And you no longer have the issue of needing to clean up the Leonard-George chemistry. Also, when it comes to Harden, he gets a chance to play on a team where the second star is not a guard (Westbrook, Chris Paul). He hasn’t had that since he was third fiddle to Russ and Kevin Durant in Oklahoma City.

The Clippers could read at this and laugh at me. Maybe they’d want nothing to do with Harden’s questionable behavior off the court. But Harden, Leonard, Pat Bev, Lou Williams, Serge Ibaka (I am not naming anyone else here, because the Clippers would probably need to throw in an additional player) is a potentially dangerous nucleus.

And if you’re Houston, you aren’t saddled with any long-term baggage in the form of a bad contract. Assuming either of the stars the Rockets would potentially land in a deal like that would want to be a free agent next summer, you’re entering 2021 free agency with a chance to rebuild quickly.

The Clippers acknowledge they have chemistry issues. If a private, long look under the hood by Lue and his new coaching staff finds that what happened in that locker room last season is not fixable, then I’d guess they’d have to consider something like this.

Sam Amick: The LA Clippers
You know how you get to the front of line sometimes, Joe? You cut — much like you did by picking the Clippers for this thought exercise before I had a chance to start typing my own views on why they’re a very interesting option here. Great minds think alike … or something like that.

So rather than switch it up, let’s go even deeper down this hypothetical road. But first, as Joe alluded to, this needs a disclaimer: If the Rockets maintain their current asking price of an All-Star/All-NBA player and a combination of young prospects/first-round draft picks, it’s virtually impossible for the Clippers to pay that ransom because, well, they gave up damn near everything they had just to get Leonard and George in the first place.

But what if George — who has been scapegoated a bit in the aftermath of the Clippers’ bubble collapse — was genuinely interested in joining the Rockets? Houston could have itself a Wall-George-Cousins trio that would be quite formidable, even more so if the Clippers added former Rocket/three-time Sixth Man of the Year Lou Williams to the deal (expiring deal; $8 million this season). Meanwhile, the Clippers could choose to try a Leonard-Harden pairing as they get closer to Leonard’s possible free agency next summer (he and George both have player options for next season, while Harden has two seasons left on his deal before his player option in 2022-23). Add in the fact that Harden, like George, grew up in the area, and you barely even have to change the narrative for the marketing department.

But George’s buy-in would be key if the Rockets were going to take a serious look at it, and it’s worth noting that the Palmdale, Calif. native not only jumped at the chance to return to his home region in Southern California last summer but also said on Friday that he wanted to retire with the Clippers. What’s more, one of the players who was known to have clashed a bit with George — that being Montrezl Harrell — was not invited back to the Clippers in free agency and promptly signed with the Lakers. If there was friction between George and some of his teammates, as has been reported in several places, it seems to have been somewhat minimized by the roster moves and the Clippers, sources say, remain fully committed to George as part of their program.

Still, stranger things have happened. Especially in LA.

John Hollinger: The Minnesota Timberwolves
If you’re looking for off-the-wall comedy, read Vardon. But if it’s an off-the-wall destination you seek, then come here. While I also recently mentioned, in cahoots with the esteemed Mr. Aldridge, that Golden State has the chips to play in this hand if they want to, I actually have an even more off the wall name for you…

Minnesota.

Sending Harden there would reunite him with his former front office mates in Houston, Gersson Rosas and Sachin Gupta. The T’wolves are set up to play Harden’s preferred style with an ideal pick-and-pop partner (Karl Towns) and a lot of role players who don’t really need the ball and aren’t good enough to demand it anyway.

The Wolves also have the obvious salary match for a deal in D’Angelo Russell, who would allow the Rockets to replace Harden’s shot creation until whatever they’re doing next happens. Adding 2019 lottery pick Jarrett Culver to Russell is enough salary to complete a deal, although the Wolves would almost certainly throw in Ed Davis too so they could stay out of the luxury tax.

Is a Culver-Russell package enough? Of course not. Minnesota would have to haggle with the Rockets over whether top pick Anthony Edwards has to be part of the deal, or whether the Rockets can “settle” for unprotected firsts in 2024 and 2026. All that might be too rich a price for a smaller market that has a decent chance of losing Harden for nothing in 2022 (not to mention Towns in 2024). But if the T’wolves really want to go all-in on two years of a Towns-Harden partnership in their prime, they have a pretty clear avenue toward doing so.
 
Top