Official Gavin Newsom Recall Watch Thread

Adeptus Astartes

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Gavin said early on, it was likely to succeed. :manny:
He knows he’s done.
I wouldn't go that far. I don't think enough people hate him to actually recall him. I signed the recall petition because I wanted him to know he could be touched, and I think that was a factor in his push to re open things. He's still polling above 50% (Davis was in the 20s), and if the COVID restrictions keep falling off and cases stay low, the Republicans lose a lot of their ammo against him. Aside from COVID related stuff, their grievances amount to Republican boilerplate like guns, taxes, immigration, and regulations. The election isn't until the fall, but I will say that the recallers have an edge in motivation. We'll see if it keep up.

Jenner tho... :mjlol:
 

Adeptus Astartes

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Meet Kevin is the only Dem here


Online and low n. :unimpressed:
Recall +11? :patrice:
I know the recallers have more motivation, but universal mail in ballots will help Newsom. There isn't an Arnold level candidate this time. The big thing will be schools. If they don't fully re open, Newsom is done.

If they open I think it will be close, but Newsom will win by at least +5, imho. Without mail-ins, he'd be in trouble.
 

Sohh_lifted

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Is Newsom really that bad of a governor? I deal with Desantis but is Newsom that bad over there?
 

FaTaL

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Online and low n. :unimpressed:
Recall +11? :patrice:
I know the recallers have more motivation, but universal mail in ballots will help Newsom. There isn't an Arnold level candidate this time. The big thing will be schools. If they don't fully re open, Newsom is done.

If they open I think it will be close, but Newsom will win by at least +5, imho. Without mail-ins, he'd be in trouble.
They needed like 2 million signatures in a state this large really isn’t that hard. Instead of winning 70/30 like he usually wins it will probably be like 55/45. None of the rethugs stand out and will cancel each other out
 
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