Official Biden vs. Trump 2020 General Election Thread (Biden WINS 306 Electoral College Votes)
- Thread starter FAH1223
- Start date
mc_brew
#NotMyPresident
This is starting to come true and I'm starting to lose faith in Biden. I am looking at campaign stops and I'm bewildered how they making the same mistakes again.
I gotta see new polling out of Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. And Minnesota.
Also, RealClearPolitics isn't putting in polls like Morning Consult and USC into their national or state averages. They are putting GOP pollsters like Trafalgar and of course Rasmussen prominently. BUT IN 2016, the put the USC poll on their averages and USC's poll had Trump winning.
On national polling:
RCP has Biden up 6.9% nationally on average.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - General Election: Trump vs. Biden
538 has Biden up 8.6% nationally on average.
National President: general election Polls
Now look at the state polling averages:
For example in Wisconsin, Biden was up 6 points in Morning Consult right before the DNC. But that poll is not included in the RCP average which has Biden up 3.5%.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden
But if you look at FiveThirtyEight, they are putting every poll in. Including the British one, Redfield which is now doing USA polling.
Wisconsin President: general election Polls
The 538 average is 6% lead for Biden in Wisconsin.
RCP is also doing the same shid with the national polls too.
Am I missing something?
ExodusNirvana
Change is inevitable...
I been telling people this shyt
Go back a few months...I said this...I was told about polling
Some of y'all are freaking out way too early. At least wait another week or two and have more polls be released before y'all sound the alarm.
2016 PTSD is overwhelming you guys a little bit too much. Just take a deep breathe.
2016 PTSD is overwhelming you guys a little bit too much. Just take a deep breathe
.
Am I missing something?
I been telling people this shyt
Go back a few months...I said this...I was told about polling
If the undecideds was high, I'd be sounding an alarm. But Biden is still hitting 50% in all these polls with like 7% undecided. And the pollsters are weighing by education.
Trump is nowhere near 50% approval rating on the averages.
He had to win undecideds and the 'I HATE BOTH CANDIDATES' demo to barely win MI, WI, PA.
Everyone in here has 2016 PTSD.
I must admit, I do too.
The lack of urgency. The mindset that is going to be an easy win, the complacency are all starting to set in. They should be extremely aggressive in swing states, out and about!
Bidens lead is shrinking in battle swing states.
The same mistakes are being made!
Now why would he not visit swing states? Ask yourself that and repeat it
Yeah and what about now? He been juelzing for damn near a year now
If the undecideds was high, I'd be sounding an alarm. But Biden is still hitting 50% in all these polls with like 7% undecided. And the pollsters are weighing by education.
Trump is nowhere near 50% approval rating on the averages.
He had to win undecideds and the 'I HATE BOTH CANDIDATES' demo to barely win MI, WI, PA.
Everyone in here has 2016 PTSD.
I must admit, I do too.
Couldn't of said it better read those polls and had flashbacks.
What the hell are you talking about?
Easy win?
Complacency?
His lead is shrinking from some of the largest margins we've seen in decades. You're being unrealistic if you think he's was going to win all battle ground states by 7-10 points.
I'll bookmark this quote and come back and revisit this statement after the numbers are in andre we will see how the margins are.
In the mean time I'll hedge my business cause everyone here is talking like this is sealed and done!
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