Notice Of Separation: The 2023 NBA Free agency/Off-Season Thread

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The NBA's second apron for luxury tax teams in the next CBA will make it challenging to keep a roster together and it will also be challenging to add to the roster. In anticipation of those rule changes, some of those teams may look to shed salary this coming offseason.

"Everyone now knows what the new CBA is," said Zach Lowe on his podcast. "That it's looming. And some of the teams with cap room or in the middle, or just some executives who study this stuff and try to game plan it out, the anticipation is some of the expensive teams, not all of them, some of them, in anticipation of the crunch that's coming when all the new rules kick in, that there will be a couple, a few gettable good players that those teams shed just to get off money. And if you have cap room and flexibility, you might be able to get them for cheap.

"I think a team like Orlando, San Antonio even. They can look to pick off a player like that for very low cost instead of going whole hog with these picks. I think there's a lot of optionality in play."

Jordan Poole is a player on a big contract that has been speculated about as a possible trade candidate as the Golden State Warriors look to shed money. The Los Angeles Clippers are another team that could look to proactively reduce payroll ahead of the new rules.



The combination of an NBA without a truly dominant team along with a new collective bargaining agreement that will become more punitive for teams over the second luxury tax apron could create a situation where certain players and teams are motivated to execute trades this offseason and into the trade deadline period. Because of the timeline of the new CBA taking effect, there could be a sense of urgency for all parties to get their business in during the next two transaction cycles.

During a conversation about the future of Joel Embiid, ESPN's Zach Lowe asserted the expectation that there could be an inordinate amount of player movement in the near future.

"This is all prelude to I think the next year in the NBA could be an unbelievable period of superstar and star player movement because you've just got a lot of sort of roiling situations," said Lowe on his podcast. "You have one year left before the really harsh trade rules kick into place after the 2023-24 season where teams over the second apron, like the Clippers, for instance, cannot even aggregate salaries. They can't add up money to bring in a big money player. That's starting after next season.

"I think we could see a ton of movement in the offseason and up to the deadline. And a ton of big names moving. That's not to say Embiid, but I think this going to be a hot and heavy offseason and people should buckle up."
Beyond the future of Embiid, there are also uncertain situations facing the likes of Damian Lillard, Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Karl-Anthony Towns, Trae Young, Pascal Siakam, Julius Randle, Kawhi Leonard, Paul George, DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine, Bradley Beal, OG Anunoby and Deandre Ayton, amongst others.
 
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