I know people don’t like it but the business model where people go out and buy proprietary consoles and games for them is going to expire. You can look at all the other forms of media to see where this is going. Nintendo won’t be able to block off their old games on previous hardware and resell those same games to people every 5 or so years forever.
It’s up to Nintendo how they adapt to that but if they refuse to adapt at all it’s likely not gonna be a good result. Look at the gimmicks they’re engaging in now. Artificial scarcity of Disney vaulting old games even pulling them off digital stores to try and drum up more sales. Refusing to re-establish the virtual console. Nintendo is knee deep in exploiting their customer base and milking them.
The best selling Switch game is a slightly enhanced Wii U port of Mario Kart. I really wish they’d start thinking outside of their strict confines of the Blue Ocean strategy they been on for 3 generations now and evolve into the future. Too many companies find success and then start resisting change.
Ok, so I know what you are trying to say. All of your points make sense and are based on logic, historical data and estimated future trends.
That said, what some of us in this thread are trying to say is that Nintendo historically works outside of current trends and in some cases are below industry standards while still being very successful.
For example, ‘game sales/bundles’. Nintendo rarely puts their titles on sale and they don’t drop the prices of their old games. This is despite the fact that data shows sales are beneficial and every other platform holder/media company does this.
Online infrastructure/play. What they have is abysmal by 2021 standards and they are showing no signs of improving it and this also doesnt appear to negatively impact their business. This is despite the fact that online play has exploded in recent years.
Selling super old games for high prices. MS has included some legacy titles in game pass, Sony has included some legacy titles in PS NOW.
There are probably more but the point is that Nintendo carves out their own niche. This is because the most important thing in this post physical media/digital world is IP. They have powerful IP and they will continue to sell it to people full price as long as there is a ‘market’.
Based on the most recent data we have, this ‘market’ is not showing signs of slowing down and for that reason, its hard to imagine them changing course despite what everyone else is doing.