That $300 mill isn’t allocated to one game. It’s for all games placed on GP including the cuts that non-MS games get for placing their games on GP, development of other big budget games, advertisement, etc…
Plus they are spending $80+ billion on Zenni and ActiBlizz. Hell even at a sustained $300 mill/month from GP that over 22 years to break even.
In many ways I hope they get ActiBlizz, and pull immediately from PS just so that their “profitability” hits even harder.
Bingo.
Their counting on those sub numbers to hit a crazy number, but nothing is stopping your competitors either. Sony already has, but just not with day 1 AAA games due to the price of development. Nothing stopping Nintendo either, but it's the same principle. You make way more selling traditionally. Putting on streaming AFTER sales drop off makes more sense on these big budget games.
And cutting off Playstation in a few years, if CoD is still even popular which is another argument, is dumb as Playstation literally makes up 50% of CoD's revenue.
That cost to recoup is nuts.
Took Disney 6 years to recoup the 4 billion they paid for Star Wars. The fact they have the licensing rights for merchandise, toys, games, clothing, etc is what made the recoup time pretty quick.
Hope MS wasn't sold on overaggressive projections because I don't see it either.