Black Adam needed about 400m to break even when you add in reshoots and marketing
some people say 450m others say 500m. others also say 600m
but if you go with the film's budget being 200m and then marketing probably costing about the same you get to the 400m number
it looks like it will crawl to make that at the end of the day but this isn't the return they wanted.
compared to shazam who had a 100m budget and made 366m in the box office. it made a much better return which I bet is what zaslav is going to look at it when deciding on having Black Adam return in his own solo movie.
if you want to compare black widow which I don't know why you would since it came out during omicron then
black widow made 379m from box office and 125m from Disney plus premier access which brings it to a total of 500m+ not a flop even if you count the "500m loss from piracy"
Shang chi made 432 mil on a 150 mil budget. not a flop and did this with box office depression due to covid. hard to get the budget numbers on this but even if you make the budget 200mil it still made some profit.
eternals made 402 mil on a 200mil budget. so yeah Eternals barely made its profit and would be considered a flop.
black adam is tracking similarly to Eternals
if you consider Eternals a flop then you have to consider black adam a flop the numbers are the same.
if you want to fight go on r/boxoffice they've been watching this film like a hawk