Now that Aaron Judge is going into Year 10 of his career, it's becoming reasonable to speculate as to whether he's put together a Hall of Fame career.
While his playoff performance is far below par, his resume is quite strong.
9 seasons
.288/.406/.604
1.010 OPS
315 HR
1026 Hits
716 RBI
2017 AL Rookie of the Year
2022 AL MVP
2024 AL MVP
Career bWAR 52.2.
As a general guide, HOF WAR values start to come into play around 60. But keep in mind this is a counting stat so the longer you play, the more WAR you should accumulate. It's not a hard rule though as several players in history have a 60+ WAR who are not in the HOF. I don't think any of them have 2 MVPs though.
He puts together 2 more seasons at the standard we hold him to or if he leads them to a title soon and he’s a lock. 2 more seasons at just his career averages and not his peak that he’s reached in recent years would leave him at 229 doubles, 417 homers, 950 RBI’s, 1360 hits, 919 walks, and about 70 WAR by the age of 34. His resume reads as the following:
Rookie of the year
6 time all star
4 time silver slugger
2 time mvp who should’ve won another as a rookie (pretty sure Ichiro who was 27 as a rookie is the only rookie to win MVP)
Broke the rookie record for home runs
Broke the AL record for home runs in a season
Posted a .700 slugging percentage clean which hasn’t happened in decades and especially not in as many games as he played last year
Multiple seasons of 10+ WAR
3 separate 50+ homer seasons which is crazy rarified air
Led the league in homers 3 times
led the league in RBI’s twice
Led the league in walks drawn 3 times
2nd lowest AB’s per homer on the career only behind Mark McGwire
Career OPS over 1.000 with 4 seasons over that mark and another 4 of at least .916 (the shortened 2020 season is his only season below .916) & a career triple slash of .288/.406/.604
Major league record 51 homers per 162 games
1st Yankees captain since Jeter
He’s also basically the face of baseball in North America