If there was a button that would give you $1,000 each time you push it with a 1% chance of dying

Mr Rager

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Each button press would be $1,000 dollars or a 1% chance of death. Theoretically you could just keep pressing the button infinitely if you got lucky enough to never have landed the death draw.

Thank you

The probability does not change no matter how many times you press it
This is how the lottery makes money off of people :dead:
 

Icantspell

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The most you could possibly get is $99K before certain death

And you everything after $50K is more likely than not to kill your ass

You gotta be the brokest, least responsible person to entertain something like this

One million per press is probably a better set up. At least then you're risking it all for something that can change the lives of those you leave behind
not necessarily
it doesn’t add up. it’s a 1 in 100 chance each time you press it
 

Prodyson

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There are 100 marbles

99 are green. One is orange

Orange kills you. Green is worth $1K

If you could possibly do it the best way imaginible: you pull all 99 green in a row

Not likely

Once you get to 50 wins in a row, you are now pulling with a less than 50% chance of success. Closer and closer to definitely losing with each draw

Maybe COMPUTER RNG works differently than that but having a 1% chance is exactly what I described above. The RNG is trying to REPLICATE the marble scenario. And it could be said that RNG is synthetic. Fake.
I think he’s saying that it’s 1% every time you press it. So your chances don’t increase or decrease with each press of the button. So you could potentially press the button 1 million times (if you don’t die first).
 

Ghost Utmost

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not necessarily
it doesn’t add up. it’s a 1 in 100 chance each time you press it

All right Ill ask you

If this existed and a person stood there and pressed it 500 times and never died

Then the second person did it a million times and never died

What about that would make you say the chances are 1 in 100?

You see. You'd have to see one person make it to 75. One make it to 125. One make it to 15. You watch 50 people do it and you do the math

If it comes out to .. 1/100 average then you say its one percent

1 out of a million is not one percent

Tell me where I am wrong here
 

Tasha And

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All right Ill ask you

If this existed and a person stood there and pressed it 500 times and never died

Then the second person did it a million times and never died

What about that would make you say the chances are 1 in 100?

You see. You'd have to see one person make it to 75. One make it to 125. One make it to 15. You watch 50 people do it and you do the math

If it comes out to .. 1/100 average then you say its one percent

1 out of a million is not one percent

Tell me where I am wrong here
Breh lets make this really simple, using the original analogy you tried to pass off.

Lets say there are an infinite amount of jars, each of them filled with 100 marbles exactly, 99 of them green, 1 of them orange. This would mean for each individual jar, there would be a 1% chance that you'd pull out an orange marble.

The question in the OP, using this example, is measuring how comfortable a person would be at (blindly) pulling a random marble out of each jar, where they receive $1,000 for each green, and get a bullet in the head if they pull an orange one.
 

MR. SNIFLES

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All right Ill ask you

If this existed and a person stood there and pressed it 500 times and never died

Then the second person did it a million times and never died

What about that would make you say the chances are 1 in 100?

You see. You'd have to see one person make it to 75. One make it to 125. One make it to 15. You watch 50 people do it and you do the math

If it comes out to .. 1/100 average then you say its one percent

1 out of a million is not one percent

Tell me where I am wrong here

IF YOU FLIP A COIN, YOU HAVE A 50% CHANCE FOR EITHER SIDE. NO MATTER HOW MANY TIMES YOU FLIP AND THE OUTCOMES, YOU ALWAYS HAVE A 50% CHANCE.
 
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