((ReFleXioN)) EteRNaL
RIP MR. SMOKE
did you really just type this shyt?......you can flip a quarter an INFINITE amount of times and get tails every time?.....
If there was a button that would give you $1,000 each time you push it with a 1% chance of dying
- Thread starter dezert_storm
- Start date
If you don't win 1 out of 3 then the people who sell the tickets are
Lying
Of course you can buy 3 only and get 3 duds. But if you bought 100 you should have roughly 33 winners
The words have to have a meaning
"One percent chance" doesn't mean you get 1000 or 1000000 rolls before you get a hit. It means "one out of one hundred"
did yall nikkas skip math class?did you really just type this shyt?......you can flip a quarter an INFINITE amount of times and get tails every time?.....
When you increase observations, your %'s will even out to the expected mean. So yes, eventually if u flip enough coins, you will have a near 50/50 distribution.
But with OP's scenario... you die
Cant die 100000 times to make the math even out, with only one "observation" of the negative outcome, the % will actually be further away from the expected mean. That's how statistics works. You need to increase observations to see the expected averages. If you die on the first button push, you cant redo it
The problem you are having is in believing that there is a guarantee. There isn't one. Its just a very high likelihood.
Chance has no memory though. Loads of times you can flip a coin and get a probability that isn't 1 in 2.
.One percent could also mean 10 out of 1000
or 100 out of 10000
or even 100000 out of 10000000
There is no guarantee. 100000 out of 1000000 will give you better data than 1 out of 100.
You are in the wrong breh.
Look at things this way.
The odds of a coin landing on heads is 50%. When you flip the coin again, the odds of it landing on heads is still 50%.
It will continue to being 50% everytime you flip the coin. However the chances of landing two heads in a row is, I think, 25%.
Same concept behind the marbles in the bag.
itsyoung!!
Veteran
People have a really have hard time admitting to online strangers when they're wrong about shyt
Has @Ghost Utmost gone his entire life thinking this is how %s work
Devilinurear
Veteran
How many times would you press it?
As many times until I die.
itsyoung!!
Veteran
did you really just type this shyt?......you can flip a quarter an INFINITE amount of times and get tails every time?.....
man thats how %s work, it is possible (not probable) 
this thread
humminbird
Veteran
sure 
it doesn't gain percentages right?
it doesn't gain percentages right?
The imaginary "probability" is not an objective thing. It's a rule that you develop after making observations.
Your problem is you cling to a "definition" and you focus on the "possibility" of the system going against the expected outcome
A system that is said to be 1 out of 100 could possibly hit a sequence where it goes 200 rolls without a hit. But that's like planning on hitting lotto numbers. That's not even a part of measuring the chances in the first place. You determine the chances so you know how to act.
If you knew that half of people had herpes then you don't just keep fukcing raw til you crap out. You make sure to try to avoid the shyt
If you think I don't understand the definition of words and the POSSIBILITY of a system defying odds.. you're wrong. I understand everything you're saying
I am beyond the imaginary tho. I am encouraging y'all to translate these imaginary formulas into real life action
And understand that the abstract concept is useless without the real world understanding