Bigblackted4
Superstar
The guy claimed that long 2s are included in his "midrange" numbers, so long twos can't be the excuse.
For non-restricted area 2s to single-handedly be responsible for bringing it down, MJ would have had to shoot 32-33% from that range. That's horrific.
So he'd be claiming that MJ is:
65% from 0-3 feet on 357 shots
33% from 3-10 feet on 198 shots
52% from 10-23 feet on 645 shots
Those numbers are silly as hell. No one's shooting varies that much - he'd simultaneously be the worst guy in the league from 3-10 but the best guy in the league from 10-23.
It would also suggest that MJ wasn't nearly as good at getting to the rim as thought, if he's only getting to the rim about 25% of the time (even including fast breaks!) and even being forced to take a horrible low-percentage shot in the paint a good 17% of the time. But claiming that 60% of Jordan's twos were outside of 10 feet way back in 1993....that feels unlikely.
I don't think those numbers could possibly be real. He's gaming the results, posting great-looking numbers for "rim" and "midrange" because he knows those are the sexy distances that people want, but shuffling all the misses into the "non-restricted area 2s" category and then not posting those results, because he doesn't think anyone will check his math.
It doesn't even have to be overt...it could just be that anytime MJ missed a shortish midrange shot, he "felt" like it was really a 10-foot shot and shouldn't count against his midrange average, but when he made a longish restricted-area shot he would "feel" that it was a midrange shot. When you have a single, heavily-biased person doing all your data collection, ridiculous bias like that works its way in.
I agree in thoery he needs to explain more about the sample. We don’t have enough information to properly judge the sample so your assessment maybe correct. I don’t know why they used that’s when they could have used a real shot chart like this