Greece financial crisis | Latest : Deal reached with even tougher conditions for Greece.

King Kreole

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You're right they're not competitive and the biggest problem is their huge reliance on imports...That is where they will get hit the hardest by going back to the drachma...

The country is sustainable on agriculture and tourism though...It's a small country with about 11 million people...They were doing fine before they joined the EU and went crazy with spending...Tourism will skyrocket when they go back to the drachma like its was pre-EU and being able to play around with their own currency will help them become more conpetitive BUT they are going to need big reforms if they're going to rebound...

Make no mistake going back to the drachma will be severely painful but in the long run Greece will be better off...Ask any economist worth a damn and they'll tell you the same thing...
Yep, tourism will be their main industry, but I don't know if it will be enough to get them out of this hole, even if they're allowed to stay in the Eurozone/EU.

I agree, it's a long and painful road ahead of the Greeks, but going back to the drachma is making the best out of a bad situation.
 

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Germany can't and won't do shyt...

The ball is entirely in Greeces hands right now...

They have two choices accept a deal with the ECB or go back to the drachma...Both are terrible options and there is no third...Personally I would be choosing go back to the drachma because they simply cannot pay off that debt...No sense in making your people suffer through 50 years of harsh austerity trying to pay that mess off...

fukk the bankers, fukk the EU...

Right it off and start fresh...
Why can't greece stop shifting blame?

They can't even reign in their tax evasion and fraud with entitlements.
 

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Actually, a funny and ironic possible twist is that Greece could apply for help on basis of a humanitarian crisis...from the EU. That would probably come in form of direct aid to populations. It's a stretch, but it's not impossible.

And the word is out that Greece has done almost everything it could at this point. Even the IMF (yes, that IMF) has stated that Greece's debt is not sustainable and that the only way out of the crisis is to restructure it. Many economists are saying the same thing. As any debt crisis, Greece has been borrowing to repay the interests, not the debt itself : once you go that route there's hardly any way out. That's why 3/4 of the money "lended to Greece" never actually reached Greece : it went straight to the banks and the IMF. Over the past 5 years, Grece has been more frugal than any other EU country.

There is a LOT of misinformation about the Greece crisis, but they have ALREADY done almost everything that the troika was telling them to do.

If anything, it's the EU and the IMF that come out of this totally disconnected with economic policies. Greece has many mistakes, that is true, but it is not the first country to decide not to pay its debt (everybody talking about Argentina, but Iceland did the same just a couple of years ago). Greece just has less flexibility because of the Euro. But this is really not on Greeks' supposed laziness or whatever (they work more hours than Germans, for example), those are just easy stereotypes by Northern Europeans and Americans. I think they will find potential lenders. Don't forget Greece is strategically situated in the middle of the Mediterranean, in front of old rival Turkey and on the road of many migrants.

Greece is TOTALLY at fault for this.

And we need to stop blaming the people with power and money for everything.

Greece is ignored every opportunity to get on the right side of this matter and each time they've responded like children, avoided responsibility, and kicked the can down the road.

Greece's only threat is "releasing immigrants"...fukk them.
 

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I always had that reflection.
We should have waited at least 5 or even 10 more years to expand to 25 and to 28 in the 2000s. We did it too fast because realistically it was already difficult at 15 but that move made things almost impossible considering the socio-economic state of the newcomers and some of current members. Though I can understand it strategically speaking which could have been done to undermine Russia's influence and "secure" eastern countries from Russia's hegemony. But really, the underlying problem is that their are no unique socioeconomic ground in the EU. For example, the very fact, that minimum wages (which are crucial matters when there are no borders) are different in every countries is a catastrophe.

I've seen from my own eyes how French construction companies would hire Polish or Portuguese workers (to cut costs) and win markets against French companies that hire French workers. Can't hate the hustle because those workers work as well as the French ones but I can't get jiggy with it either because it's not fair to hire foreigners whose countries have cheaper work cost and give them contracts relative to their countries' laws and not the one they working in.
A true Europe will consider every countries as federations but nationalisms are too high for this to happen.

I have a friend who works as a France representative (for a specific sector which shall remain nameless) in the European council and he tells me, that most of the time, they can't do anything because there are too much diverging wills. Say France wants to pass a law regarding, I don't know, oil exportation (randomly chosen). Spain for example may agree but will ask for adjustments, Italy may say nope because it messes up their own exports, GB may tell people to GTFOH for some reasons, the Netherlands may give a yes only if France give a "yes back" to one of their laws and so on and so on. It's a fukkin mess. And all of this cripples national administrations because when a European laws passes (which must then be applied within countries), it is so broad (in order to satisfy everybody) that it often is inapplicable.
Theres a reason the EU was given a Nobel Peace Prize :mjpls:
 

Liu Kang

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Greece is TOTALLY at fault for this.

And we need to stop blaming the people with power and money for everything.

Greece is ignored every opportunity to get on the right side of this matter and each time they've responded like children, avoided responsibility, and kicked the can down the road.

Greece's only threat is "releasing immigrants"...fukk them.
Breh no. It's been known that their debt was impossible to repay. Greece indeed have a fault in this (too much corruption, too much tax evasion, previous governments's failed policies to prevent that, and let's not forget the '04 Olympics on a unsteady economy etc.) but ECB, UE, German and French banks are also heavy in the issue. Blaming Greece alone in what is currently happening is, at best, inaccurate.
 

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Breh no. It's been known that their debt was impossible to repay. Greece indeed have a fault in this (too much corruption, too much tax evasion, previous governments's failed policies to prevent that, and let's not forget the '04 Olympics on a unsteady economy etc.) but ECB, UE, German and French banks are also heavy in the issue. Blaming Greece alone in what is currently happening is, at best, inaccurate.

See this is the shyt i'm talking about

Back in 2008 NO ONE wanted to shoulder the blame on people who took out loans they couldn't handle.

Yes, banks shouldn't have done it, but we're not even talking about low financial-education buyers...we're talking about ENTIRE governments.

Greece has been doing this shyt for too long and its time they pay. All 11 million of them.

The EU isn't a safety net, its supposed to be a partnership.

Its easy to paint the lenders as the bad guys, but as long as we keep this trope up, the true responsibility of the greek people will NEVER be discussed.
 

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Ya'll wanna talk about the ECB but won't talk about:

Tax evasion
Lax immigration
Outright Tresury Fraud
Corruption in entitlements. (entire towns claiming to be blind to collect checks. entire cities only claiming 200 people make 100K or more. entire cities avoiding property taxes saying only 20 people own pools...not 20,000)
politicians swindling their own people

Let Greece figure that shyt out.
 

Liu Kang

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See this is the shyt i'm talking about

Back in 2008 NO ONE wanted to shoulder the blame on people who took out loans they couldn't handle.

Yes, banks shouldn't have done it, but we're not even talking about low financial-education buyers...we're talking about ENTIRE governments.

Greece has been doing this shyt for too long and its time they pay. All 11 million of them.

The EU isn't a safety net, its supposed to be a partnership.

Its easy to paint the lenders as the bad guys, but as long as we keep this trope up, the true responsibility of the greek people will NEVER be discussed.
I understand your position and to be complete, I've also stated it to friends that were only seeing the "Europe is the bad guy" side without even touching the Greeks' responsibility post-Euro.

That said, one could also say that if a lender knowingly lend his money to a risky client, he shouldn't be surprised if their is a payment default and that leads to its fall. The current problem is that the banks who lent the money to a country which economy was known to be fragile were entirely saved by their governments and they at the end, had no true responsibility, no accountability to the current situation. And because they were kindly saved, the saviors now are trying to squeeze Greece to their pulp to regain the money they "lost".

Ultimately, a debt is nothing to a country because a country never dies. And every country borrows to repay debts that exists only because they borrowed to repay debts that only existed because, well, you know the rest. The only way to get out of this mess is to let Greece off the leach for a couple of years in order for it to restart its economy and make the necessary changes to kickstart a growth because we can argue how much we want but currently Greece has no way of paying what it owes.
 

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I understand your position and to be complete, I've also stated it to friends that were only seeing the "Europe is the bad guy" side without even touching the Greeks' responsibility post-Euro.

That said, one could also say that if a lender knowingly lend his money to a risky client, he shouldn't be surprised if their is a payment default and that leads to its fall. The current problem is that the banks who lent the money to a country which economy was known to be fragile were entirely saved by their governments and they at the end, had no true responsibility, no accountability to the current situation. And because they were kindly saved, the saviors now are trying to squeeze Greece to their pulp to regain the money they "lost".
(western) Banks exist to make money and I have no reason to believe that they'd willingly just throw away as much as they did and then not care about it.

I understand the talking point that banks did put pressure on them. I get that.

But what I need people to understand is that the ECB and private banks did NOT intend to just blow ALL that money on Greece. Thats absurd. Time and Time again.

The Greeks have been given so much reprieve its not even funny

Ultimately, a debt is nothing to a country because a country never dies. And every country borrows to repay debts that exists only because they borrowed to repay debts that only existed because, well, you know the rest. The only way to get out of this mess is to let Greece off the leach for a couple of years in order for it to restart its economy and make the necessary changes to kickstart a growth because we can argue how much we want but currently Greece has no way of paying what it owes.
There can be a limit

Greece is in more debt than countries with way more land, population, and output. Its a real issue.
 

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I understand your position and to be complete, I've also stated it to friends that were only seeing the "Europe is the bad guy" side without even touching the Greeks' responsibility post-Euro.

That said, one could also say that if a lender knowingly lend his money to a risky client, he shouldn't be surprised if their is a payment default and that leads to its fall. The current problem is that the banks who lent the money to a country which economy was known to be fragile were entirely saved by their governments and they at the end, had no true responsibility, no accountability to the current situation. And because they were kindly saved, the saviors now are trying to squeeze Greece to their pulp to regain the money they "lost".

Ultimately, a debt is nothing to a country because a country never dies. And every country borrows to repay debts that exists only because they borrowed to repay debts that only existed because, well, you know the rest. The only way to get out of this mess is to let Greece off the leach for a couple of years in order for it to restart its economy and make the necessary changes to kickstart a growth because we can argue how much we want but currently Greece has no way of paying what it owes.
It's fair to point out most of the Greek debt isn't held by banks?
 

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CJQbGjkWsAEOihX.png
 

mbewane

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Haven't heard the same complaints when non white countries get bled to death.


:yeshrug:


The drachma is a nonstarter. If they were to go that route they would never get out of debt, the world has changed a lot in the last 30 years.

There are various reasons to this :

- When other countries default, they can just borrow more money or devaluate their money. Or say fukk you to the banks. This is what happens usually. But Greece can't, because it is "stuck" within the eurozone. Which is an unprecedented situation.

- Actually there are grassroots organizations here in Europe seeking debt relief and complaining about debts in other countries (especially African countries). They would be labelled "communist" in the US probably, and obviously have no access whatsoever to mainstream media. But they do work with governments, if I recall well one (CADTM, from Belgium) worked latin american gvts to have part of their debt erased.

- Obviously this is in Europe, which is the first or second market in the world by its size and the first or second commercial partner in the world. Whatever happens in Greece will impact the Eurozone, which will impact the EU, which will impact the world economy. With all due respect, no one cares (politically or economically) if Malawi or Cambodia defaults.

- Moreover, what is happening in Greece is the opposition between the legitimacy of citizens from a sovereign state (Greeks) and the "legitimacy" of monetary institutions, none of which are elected. Basically, it's democracy vs technocracy. It's Europeans against EU civil servants (and no, most of them are not elected). It's much bigger than "just" the money. When you Martin Schulz, the president of the European Parliament (which, if you actually know what we're talking about, is supposed to represent the european CITIZENS) says that he hoped for a "Yes" vote so that Tsipras would be replaces by a technocrat government (chose by the troika, like it happened in Italy), there is a very serious problem.

- Bigger still, this is in the whole debate about what the EU itself should be : a free-market and nothing more (like GB, neo-liberals, the US and big business want...and needless to say, the ECB and the IMF) or should it be a deeper political union, with checks and balances, but also with real solidarity between the different areas?

I've always had that reflection.
We should have waited at least 5 or even 10 more years to expand to 25 and to 28 in the 2000s. We did it too fast because realistically it was already difficult at 15 but that move made things almost impossible considering the socio-economic state of the newcomers and some of current members. Though I can understand it strategically speaking which could have been done to undermine Russia's influence and "secure" eastern countries from Russia's hegemony. But really, the underlying problem is that their are no unique socioeconomic ground in the EU. For example, the very fact, that minimum wages (which are crucial matters when there are no borders) are different in every countries is a catastrophe.

I've seen from my own eyes how French construction companies would hire Polish or Portuguese workers (to cut costs) and win markets against French companies that hire French workers. Can't hate the hustle because those workers work as well as the French ones but I can't get jiggy with it either because it's not fair to hire foreigners whose countries have cheaper work cost and give them contracts relative to their countries' laws and not the one they working in.
A true Europe will consider every countries as federations but nationalisms are too high for this to happen.

I have a friend who works as a France representative (for a specific sector which shall remain nameless) in the European council and he tells me, that most of the time, they can't do anything because there are too much diverging wills. Say France wants to pass a law regarding, I don't know, oil exportation (randomly chosen). Spain for example may agree but will ask for adjustments, Italy may say nope because it messes up their own exports, GB may tell people to GTFOH for some reasons, the Netherlands may give a yes only if France give a "yes back" to one of their laws and so on and so on. It's a fukkin mess. And all of this cripples national administrations because when a European laws passes (which must then be applied within countries), it is so broad (in order to satisfy everybody) that it often is inapplicable.

Totally agree. We should have waited at least 10 pr 15 years before moving forward with expansion. The move was more political, to diminish Russia's influence but also I believe to undermine the chances of ever getting to a federal europe. This is why big business lobbies, GB and the US were pushing HARD for expansion.

@Reggie Rhodes
[="Reggie Rhodes, post: 14169083, member: 16201"]Yeah if things get dire enough, this is a definite possibility.



Greece has definitely been living under the harshness of austerity over the past few years, but what's spooking people is their history of mismanagement and a lack of institutional controls being put in to avoid the same scenario that caused this problem in the first place. I think the debt needs to be restructured, but I don't believe anyone would or should be lending them money until they've at least done some heavy fiscal and social reform.



Iceland and Argentina are tempting comparisons, but both had crucial differences from Greece that make Greece's situation a bit more sticky. Iceland's recovery was due to allowing their banks to fail, and while they did default and tell creditors to fukk off, they were in a stronger economic and social position to do that than Greece is right now. Argentina recovered because they luckily came across a boom in demand from Chinese and Brazilian for soy and corn, Argentina's top 2 exports. Greece doesn't have any analogous exports to support them like that.

The problem isn't Greek laziness, it's Greek corruption, tax flight and institutional holes that allowed money to seep out in the first place. I just don't see lenders ignoring those things, especially with the NO vote and Syriza's rhetoric. Like, does Greece even have a viable plan for self-recovery if they go the default route? Tourism looks like their best bet, but that industry was really helped out by lax travel rules within the EU, and if they're kicked out of the Eurozone and EU, that becomes a difficult industry to maintain.

The thing is, everyone is catching up now on what has been going in Greece. But Greeks themselvs should remind everyone that corruption has always been around, including under right governments. That the so-called "chaos" in Greece did not stop Germany from doing a lot of business there, and if you study the Eurozone you realize it works because some countries are customers : Germany needs Greece, among others, to imports German goods. That's how Germany keeps it economy going, because the interior market is stagnant (yes, you guessed it : because of austerity measures). Also, Golden Sachs helped previous greek gvt to "work the books" in order to get into the eurozone. And the crisis was out of hand a long time before Syriza was even formed. This would be like blaming Obama for the war in Irak.

Wha people fail to understand, I thinlk, is just what Greece has ALREADY done : they have been doing ALL THE STUFF required by the IMF, ECB and Commission for YEARS now. And the situation has only gotten worse and worse, like every serious economist knows it would. Austerity policies cannot lead to growth, it's almost mathematically impossible. And now eldery people are dying, people don't have access to school, o medecine, to public transportation, to their pension, etc. How exactly are they supposed to create any kind of growth?

Syriza is asking to change the focus from just repaying the debt to actually investing in the future. Because, it MUST be repeated time and time again, 3/4 of all the money "given" to Greece never made it to Greece : it went straight in the French, German banks and the IMF. IMF already made 2.5 billion euros off the Greek debt.

So what Syriza is asking is that instead of having all that money go the banks, let's actually invest for the future with it. A sor of New-Deal if you will. Because how else do we create growth?

Greece is TOTALLY at fault for this.

And we need to stop blaming the people with power and money for everything.

Greece is ignored every opportunity to get on the right side of this matter and each time they've responded like children, avoided responsibility, and kicked the can down the road.

Greece's only threat is "releasing immigrants"...fukk them.

See this is the shyt i'm talking about

Back in 2008 NO ONE wanted to shoulder the blame on people who took out loans they couldn't handle.

Yes, banks shouldn't have done it, but we're not even talking about low financial-education buyers...we're talking about ENTIRE governments.

Greece has been doing this shyt for too long and its time they pay. All 11 million of them.

The EU isn't a safety net, its supposed to be a partnership.

Its easy to paint the lenders as the bad guys, but as long as we keep this trope up, the true responsibility of the greek people will NEVER be discussed.

Actually, the EU IS a safety net. And if you actually read up on Greece and the crisis, as well as EU internal politics, you will understand why Tsipars and Syriza are being made examples of.

The fact is that the banks and the IMF don't need the money, and the ECB could easily negotiate with the IMF in order to cover up for Greece, and then organize an intra-European agreement with Greece in the long-term. This is not economical, it is a political game, a show of power by Merkel, the ECB, the IMF and banks. There is no economic founding to the way all of this is being handled by EU institutions. It's actually counter-productive, except for banks.
 
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