KritNC
All Star
Anyone taking the pacers -1?
for the betters out here, the post your picks thread
- Thread starter NoMoreWhiteWoman2020
- Start date
Bernie Madoff
Banned
Wouldn't touch it. Blazers ml only +105 as well, so just not a good play all around imo. Blazers have covered ats 8 of the last 9 I believe..
KritNC
All Star
After looking at all the numbers again I'm not taking saints here. The Seahawks are too good at home and given the weather conditions this game will be dictated by who can run the ball and dominate TIme of possession. Given that I am going to make a large play on the under - there is a 50% chance of snow and the saints average 12.5 points less per game when playing on the road
2 plays for today:
1pm EST
Fiorentina/Verona Over 2.5, 3 -109 - Fiorentina are an attacking machine vs a newly promoted side that hasn't got the hang of playing away with the big boys yet (aka play defensive and lock it down, they arent good enough) and leak a lot of goals.
Jong PSV/Eindhoven Over 3, 3.5 -126 - Dutch 2nd division play. (Aka this league averages 3 goals a game, some teams average 3.5 goals a game and you just have to read the numbers well and avoid the potential stinkers)
Mondays are the days people do worst. Why? Because there's not much to choose from. So people force plays. Sure the French, German 2nd divisions are respectable leagues but who would be playing these leagues if there were 'major league' games on at the same time? And even if the games look straight forward, there's ALWAYS fukkery of some sort. The big favorite going down, that kinda thing. So I stick with overs. Same goes for SNF/MNF, games are always close and people try to choose between coin flips.
1pm EST
Fiorentina/Verona Over 2.5, 3 -109 - Fiorentina are an attacking machine vs a newly promoted side that hasn't got the hang of playing away with the big boys yet (aka play defensive and lock it down, they arent good enough) and leak a lot of goals.
Jong PSV/Eindhoven Over 3, 3.5 -126 - Dutch 2nd division play. (Aka this league averages 3 goals a game, some teams average 3.5 goals a game and you just have to read the numbers well and avoid the potential stinkers)
Mondays are the days people do worst. Why? Because there's not much to choose from. So people force plays. Sure the French, German 2nd divisions are respectable leagues but who would be playing these leagues if there were 'major league' games on at the same time? And even if the games look straight forward, there's ALWAYS fukkery of some sort. The big favorite going down, that kinda thing. So I stick with overs. Same goes for SNF/MNF, games are always close and people try to choose between coin flips.
KritNC
All Star
Just threw together this teaser for fun $250 to win $450
Saints +12 Pacers +2 and saints/Seahawks under 54
Saints +12 Pacers +2 and saints/Seahawks under 54
Idk if its me but I hate teasing games like the Pacers/Portland game. Portland at home can definitely win that game by more than two. If Im going to lose value by buying points, it would have to be something more concrete than that.
KritNC
All Star
I have so much money tied up in this under it's getting scary that's all I care about. The more I sit here the more ways I am finding says to parlay it into other bets. If the saints win and it stays under ima retire.
Im liking Bulls/Pelicans under [193] and Florida +4 [and possibly the m/l] against UCONN. Uconn seems kind of suspect...10point win to loyola, 2 pt win on BC, and 1 point 1 on MD. While Florida has a win against FSU [who beat VCU and almost beat Michigan], and 6 point loss to Wisky.
they just keep calling mebest of luck to you
one of the best feelings is getting way in over your head and sweating every minute
KritNC
All Star
I'm starting to get nervous so I had to look at some more number to calm myself
The average total for every game Seattle has played is 44.1.
The average total for every game New Orleans has played is 44
Any time the total for a Seattle game has gone over 55 points the total for their next game has been under 43 (the total last week was 61)
USSInsiders
Banned
Fiorentina went over in 20 minutes, PSV game was 2-1 and they had 30 mins to score a 4th but couldn't. Still 11 bucks up
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Im with ya on the under
on a parlay though