COVID-19 Pandemic (Coronavirus)

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And I bet 98% will recover. If 25 million people died then it’ll be a bigger issue. :russell:

Look at my post history in this thread. I’ve been taking this Virus serious :duck:, but there comes a point :duck:where you gotta keep shyt open. The economy is fukked. These small businesses need to survive.

Going out to shop for needs and grab some quick grub is a less likely chance to get the Virus compared to gatherings where there’s people lingering around for hours.

Ok :salute:


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The flu has taken out more people than Covid within the same amount of time Covid has been around:


Preliminary In-Season 2019-2020 Flu Burden Estimates

Go ahead and be a sheep. :ufdup:

Not saying that’s how it is, but you shouldn’t rule out anything. :usure:

People are getting sick and haven’t even been in contact with people who have it.

I hope we don’t get locked down. Hoping all the festivities shutting down will let people know to be :whoa: and smarten up. Only go out to work or buying needed products. :to:

I’m not trying to discredit the severity of Covid 19. I’m just trying to bring perspective to the situation.

Yes, Covid is brand new and the flu has been around, But that’s not the point. A virus is a virus no matter what. This one is bad, but whose to say it’s as bad as people think? Italy’s elderly population is close to a quarter of the entire country (America is under 15%); most of the deaths over there could be a large amount of them. China’s got some fukked up air conditions over there. That and a virus that attacks the lungs isn’t a good look.

It doesn’t matter how long Covid has been here. Some people will get it and some will not; same with the flu.

Im just trying to bring a sense of calmness to the situation, at least for the moment. Of course this shyt could be worse than I think, but time will tell.

Y’all can panic and stay scared all you want. Most of you weren’t giving a shyt about this until the NBA was cancelled and Disneyland closed. :stopitslime:

There's too much panic the media is spewing out. All these people throwing out numbers with their "calculations." :francis:

The truth is the cases will rise, but what matters is the amount of deaths. So far America ain't that bad. Let's see how it is 2 weeks from now.

I don't see an outbreak in Cali like in NY. LA County has about 40k confirmed cases, but we just cracked 2k deaths a few days ago. The entire state probably isn't at 8k. LA County is averaging 10 deaths a day, and it's been declining for weeks. At this point all that should matter is deaths.

With that said, people should not act like they were before all this happened. That can't happen for another year, or even 2.

I have mixed feelings, but we can’t Be hiding. Life gotta go on. if you have elderly or sick people around you’re gonna have to switch up you way of living for X months.

etc

@gabbo
 

MenacingMonk

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Some shyt you highlighted is just downright stupid to try to downplay my thoughts on this.

Cali never had a death rate outbreak like NY. :wtf:

Cuz I call you shook cats sheep doesn’t mean I’m not taking it seriously.

Not even gonna bother going through all that trying to explain it to you. Learn comprehension. :snoop:
 

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If they’re still having issues with false positive/negative tests, I wouldn’t be surprised.

Do you think you are telling "them" something they don't know.

Video A below discusses sensitivity and specificity.



Sensitivity measures correct positive results. If a test is 90% sensitive, it will correctly identify 90% of people who are infected – called a true positive. However, 10% of people who are infected and tested would get a false negative result – they have the virus, but the test said they don't

Specificity measures correct negatives. If a test is 90% specific, it will correctly identify 90% of people who are not infected – registering a true negative. However, 10% of people who are not infected will test positive for the virus and receive a false positive.May 6, 2020


Video B discusses basic probability of multiple events.




Some shyt you highlighted is just downright stupid to try to downplay my thoughts on this.

Cali never had a death rate outbreak like NY. wtf:

Cuz I call you shook cats sheep doesn’t mean I’m not taking it seriously.

Not even gonna bother going through all that trying to explain it to you. Learn comprehension. :snoop:

You have been repeatedly downplaying it and using emotional rather than factual arguments.

"Shook" and "Sheep" in your statements should be replaced with analytical.

To help you along the way there is a little something above that gives the background to how treatment protocols deal with imperfect tests.

i.e. you take the test case you are looking for minus the opposite case from 1 and then raise that to power-n where n is the number of times you do the test

given case C

P(wrong result) = ( 1 - ¬P(C) ) ^ N

a lot of test protocols are 2 tests
 

MenacingMonk

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Do you think you are telling "them" something they don't know.

Video A below discusses sensitivity and specificity.



Sensitivity measures correct positive results. If a test is 90% sensitive, it will correctly identify 90% of people who are infected – called a true positive. However, 10% of people who are infected and tested would get a false negative result – they have the virus, but the test said they don't

Specificity measures correct negatives. If a test is 90% specific, it will correctly identify 90% of people who are not infected – registering a true negative. However, 10% of people who are not infected will test positive for the virus and receive a false positive.May 6, 2020


Video B discusses basic probability of multiple events.






You have been repeatedly downplaying it and using emotional rather than factual arguments.

"Shook" and "Sheep" in your statements should be replaced with analytical.

To help you along the way there is a little something above that gives the background to how treatment protocols deal with imperfect tests.

i.e. you take the test case you are looking for minus the opposite case from 1 and then raise that to power-n where n is the number of times you do the test

given case C

P(wrong result) = ( 1 - ¬P(C) ) ^ N

a lot of test protocols are 2 tests

My 90 year old grandma lives with us. Don’t tell me I’m not taking it seriously when you’re basing my life on some posts I made on a message board. :camby:
 

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My 90 year old grandma lives with us. Don’t tell me I’m not taking it seriously when you’re basing my life on some posts I made on a message board. :camby:

What I said has nothing to do with your family.

If you get to call people "scared" and "sheep" then I get to point out where you might be wrong, where you might be missing some information and/or where you make unfounded claims which (intentional or not) have the effect of distorting the size of the problem.

I think that's fair
 

MenacingMonk

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What I said has nothing to do with your family.

If you get to call people "scared" and "sheep" then I get to point out where you might be wrong, where you might be missing some information and/or where you make unfounded claims which (intentional or not) have the effect of distorting the size of the problem.

I think that's fair
The whole point of this conversation is you think I’m not taking it seriously. My family’s well being has everything to do with taking it seriously. :what:

And calling people sheep and such has nothing to do with my issue on this Virus. There’s a line between caution and overreaction. :comeon:
 

skylove4

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And I bet 98% will recover. If 25 million people died then it’ll be a bigger issue. :russell:

Look at my post history in this thread. I’ve been taking this Virus serious, but there comes a point where you gotta keep shyt open. The economy is fukked. These small businesses need to survive.

Going out to shop for needs and grab some quick grub is a less likely chance to get the Virus compared to gatherings where there’s people lingering around for hours.

tenor.gif
 
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And I bet 98% will recover. If 25 million people died then it’ll be a bigger issue. :russell:

Look at my post history in this thread. I’ve been taking this Virus serious, but there comes a point where you gotta keep shyt open. The economy is fukked. These small businesses need to survive.

Going out to shop for needs and grab some quick grub is a less likely chance to get the Virus compared to gatherings where there’s people lingering around for hours.
You’re minimizing 500,000 deaths. You’re also not mentioning the fact we know almost nothing about the long-term effects of this virus (imagine that truth amongst 28,000,000 people). Honestly, opinions like yours are huge part of the reason we are in this shytty situation. Trust me as a business owner…most everybody would WANT things to shut down if we have 500,000 deaths…
 
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