COVID-19 Pandemic (Coronavirus)

[null]

Yea, that makes sense. Unfortunately, if the guy I was quoting is in anyway prophetic, the model will change soon. More people will go back outside and for longer periods, while interacting with more people. Thus, giving us a new peak.

The curve would be different because this time people would socially distance and wear PPE but that would seem to rule out parties, clubs, gyms, large sporting events, etc as others have mentioned.

My opinion:

We still don't have enough information I think.

We have to get more into from Sweden (lax controls), China (removing controls) and USA / UK / Italy / Spain (effect of controls) to be able to make a more informed guess. We also need open topics re. the virus answered (re-infection, long term organ damage, strains etc).

Right now given what we know I don't see a return to normal life until we find an effective vaccine. We might have something similar to normal-ish life with additional precautions (social distancing, restrictions on high risk groups, more working from home, regular / antibody tests, useful antibody / immune register, PPE) by around July at the earliest IMO. But the curve will have to have been significantly flattened by then - with far fewer cases.

The only way I could see a return to more-or-less normality happening earlier is either by,

1. the weather wiping the virus out - unlikely
2. finding some hitherto unseen hand-of-god factor like a miracle drug, miracle protective device or system
3. inventing a super screening test along with the curve having been flattened
4. discovering that this is not as dangerous as it seems to be.
5. we reach herd-immunity - unlikely

IMO.

Subject to review.

 

[eXodus]

Yea, that makes sense. Unfortunately, if the guy I was quoting is in anyway prophetic, the model will change soon. More people will go back outside and for longer periods, while interacting with more people. Thus, giving us a new peak.

Exactly. Some nikkas like to talk about the “peak” as if Sars.Cov2 is a bunch of nimbus clouds on the horizon and if we just stay inside until they pass we won’t get rained on.

after this initial artificial wave, where we slow the spread by avoiding exposure.. if only 10% or less of a given community has been exposed, as soon as people go back to work and get on buses and go to church there will just be another wave because 92% of the population still lacks immunity.

the only way to answer how soon? Is to get an accurate assessment of how many people have actually been exposed. shyt we don’t even have accurate antibody tests yet, nikkas having false negatives and the virus is “reactivating” and all kinds of dumb shyt.

If the percentage of people exposed isn’t a sizeable minority (30-40%) we have to be extremely careful or shyt will get messy again really quickly. Even if it was 40% (which it isn’t) I still don’t see an easy way to “get America back to work” this shyt is going to be very difficult without a vaccine.

 

[☑︎#VoteDemocrat]

 

[Stick Up Kid]

There's no way we're being on lockdown for an additional month.

you will be locked down for an addition 2-3 months.. guaranteed, maybe even longer.

I’m flabbergasted (no cac) that some of y’all think everything is gonna be back to normal in a few weeks and y’all gonna be out Diddy-Boppin on the streets like it’s 2019

 

[AAKing23]

They cannot even think of opening shyt back up until June 1st and that's being really fukking generous, it will likely be longer

 

[sayyestothis]

Scientist already proven that humidity slows it down. The second wave in the Fall will be easily monitored and dealt with from what officials have said.
More importantly you will have outbreaks, until a vaccine is made but you won't have nationwide or months (plural) long shutdowns. We're going to be living with small outbreaks which will be manageable. Plus there will be treatments by then. NY is already flattening and its not even middle of April yet lol. By July we will have our REAL answer.


Anyone who thinks this lockdown is going to last till the vaccine comes out is crazy. The economy/markets will suffer.

Breh bless u but u are grasping...

Edit: and after seeing other posts not just grasping but ignorant. Be blessed tho...

 

[10:31]

The curve would be different because this time people would socially distance and wear PPE but that would seem to rule out parties, clubs, gyms, large sporting events, etc as others have mentioned.

My opinion:

cinco de mayo
Memorial Day weekend
July 4th

summer is over fellas

 

[☑︎#VoteDemocrat]

Scientist already proven that humidity slows it down. The second wave in the Fall will be easily monitored and dealt with from what officials have said.
More importantly you will have outbreaks, until a vaccine is made but you won't have nationwide or months (plural) long shutdowns. We're going to be living with small outbreaks which will be manageable. Plus there will be treatments by then. NY is already flattening and its not even middle of April yet lol. By July we will have our REAL answer.


Anyone who thinks this lockdown is going to last till the vaccine comes out is crazy. The economy/markets will suffer.

No correlation to seasonality has been established..

They can't even certify seasonality of other things that have been around for 5 years.

And it hasn't even been a year. You can't determine seasonality ... without all the goddamn season


The fact you even said this shyt makes me angry.

You don't even know what you don't know.

Are you an adult?

 

[goatmane]

Let's say its August and we still under lockdown

Republicans want to open everything back ASAP

Dems want another stimulus

What do yall think happens?

 

[winb83]

Let's say its August and we still under lockdown

Impossible. The country won't survive that.

 

[eXodus]

What the fukk man smh

 

[Bawon Samedi]

Breh bless u but u are grasping...

But.... I'm not. I'll see you guys in July. shyts already peaking. lol.

People really think this lockdown is going to go into the summer.

 

[null]

Exactly. Some nikkas like to talk about the “peak” as if Sars.Cov2 is a bunch of nimbus clouds on the horizon and if we just stay inside until they pass we won’t get rained on.

after this initial artificial wave, where we slow the spread by avoiding exposure.. if only 10% or less of a given community has been exposed, as soon as people go back to work and get on buses and go to church there will just be another wave because 92% of the population still lacks immunity.

the only way to answer how soon? Is to get an accurate assessment of how many people have actually been exposed. shyt we don’t even have accurate antibody tests yet, nikkas having false negatives and the virus is “reactivating” and all kinds of dumb shyt.

If the percentage of people exposed isn’t a sizeable minority (30-40%) we have to be extremely careful or shyt will get messy again really quickly. Even if it was 40% (which it isn’t) I still don’t see an easy way to “get America back to work” this shyt is going to be very difficult without a vaccine.

True and to complicate things even more (as per reports) not all recovered patients develop antibodies and some people seem to get reinfected. Until we get a better understanding of these any immunity based strategy will be compromised.

 

[☑︎#VoteDemocrat]

This is why you will not have a summer.

Singapore just had to shut shyt down again.

 

[Bawon Samedi]

Impossible. The country won't survive that.

Ding. Ding. Ding. USA is already tweaking even with printing trillions after trillions of dollars. Its fukk China from me and possibly for ever but they already opened up their economy. They are lying about their cases because they are not reporting those without symptoms but so far there have been no deaths reported.