Man, I just keep staring at the numbers in Indonesia, the Philippines, Malaysia, Brazil. Just read 4-5 articles about the situation in India and another on Kenya. Right now I'm as shook as I've been.
In America, we'll get through this. Everyone posting right now, treatment will be available to us. A few brehs might die but we live with that possibility every day. We may lose some loved ones...but again, that possibility is every day.
But I keep thinking about Africa, South American, south and southeast Asia. The situation in Italy right now? That's a NORMAL day in India even without coronavirus. They ALREADY are overmaxed with not enough doctors, not enough respirators, not enough hospital rooms. Not to mention in places of poverty you ain't getting no fukking social distancing. In Kenya the troops are using tear gas on the fukking traders trying to force them to go home so crowds stop gathering in the market. But there will still be crowds in every fukking slum and village. Ain't no such thing as quarantine there, not culturally and not even really physically possible when folk dependent on the daily wage for daily food and no one has anything stored at home and population density high as fukk.
It hasn't blown up in any 3rd-world country yet. And maybe it won't. Maybe they're warm enough that it will be okay. About 10 times a day I'm staring at those southeast Asian numbers waiting to see how they move....
Man, if this shyt hits those countries it ain't gonna be no 1-3% fatality rate. They gonna have a hard as hell time treating anybody. Hospitals completely overrun and then it don't matter WHAT you have, you won't be able to get medical attention. I can easily see doctors fleeing under the burden, these are middle/upper class folk, exposure will be rampant and they ain't in it to die. Doctors fleeing and doctors getting sick, medical care will drop even further, even more deaths. And these are populations where you already have tuberculosis, AIDS, respiratory illness, malnutrition, etc. etc.
Again, it ain't jumped in any 3rd-world country still. Maybe the heat will save them. Or maybe it will at least slow shyt down to a manageable level. Even "let's just keep shyt at Italy-level" feels like a win. But I'm feeling pretty damn shook right now.
I doubt the 3rd world countries even have the test kits