There is no such thing as Hausa-Fulani. Hausa are their own people. Fulani are not native to Nigeria. Know your history as a country, the takeover has begun.
Citizens finally standing up to the contraption called Nigeria
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There is no such thing as Hausa-Fulani. Hausa are their own people. Fulani are not native to Nigeria. Know your history as a country, the takeover has begun.
mtchewwww
Very true. Dan Fodio encouraged intermarriage with the Hausa and as a result established a sort of new formed Fulani-Hausa ethnicity, but the Fulani have never had a permanent nation.
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Best visualization I've seen of what a deconstructed Nigeria could look like. If Oduduwa gets support from the Yoruba elite then the case for Biafra will be strengthened.
Playing devil's advocate, how does dividing Nigeria fit into global norms? What scenario if any could actually gain traction and support on a global scale?
It's all economics at the end of the day. Let's say Nigeria breaks into 3 nations (Arewa Republic, Oduduwa and Biafra), Oduduwa and Biafra could argue to world powers that by being liberated from the regressive North, their economies could thrive and their citizens would have more disposable income to consume global goods and services.
The issue I could see is if Oduduwa and Biafra have any semblance of rising economic and social prosperity then other African nations will petition for their own nations as well.
True but how does the promise of southern nations prospering compare to the global outcome of the brain drain that is powered by Nigeria's current construct?
Is it fair to say that the brain drain has a higher global economic positive impact than a prosperous Biafra and Oduduwa?
I think the brain drain isn't as big of as issue now as compared to the 1980s and 90s. A lot of Western nations (chiefly the UK and US) have tightened their immigration laws especially when it comes to working and permanent residency. Schooling is the primary means of staying in a place like US/UK for an extended period of time and even then, you need top results in specific fields (mainly STEM) so that narrows down the magnitude of the brain drain as many Nigerians will come to the West, study but then have to return because of limited job opportunities.
Canada is a different case though, they are actually facilitating the new "brain drain" so to speak with their track program. But from what I've read, Canada will scale back its allotments in the future as their industries fill out. Like if a nation like DRC ever got its act together and started to prosper as a nation, then the price of batteries are gonna fly through the roof since cobalt, a key input for lithium batteries, is almost exclusively mined in Congo.
I think the bigger issue is that if the Southern states prosper, then the global supply chains are cut off from cheap raw natural resources as the Southern states would move to consuming the resources that they have in house. Those cheap raw materials (cocoa, rubber, palm oil, crude oil etc) are all inputs for multinationals to make their margins.
If we really want to see the separation of Nigeria, then the best way that would happen (outside of civil war, no one wants that) is for oil as a commodity to collapse. Once that happens, 75% of federal government revenue is gone. It'll force the Federal government to make concessions concerning restructuring and devolving power from the center. Once that process starts, then it'll be easier to set up the institutions needed to break up the country
All makes sense. I still assume that the global consensus is "Keeping Nigeria one is a task that must be done". Considering everything that you said, why is One Nigeria so much the status quo when there are perceived positive global implications to restructuring?
At this point I think my question is rhetorical but I am curious.
But that's the thing though, One Nigeria benefits the entrenched global powers that have a stake in the country. Restructuring is still keeping One Nigeria but giving the states more autonomy over their affairs (police, economy, schooling, etc). It's the actual dissolution of Nigeria into separate states that the Global powers so far have prevented. You break Nigeria into different states and Global powers will have to adjust their strategy and policies. I imagine they'd rather keep the status quo benefits in place.
A while back I was for One Nigeria but one that restructured, especially concerning economic policies for the states. My reasoning was that Nigeria had the size, international standing and economy to be an African super power. But now, with the rise of the Fulani herdsmen and ISIS West Africa roaming the Sahel coupled with Nigeria's porous borders and inept military, I think separation might be the way forward. My issue is the current Southern leadership doesn't show me they're any different from what we've had in the past.
At least with separation, a nation like Biafra would have autonomy over security and its borders and the Biafran leadership wouldn't have the Nigerian federal government to scapegoat for their shortcomings like they do now.
Let's just wait and see. The Nigerian economy is hobbled right now and the government has been borrowing like no tomorrow. The budgetary pressures have strengthened calls for economic restructuring and decentralization of power. Buhari has just 2 years left in power so 2023 will be a critical election.
Status quo point resonates. Man sadly Nigerian lives do not matter in Nigeria or globally so it will be hard to shake the status quo. To your point a force like economic instability can topple the status quo.
We will see.