Boiler Room: The Official Stock Market Discussion

bnew

Veteran
Joined
Nov 1, 2015
Messages
51,805
Reputation
7,926
Daps
148,716
archive.ph

Bank of America’s Hartnett Sees ‘Pain and Exit’ If S&P 500 Dips Below 4,000
  • Three-week outflows from stocks largest since pandemic started
  • U.S. stocks are poised for worst annual return since 1974
By
Nikos Chrysoloras and
Michael Msika
April 29, 2022, 2:36 PM UTC

A drop below 4,000 index points for the S&P 500 will be a “tipping point,” which could potentially trigger a mass exodus from equities, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists.

Investors have already started fleeing stocks, with outflows from equity funds over the past three weeks adding up to the worst since March 2020, the strategists led by Michael Hartnett said, citing EPFR Global data.

The average S&P 500 entry point for the “huge” $1.1 trillion inflows into stock funds since the start of 2021 was 4,274 index points, which means that “pain and exit” requires a drop below 4,000 points, the strategists said in a note on Friday. That’s about 6.7% below the Thursday close.


Worst Since Nixon
Annualized total equity returns adjusted for inflation are worst since 1974
C1nDRpR.png

Source: S&P Global, Bloomberg
Note: 2022 figure based on annualized returns

Global stock markets have been struggling this year, as investors are grappling with fears of an outright recession and aggressive tightening by the Federal Reserve in response to surging inflation. The main U.S. benchmark is down almost 11% since January, a decline which adjusted for inflation is set to be the worst annual return since 1974, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Bonds have been suffering the brunt of this year’s investor exodus and world’s government debt is on course for the biggest loss since 1920, according to the BofA note.

“Epic” declines in bonds and stocks in 2022 reflect the “coming flip by central banks” from quantitative easing to quantitative tightening, BofA’s strategists said, adding that market sentiment is “just awful.” While a relief rally is possible, given the depressed sentiment and positioning, it won’t be a big rebound and investors should sell it, according to the note.

The strategists compare the current situation to the 1973-1974 period during Richard Nixon’s presidency and say high “inflation means Fed must tighten until it breaks the economy or the market,” the strategists, who have been consistently bearish on equities, said. “Until it does, asset prices must reset lower.”
 

DeuceZ

Li pitit gason
Joined
Nov 28, 2012
Messages
8,757
Reputation
1,201
Daps
22,092
Reppin
3rd Rock From the Sun
archive.ph

Bank of America’s Hartnett Sees ‘Pain and Exit’ If S&P 500 Dips Below 4,000
  • Three-week outflows from stocks largest since pandemic started
  • U.S. stocks are poised for worst annual return since 1974
By
Nikos Chrysoloras and
Michael Msika
April 29, 2022, 2:36 PM UTC

A drop below 4,000 index points for the S&P 500 will be a “tipping point,” which could potentially trigger a mass exodus from equities, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists.

Investors have already started fleeing stocks, with outflows from equity funds over the past three weeks adding up to the worst since March 2020, the strategists led by Michael Hartnett said, citing EPFR Global data.

The average S&P 500 entry point for the “huge” $1.1 trillion inflows into stock funds since the start of 2021 was 4,274 index points, which means that “pain and exit” requires a drop below 4,000 points, the strategists said in a note on Friday. That’s about 6.7% below the Thursday close.


Worst Since Nixon
Annualized total equity returns adjusted for inflation are worst since 1974
C1nDRpR.png

Source: S&P Global, Bloomberg
Note: 2022 figure based on annualized returns

Global stock markets have been struggling this year, as investors are grappling with fears of an outright recession and aggressive tightening by the Federal Reserve in response to surging inflation. The main U.S. benchmark is down almost 11% since January, a decline which adjusted for inflation is set to be the worst annual return since 1974, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Bonds have been suffering the brunt of this year’s investor exodus and world’s government debt is on course for the biggest loss since 1920, according to the BofA note.

“Epic” declines in bonds and stocks in 2022 reflect the “coming flip by central banks” from quantitative easing to quantitative tightening, BofA’s strategists said, adding that market sentiment is “just awful.” While a relief rally is possible, given the depressed sentiment and positioning, it won’t be a big rebound and investors should sell it, according to the note.

The strategists compare the current situation to the 1973-1974 period during Richard Nixon’s presidency and say high “inflation means Fed must tighten until it breaks the economy or the market,” the strategists, who have been consistently bearish on equities, said. “Until it does, asset prices must reset lower.”

Wouldn't this be a good time to buy for the long term :ohhh:
 

BlaxOps

Pro
Joined
Jul 18, 2015
Messages
975
Reputation
151
Daps
1,408


TOP STOCKS TO WATCH FOR THE WEEK OF May 2, 2022 | What goes up, must come down (Here we go now)

This video covers earnings this week, QQQ, Avis Budget Group, Advanced Micro Devices, Moderna, Datadog, and Block.
 

Althalucian

All Star
Joined
Nov 17, 2016
Messages
1,096
Reputation
300
Daps
4,888
Alright so when we buying though? I got some money coming in and I wanna buy at nightmare time.

Also how bad will black wealth be hit? Trying to look out for some brehs.
 

JetFueledThoughts

Superstar
Joined
Aug 22, 2015
Messages
5,621
Reputation
-168
Daps
22,341
I refuse to let inflation just eat away at my shyt...just put $70K into Gemini GUSD to earn 6.9% APY. Definitely not a savings account, but fukk it.

Voyager has 9% APY on USDC, I’ve been in that for a few months now


Also, not for nothin but SoFi does 1.25% APY on both savings and checking accounts… not bad.

If anyone signs up for either of these gimme a shout and use my referral code :lolbron:
 

winb83

52 Years Young
Supporter
Joined
May 28, 2012
Messages
45,019
Reputation
3,748
Daps
68,223
Reppin
Michigan
Voyager has 9% APY on USDC, I’ve been in that for a few months now


Also, not for nothin but SoFi does 1.25% APY on both savings and checking accounts… not bad.

If anyone signs up for either of these gimme a shout and use my referral code :lolbron:
I use SoFi is my primary bank now. You need direct deposit for that 1.25%
 
Top