Brehs I done fukked up today...I just hustled my way back to breakeven after taking huge losses on SPY puts the other week..
So what I do...Got Feb 27th 51 strike calls for TWTR when it showed some signs of potential...For almost 4 k...Down almost 50% and I'm stuck hoping it goes in the money on Monday or latest Tuesday..
Any thoughts on what TWTR could do? Or what I should do, zamn brehs
4k on quickly expiring options?
Unhedged, you're either swimming in money or ballsy as fukk.
Here's my half-baked opinion... so you're at $0.37 per contract right now. Down almost 50%, I'm assuming you paid around $0.74 per contract and bought about 55 contracts.
Your breakeven is $51.74. I don't know of any tangible company catalysts that would push up TWTR by the end of next week, so I'm just looking at technicals and analyzing the overall market.
The markets might not correct by next week, so if they go a little higher, you have some hope, but they are due for a correction. Overbought as fukk. When the markets are declining, absent any TWTR news, TWTR will probably fall too.
TWTR indicators are all also pointing to some sort of near-term correction. I like Stochastics indicators and it's not looking great. Way up there and while it doesn't look ready for an immediate drop and could keep going sideways or slightly higher, it's ready for a drop.
You can never predict the technicals with 100% accuracy. Just decent guides, but everything looks like TWTR is ready to dump a few bucks. TWTR could conceivably move higher and even above $51.74 by next week, especially on some unforeseen news...
But uhhh
That time value is going to kill you, so if there isn't a good move by Monday, I'd cut out because your $0.37 option will probably be worth about $0.32 by Monday and rapidly declining. If there's a decent move, then you have to assess if you should take the loss or keep praying.